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riversedge

(70,204 posts)
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 08:46 PM Jan 2016

Clinton Maintains Lead, New Loras College Poll Finds

Source: loras.edu

Clinton Maintains Lead, New Loras College Poll Finds

http://loras.edu/About-Loras/News-Events/News/2016/Clinton-Maintains-Lead,-New-Loras-College-Poll-Fin.aspx

1/22/2016

With the 2016 Iowa precinct caucuses only ten days away, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton maintains a strong lead over her nearest rival, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, according to the newest Loras College Poll. The statewide poll of 500 likely voters in the Democratic caucus was conducted Jan. 13-18.

The newest Loras College Poll finds Clinton leading in terms of which candidate people intend to vote for, which candidate people expect will actually win the precinct caucuses, as well as who they expect will be the eventual nominee. While Sanders has made small gains since the last Loras College Poll released in December, he remains well behind Clinton in this poll.

“These last days are crunch time for the campaigns,” said Christopher Budzisz, Ph.D, associate professor of politics and director of the Loras College Poll. “The ground games and turnout efforts of the Democratic candidates are in high gear, and with Iowa’s election-day registration rules, it will be a fascinating 10 days. In little more than a week the voters of Iowa will have their say in this remarkable and memorable election year.”



Democrats continue to appear quite comfortable with the top two candidates in the field. Only 5 percent said they would absolutely not vote for Clinton, and another 6 percent said they would absolutely not vote for Sanders.....................

A full 75 percent of those surveyed indicated they were absolutely committed to their first choice candidate.


Read more: http://loras.edu/About-Loras/News-Events/News/2016/Clinton-Maintains-Lead,-New-Loras-College-Poll-Fin.aspx



Looking good Hillary. This is the 3rd poll in 2 days in which you LEAD

(Sanders has one Iowa poll in which he lead)



IOWA NEW Loras College Poll Jan 22 Clinton 59; Sanders 30; O'M 7

http://loras.edu/About-Loras/News-Events/News/2016/Clinton-Maintains-Lead,-New-Loras-College-Poll-Fin.aspx




>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
The University of Iowa, the first public university to admit men and women equally, is ready to caucus for Hillary!


45 retweets 62 likes

Hillary for Iowa ?@HillaryforIA Jan 21 Iowa City, IA

The stage is set for @ddlovato and @HillaryClinton at the University of Iowa! #ImWithHer









........................................


Hawkeyes for Hillary ?@hawksforhill 23h23 hours ago

Two confident, amazing women. Thanks for stopping by @HillaryClinton and @ddlovato! Can't wait to rock the caucus!














46 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Clinton Maintains Lead, New Loras College Poll Finds (Original Post) riversedge Jan 2016 OP
I am thinking Hillary just may end up on top in Iowa. Thinkingabout Jan 2016 #1
As you know, Hillary takes nothing for granted. riversedge Jan 2016 #4
Exactly. Thinkingabout Jan 2016 #5
I Know She Doesn't Tell The Truth billhicks76 Jan 2016 #23
That's a lot of personal projection there The Second Stone Jan 2016 #33
Good thing others do not agree pandr32 Jan 2016 #41
Really? billhicks76 Jan 2016 #44
I don't think there is any doubt that she'll finish on top in Iowa. Check out the polls.... George II Jan 2016 #13
Her lead is there, just not that high. Dawson Leery Jan 2016 #18
... Qutzupalotl Jan 2016 #2
that is a wise little Lorax your have. riversedge Jan 2016 #6
%@#$ the 5% and 6% who wouldn't vote for Hillary or Bernie in the General Election TekGryphon Jan 2016 #3
Agree Thinkingabout Jan 2016 #7
good thing I'm not a progressive. I'm a Liberal PatrynXX Jan 2016 #17
People like you have no respect for Sanders or his goals. You've made this race about YOU.. TekGryphon Jan 2016 #40
I was a Field Coordinator for Paul Simon in 1988 Chasstev365 Jan 2016 #8
Look in your own Sanders campaign mirror before you diss Hillary's campaign. riversedge Jan 2016 #10
Bernie won't be winning shit. asuhornets Jan 2016 #11
Iowa isn't shit, though. It's actually a very nice state. nt Gore1FL Jan 2016 #20
Not according to the Des Moines register dsc Jan 2016 #12
Oh, this is funny. murielm99 Jan 2016 #24
He spoke at my college's sesquacentenial dsc Jan 2016 #38
That was almost 30 years ago - things have changed a bit since then. George II Jan 2016 #14
I was in NH with the Simon campaign bigworld Jan 2016 #19
He was a great guy. murielm99 Jan 2016 #25
I stand corrected! Chasstev365 Jan 2016 #43
I love it!!!! n/t asuhornets Jan 2016 #9
odds are if she takes out the front runner there'll be problems down the line PatrynXX Jan 2016 #15
10 days remain. nt retrowire Jan 2016 #16
It's a small sample. I'd like to see more surveys to make sure. alfredo Jan 2016 #21
Loras College lol? billhicks76 Jan 2016 #22
Yes but so was the cnn poll. hrmjustin Jan 2016 #26
Polls only matter when BS is ahead Iliyah Jan 2016 #27
Well who are all these people being polled who allegedly support Hillary? Moban Jan 2016 #29
Please stop it - LOL Iliyah Jan 2016 #31
Hillary is like Microsoft, Bernie is like Apple Moban Jan 2016 #32
Well, that riversedge Jan 2016 #36
I'm a newbie, too. Apparently Stoolbend Jan 2016 #45
No thanks. Welcome to DU. riversedge Jan 2016 #46
Yes indeed! SunSeeker Jan 2016 #28
K&R! Tarheel_Dem Jan 2016 #30
Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2016 #34
MSM completely ignored 2 polls in which Hillary was ahead of Sanders by 9 pts TWICE yesterday; riversedge Jan 2016 #35
Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2016 #37
Thanks I have not seen this even if riversedge Jan 2016 #39
What percentage are landlines? demwing Jan 2016 #42
 

billhicks76

(5,082 posts)
23. I Know She Doesn't Tell The Truth
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 11:40 PM
Jan 2016

She's a guaranteed loser in the general due to her deceit and repulsive personality. Sad but true.

pandr32

(11,581 posts)
41. Good thing others do not agree
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 10:58 AM
Jan 2016

Someone who has worked as hard as she has her whole life to help women and children, as well as families and communities, does not deserve to be characterized that way.
Now what is it you do to brighten the lives of others?

 

billhicks76

(5,082 posts)
44. Really?
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 11:21 PM
Jan 2016

I thought she worked her whole life to imprison families here, promote an Orwellian security state, instigate coups in Latin America and kill hundreds of thousands of innocent Iraqis.

George II

(67,782 posts)
13. I don't think there is any doubt that she'll finish on top in Iowa. Check out the polls....
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 09:22 PM
Jan 2016

...for Iowa. Of the last 50 going back to July she's been ahead in 45 of them, and two of the most recent have her ahead by 20+ %.

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)
18. Her lead is there, just not that high.
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 09:58 PM
Jan 2016

She has Obama's 2008 team and ground game, as well as his data methods.

Bernie's ground game is more like Hillary's losing one from 2008.

TekGryphon

(430 posts)
3. %@#$ the 5% and 6% who wouldn't vote for Hillary or Bernie in the General Election
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 08:56 PM
Jan 2016

Any Democrat who willfully sits out an election because they don't get their pony never was and never will be a progressive in my book.

PatrynXX

(5,668 posts)
17. good thing I'm not a progressive. I'm a Liberal
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 09:57 PM
Jan 2016

if Progressive means Conservadem well proves I'm right

TekGryphon

(430 posts)
40. People like you have no respect for Sanders or his goals. You've made this race about YOU..
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 10:46 AM
Jan 2016

... and you've made it about YOUR ego.

You don't give a shit about Sanders or anything he believes in. If you did, you wouldn't be so eager to sit back and let conservatives destroy decades of progress just because YOUR horse didn't win the race.

On behalf of every progressive, every liberal, and every Democrat who has worked their asses off for years to make America a better place for women, minorities, students, veterans, the poor, working class, and so many others - fuck you.

We don't need "allies" like you, and neither does Sanders.



Chasstev365

(5,191 posts)
8. I was a Field Coordinator for Paul Simon in 1988
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 09:02 PM
Jan 2016

If the results are accurately reported, Bernie will win. However, it depends on the college vote. In 1988, Paul Simon won Iowa, but the county head in Iowa City (University of Iowa) deliberately withheld the results until 3:00 AM, after the networks had already declared Richard Gephardt the winner. Seeing how nasty the Clinton campaign has gotten with Bernie recently, they will do the same. If anyone has a connection to Bernie's campaign, remind them of what happened in 1988!

dsc

(52,160 posts)
12. Not according to the Des Moines register
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 09:22 PM
Jan 2016
http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.com/caucus-history-past-years-results/

Richard Gephardt 31.3%
Paul Simon 26.7%
Michael Dukakis 22.2%
Jesse Jackson 8.8%
Bruce Babbitt 6.1%
Uncommitted 4.5%
Gary Hart .3%
Al Gore 0%

I am assuming that the results aren't still being held back. I mean sweet Jesus do you honestly believe they don't keep track of this stuff.

murielm99

(30,736 posts)
24. Oh, this is funny.
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 12:43 AM
Jan 2016

Bernie supporters really play fast and loose with the truth.



BTW, I love Paul Simon. His father confirmed me. My parents were friends of his. Senator Simon spoke at my college graduation. He was lieutenant governor of Illinois then. Sheila is a friend, too.

dsc

(52,160 posts)
38. He spoke at my college's sesquacentenial
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 08:55 AM
Jan 2016

I voted for him in 1988 as he was my Senator. Didn't meet him though.

Chasstev365

(5,191 posts)
43. I stand corrected!
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 08:21 PM
Jan 2016

That was the campaign narrative at the time, but I should have looked it up to verify.

For the Hillary supporters out there I will say this: I would vote for her over ANY Republican in a general election!

However, the reasons I support Bernie are: A. I don't want to relieve the Bill Clinton years and if Hillary wins an, we will! Whitewater, Monica L, Ken Star, etc. B. Not only are the Clintons not Liberals and they are Republican Lite in many ways. (NAFTA, Deregulating Telecommunications, which gave us "Goebellsvision", aka Fox News, and repealing Glass Steigel. ALL REALLY HURT AMERICA.

But more over, I'm for Bernie Sanders, because the system has been rigged for the rich and powerful in this nation and the concept of Democracy has become a joke. Bernie is THE ONLY ONE ADDRESSING THIS ON THE CAMPIANGN TRAIL! We need an FDR type revolution to save America or we are FUCKED for years to come!

PatrynXX

(5,668 posts)
15. odds are if she takes out the front runner there'll be problems down the line
Fri Jan 22, 2016, 09:48 PM
Jan 2016

I just don't see that happening. yes I know I'm being sarcastic I have no second choice, it'd have to be Omally. Won't be voting for a conservadem .. She'll make sure we get yet another Conservative controlled congress. yawn. another 8 years of boring

 

Moban

(12 posts)
29. Well who are all these people being polled who allegedly support Hillary?
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 01:41 AM
Jan 2016

Speak to anyone in the street, in colleges, in the coffee shops, etc, they're all feeling the Bern. Nobody wants more of the same, which is what we'd get with Hillary. She represents the 1%.

Response to riversedge (Original post)

riversedge

(70,204 posts)
35. MSM completely ignored 2 polls in which Hillary was ahead of Sanders by 9 pts TWICE yesterday;
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 06:17 AM
Jan 2016

For two days now the media has focused only on the Cnn poll--and pundits running their mouths ragged claiming how Hillary is going down!



X-posted:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511047504

MSM completely ignored 2 polls in which Hillary was ahead of Sanders by 9 pts TWICE yesterday;
We can dump that talking point that Sanders is not covered by the media!



For Clinton, Good News Is No News When It Comes To Polling

http://mediamatters.org/blog/2016/01/22/for-clinton-good-news-is-no-news-when-it-comes/208115
Blog ››› 1 hour and 44 minutes ago ››› ERIC BOEHLERT


There are lots of different ways campaigns can try to "win" the daily news cycle. Scoring a high-profile endorsement or releasing a new campaign commercial have proven successful in recent days, for example. Another traditional way is to post winning poll numbers, the catnip of the campaign press.

If that's the case, Hillary Clinton's camp probably thought yesterday was shaping up as an overall positive. In the morning, a new Monmouth/KBUR poll was released showing the former secretary of state with a 9-point lead in the very competitive state of Iowa, which holds its caucus on February 1.

A few hours later, Emerson College released an Iowa poll and it also indicated Clinton enjoyed a 9-point lead.
At the time, it meant Clinton had led in eight of the previous ten Iowa polls taken, which translates into positive news coverage, right?

Wrong.

Because around 5 p.m., CNN released its latest Iowa polling results, showing Senator Bernie Sanders with an 8-point advantage. So instead of basking in positive coverage about leading in two of the three latest Iowa polls, Clinton had to settle for "it's a draw" reports regarding Thursday's three Iowa polls, right?

Wrong, again.

Instead of reporting on the three polls, several major news organizations yesterday ignored the first two polls and only reported on the CNN survey.

At The New York Times, the CNN poll was news: But the KBUR and Emerson polls were not covered. .....

.....lots more.....

Response to riversedge (Reply #35)

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
42. What percentage are landlines?
Sat Jan 23, 2016, 11:20 AM
Jan 2016

No need to guess, it's in the methodology notes:

Survey included both landlines and cell phones (with an approximate 70-30 split).

70% LANDLINES?

Does that sound like a snapshot of reality to anyone?

If it does, wake up, because you've been sleeping since the 90's:

CDC: Nearly half of American homes no longer have landlines
http://www.engadget.com/2015/12/01/cdc-nearly-half-of-american-homes-no-longer-have-landlines/

Nice poll, bro...

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