Poll: GOP Rep. Duncan Hunter up by 8 points despite indictment

[Julian Englis]

Source: The Hill

Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-Calif.) holds an 8-point lead over his Democratic opponent despite being indicted on charges of misusing campaign funds, according to a new poll.

A Survey USA poll published Monday found that among likely voters in California’s 50th District who were surveyed, 47 percent plan to vote for Hunter, compared to 39 percent who favor Democratic challenger Ammar Campa-Najjar, if they are the only two candidates on the ballot. President Trump won the district by 15 points in 2016.

Among Republicans, 77 percent of likely voters said that despite his indictment, they would vote for Hunter if the election was held today, the poll found.

Hunter and his wife, Margaret, were indicted last week after being charged with misusing at least $250,000 in campaign funds for personal expenses.

Read more: http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/403872-poll-gop-rep-duncan-hunter-leads-by-8-despite-charges-of-misusing-campaign

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Register, campaign, fight evil.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

1. Good thread in GD has refutations and rebuttals

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100211059656

[groundloop]

2. We elected a Democratic Senator in Alabama, what's wrong with you California ??????

Yeah, I get that this is a highly repub district, but you'd think they'd reconsider voting for a criminal. I suppose it needs to come out that Hunter preyed on teenage girls before gopers will start thinking about abandoning their candidate.

[Lucky Luciano]

7. Very white district though. Alabama def has a lot of POC to help steer the ship. nt

[TomCADem]

16. LA Times - Who's running against Duncan Hunter? Ammar Campa-Najjar, a millennial Palestinian Mexican

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-me-campa-najjar-20180823-story.html

For nearly 40 years, voters in eastern San Diego County have picked a Republican named Duncan Hunter to be their representative in Congress. Duncan Lee Hunter came first, and then his son and current Congressman Duncan Duane Hunter.

Could 2018 be the year they change course and go with 29-year-old Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar, a Palestinian Mexican American who spent part of his childhood in the Gaza Strip?

* * *
Campa-Najjar often tells voters he was raised — mainly in the San Diego suburbs — by a single Mexican American mother who worked as a receptionist at a doctor’s office. He recalls seeing her cry at the edge of her bed, stacking bills on top of one another, prioritizing which to pay and which to ignore.

“She was playing the saddest game of solitaire,” said Campa-Najjar, whose Palestinian father left the family when he was 8.

[dhill926]

3. a lot can happen in two months....

[kimbutgar]

4. The news and local activists need to educate the voters about Duncan Hunter

[Tiggeroshii]

5. ..i dont think surveyusa is the most reliable poll in the world

Fwiw

[RandySF]

6. Give it some time.

[lunasun]

8. I never realized it was so hard headed republican in that area of Cali

The 50th district is based in San Diego County. It includes suburban and outlying areas of the county, including Fallbrook, San Marcos, Valley Center, Ramona, Escondido, Santee, Lakeside, parts of El Cajon and mountain and desert areas stretching east to the Imperial County line. It extends slightly into southwestern Riverside County in the Temecula area.

[not fooled]

11. Oh, yes

East Sandiegotucky County, populated by rednecks and mountain dwellers living back in the hollers, largely blood red.

[B Stieg]

17. "Behind the Orange Curtain"

Is the phrase used to describe the still-strong, almost inbred conservatism in Orange County, just north of San Diego County.

[marble falls]

9. His district is where cheetolini's wall needs to go. Those people are crazy.

[rockfordfile]

10. So republican voters are crooked just like their representatives.

[not fooled]

12. As a former resident of duncass hunter JR.'s district

I'd say more catastrophically ignorant and dumb. Still lots of rural areas. Lots of bible thumpers, mountain folk, 'necks, gun enthusiasts, gov't haters.

Sandiegotucky.

[KY_EnviroGuy]

13. Blowback from Trump impeachment fears perhaps?....

The ones promoted by Republicans........... .......

They'll say or do anything to keep the House. I assume a Republican would have to be dead or locked up to not get their vote.

[djacq]

14. Something is rotten in CA-50

[TomCADem]

15. Duncan Hunter's Indictment in California Opens the Door for a Long-Shot Challenger

He is a young dude, but was a longshot in a very red district that has voted for Duncan Hunter, Sr., then Duncan Hunter Junior for decades.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/22/us/duncan-hunter-indicted-ammar-campa-najjar.html

SAN DIEGO — Ammar Campa-Najjar is the son of an Arab father and a Mexican-American mother. His campaign for Congress has been embraced by Democratic activists across the nation. He is an advocate of tough environmental measures, including a permanent moratorium on offshore drilling, and legal protections for immigrants who were brought into this nation as children.

At 29, he has never run for office and is barely known in this suburban San Diego district near Camp Pendleton. But Mr. Campa-Najjar abruptly emerged Wednesday as a decidedly credible candidate to represent this solidly Republican enclave in a Democratic state, after the incumbent, Representative Duncan Hunter, a Republican, was indicted with his wife Tuesday on charges of using $250,000 in campaign funds for personal expenses.

The indictment came on the same day that President Trump’s former campaign chairman was found guilty of defrauding the federal government and his longtime personal lawyer pleaded guilty to campaign finance crimes, which he said he committed at the direction of Mr. Trump.

Mr. Campa-Najjar’s campaign had been something of a stepchild in a state that had been at the forefront of the Democratic battle to win control of Congress, attracting little attention. (“There were other mouths to feed,” he said of the party’s California priorities.)

[riversedge]

19. He needs lots of volunteers to be pounding on doors.

[iluvtennis]

18. Ain't that a blip. How can ppl vote for a thief who stole from US/Calif tax payers - yuck.

[PatSeg]

20. Stunning

I have to wonder about the accuracy of some of these polls though or perhaps the people polled don't really follow the news that closely and just say "yes" to anything "republican". Maybe they think poor Duncan and his wife were set up. Oh I give up, these people are hopeless.

[Vinca]

21. What is wrong with these people?? It was $600 for a rabbit plane ticket!

They paid for it. Do people never look up from their phones to learn what's going on in the world?

[Mc Mike]

22. The repugs are the strong law and order party.

That's why they want a congresscritter who represents them by telecommuting from a federal prison.

[ROB-ROX]

23. REALLY RED VOTING AREA

All fringe areas in California harbor conservative NON thinking people. This people are just part of the HERD. Nothing changes their tiny brains like FACTS. I am beginning to understand why whole states vote RED .........Simple FACT is they INBREED and they are STUPID.......