56 GOP House Seats Are Now Vulnerable
Source: PoliticalWire
April 20, 2018 at 9:21 am EDT By Taegan Goddard
Cook Political Report: Multiple indicators, including generic ballot polls , President Trumps approval ratings and recent special election results, point to midterm danger for Republicans. But without robust race-by-race polling, its trickier to predict individual races six months out.
Our latest ratings point to 56 vulnerable GOP-held seats, versus six vulnerable Democratic seats. Of the 56 GOP seats at risk, 15 are open seats created by retirements. Even if Democrats were to pick up two-thirds of those seats, they would still need to hold all their own seats and defeat 13 Republican incumbents to reach the magic number of 218. Today, there are 18 GOP incumbents in our Toss Up column.
That Toss Up list is likely to grow as the cycle progresses. Out of the 65 GOP incumbents rated as less than Solid, 49 were first elected in 2010 or after, meaning more than three quarters have never had to face this kind of political climate before. And, Democrats have a donor enthusiasm edge: in the first quarter of 2018, at least 43 sitting Republicans were out-raised by at least one Democratic opponent.
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Read more: https://politicalwire.com/2018/04/20/56-gop-house-seats-are-now-vulnerable/
dalton99a
(81,479 posts)SWBTATTReg
(22,114 posts)bucolic_frolic
(43,149 posts)and this is the best we can poll ... not that it's not good, but relative to what we're going through
We have to work every week and finish stronger than ever in November
FakeNoose
(32,634 posts)kimbutgar
(21,137 posts)Should be 234 vunerable rethug seats. I want to see them throughly destroyed in November in both houses.
turbinetree
(24,695 posts)November 2018 cannot get here fast enough
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Read carefully and do the math; they mean "Even if Democrats were to pick up two-thirds of [15 empty] seats..." not "two-thirds of [56 endangered] seats..." It's not as scary as the language might first make you think.