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Mrs. Overall

(6,839 posts)
Sun Mar 1, 2020, 11:46 PM Mar 2020

TOP STORIES Authorities announce 2nd coronavirus death in US

Source: AP

Health officials in Washington state said Sunday night that a second person had died from the coronavirus — a man in his 70s from a nursing facility near Seattle where dozens of people were sick and had been tested for the virus.

Researchers said earlier the virus may have been circulating for weeks undetected in Washington state.

In a statement, Public Health—Seattle & King County said the man died Saturday. On Friday, health officials said a man in his 50s died of coronavirus. Both had underlying health conditions, and both were being treated at a hospital in Kirkland, Washington, east of Seattle.

Washington state now has 12 confirmed cases.

State and local authorities stepped up testing for the illness as the number of new cases grew nationwide, with new infections announced in California, Illinois, Rhode Island, New York and Washington state.



Read more: https://apnews.com/ba5ece6010e0eddf5b0af63e6e5ad880

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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at140

(6,110 posts)
1. Latest data from Hubei province, where the covid-19 started
Sun Mar 1, 2020, 11:52 PM
Mar 2020

There have been 66,337 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China’s Hubei Province, where the outbreak began in December. That sounds like a lot, but keep in mind that the population of Hubei is 59,170,000. The province is slightly smaller than Nebraska, but with thirty times as many inhabitants. With this sort of population density, it’s a positive sign that just .11% (roughly 1 in 1000) of the population has caught COVID-19.

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)
2. Not caught it -- been positively tested for it. Some may have caught it and
Sun Mar 1, 2020, 11:56 PM
Mar 2020

had few or even no symptoms (but spread it to others.)

cstanleytech

(26,291 posts)
3. So could this virus have been with us for a few months or years and the only reason we are
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 12:02 AM
Mar 2020

really seeing it in the news now is because its mutated a bit with the mutation hitting China especially hard due to their population density?

intrepidity

(7,294 posts)
6. No
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 12:18 AM
Mar 2020

Genomic analysis has traced patient zero to the food market in Wuhan in Nov/Dec last year.

Explore this site for fascinating info:

https://nextstrain.org/

From nextstrain:

This phylogeny shows evolutionary relationships of HCoV-19 viruses from the ongoing novel coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic. All samples are still closely related with few mutations relative to a common ancestor, suggesting a shared common ancestor some time in Nov-Dec 2019. This indicates an initial human infection in Nov-Dec 2019 followed by sustained human-to-human transmission leading to sampled infections.

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)
9. The UW/Fred Hutch doc thinks it's been here in WA at least 6 weeks.
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 12:37 AM
Mar 2020

It only got diagnosed because a boy tested negative for flu and his throat swab then got sent to the Seattle Flu study, run by top hospitals here, where they discovered it was Coronavirus.

By the Trump standard it wouldn't have been tested because the boy had no foreign travel or other known contact.

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)
10. Right. There was a good article in the Atlantic that explained that because it didn't
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 12:39 AM
Mar 2020

hit everyone hard it was much more likely to make huge inroads into the population.

at140

(6,110 posts)
14. Even that rate is higher by orders of magnitude than covid-19
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 11:45 AM
Mar 2020

from what I am learning so far, covid-19 is much more contagious than flu,
and effects are similar to a bad case of flu, and flu kills thousands every season,
but it is not anywhere as scary as Ebola.

JudyM

(29,236 posts)
4. I've been reading about this virus today... they've been saying there's a 2% mortality but
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 12:15 AM
Mar 2020

when you look at the demographic breakdown it’s dramatically higher for older folks, like 10 times higher!

Princess Turandot

(4,787 posts)
11. As of right now, the overall case fatality rate for all ages is actually 3.4%..
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 01:16 AM
Mar 2020

That's based upon 3,044 confirmed deaths divided by 89,070 cases as of 11:33 PM on 3/1.

The data is from the Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases mapping project being run by the Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE).

The data is from various governments' sources, so there may be some consistency questions, but it's the information available.

Blues Heron

(5,931 posts)
13. That doesn't include cases outside of the healtcare system
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 09:07 AM
Mar 2020

That's only cases that were bad enough to seek medical attention and got logged into the official records.

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