Poll: Democratic women turbocharged to vote in midterms

[Julian Englis]

Source: Politico

Nearly two-thirds of voters are highly motivated to cast ballots in this November’s midterm election — but no group more than Democratic women, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.

Overall, 64 percent are “very motivated” to vote, the poll shows. That is statistically unchanged from the 66 percent who said last month they were very motivated by the midterms, and up from 55 percent back in May.

But as voters begin to lock in their November plans in President Donald Trump’s first midterm election, one key demographic group — Democratic women — is more motivated to vote than all the others.

Seventy-one percent say they are very motivated to vote, more than any other group including Democratic men (63 percent), Republican men (68 percent), Republican women (69 percent), independent men (58 percent) and independent women (51 percent).

Read more: https://www.politico.com/story/2018/09/19/poll-midterms-2018-women-democrats-828613

---

Lots of work is still needed.

Some bad news is that African Americans (58 percent) or Hispanics (52 percent) enthusiasm lags behind that of White voters (66 percent). Likewise, youth enthusiasm is lower.

[Kath2]

1. I would think 71% is a very conservative estimate.

All of the democratic women I know are highly motivated.

I know I can't wait to vote blue. Enough is enough.

[greymattermom]

3. Republicans have made it obvious

that they think that laws should be different for young women and young men. For men, rape is just roughhousing. For women, it's a lifetime responsibility.

[Kath2]

4. Very true.

[BumRushDaShow]

2. "Some bad news is that African Americans (58 percent)...enthusiasm lags"

I think in this case, the "enthusiasm" will be localized - i.e., it would probably be higher in states like GA and FL and MD where a black candidate is on the ballot for Governor, and in other places where there may be a black "first" as a major candidate for a local/state/federal office (e.g., MA).

But an issue that needs to also be underscored is this (from OP link) -

Younger voters are also less enthusiastic. Just 45 percent of voters aged 18-21 are very motivated, compared with 52 percent of millennials (ages 22-37), 60 percent of Generation Xers (38-53) and 74 percent of Baby Boomers (54-72). Among seniors ages 65 and older, 81 percent are very enthusiastic.

The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll shows Democrats with a 5-point lead on the generic congressional ballot, 43 percent to 38 percent. That is down slightly from a 10-point lead last week.

However there are some dynamics that might change the environment before the next poll. I.e., (from the OP link) -

The poll was conducted September 13-16 — almost entirely before Christine Blasey Ford came forward to accuse Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh of assaulting her when they were teenagers growing up in the Washington suburbs. (Just over a third, 34 percent, say the Senate should confirm Kavanaugh, slightly greater than the 30 percent who say Kavanaugh shouldn’t be confirmed. Thirty-six percent of voters are undecided.)