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DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
Mon Aug 8, 2016, 01:36 PM Aug 2016

Clinton Takes Double-Digit Lead Over Trump In New Monmouth Poll

Source: Talking Points Memo

Hillary Clinton took a double-digit lead over Donald Trump among registered voters nationally in a new Monmouth University poll out Monday, yet more evidence of a post-convention boost for the Democratic nominee.

Clinton received 46 percent support among registered voters, while Trump earned 34 percent. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson took 7 percent, and the Green Party’s Jill Stein received 2 percent.

In the last iteration of the poll, conducted just before the start of the Republican National Convention in mid-July, Clinton led Trump 43 percent to 40 percent.

Clinton’s support among self-identified Democrats rose from 88 percent in July to 92 percent in August, while Trump’s support among the Republican base fell slightly from 81 to 79 percent.

-snip-

Read more: http://talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/clinton-leads-12-points-monmouth-august-poll




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Clinton Takes Double-Digit Lead Over Trump In New Monmouth Poll (Original Post) DonViejo Aug 2016 OP
Monmouth avoids exit polls demographic error Cicada Aug 2016 #1
K&R! Tarheel_Dem Aug 2016 #2
Congrats to Hillary and her Team. riversedge Aug 2016 #3
doesnt matter rtracey Aug 2016 #4
we can lean back and rest. No more work to be done. Liberal_in_LA Aug 2016 #5

Cicada

(4,533 posts)
1. Monmouth avoids exit polls demographic error
Mon Aug 8, 2016, 02:04 PM
Aug 2016

In 2012 exit polls underestimated the number of white voters compared to census data and actual voting lists in election offices. Google upshot exit polls to find a discussion of the likely undercutting of how many whites voted in 2012. Monmouth to their credit uses the more accurate 2012 numbers to estimate the likely demographic composition of the 2016 electorate. So their polls show Hillary getting fewer votes than other polls (more white voters). And they still have her leading by 13!

WOW!

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