Democrats surge past Republicans in early voting

[brooklynite]

Source: The Hill

A surge in absentee ballots cast in states across the country is handing Democrats an early advantage heading into Election Day amid signs that the party’s vote-by-mail focus is turning out regular and new voters alike.

More than 6 million Americans have already voted in 27 states for November’s general election, according to data released by states that have begun accepting ballots.

Registered Democrats have returned 1.4 million ballots, more than twice the 653,000 ballots registered Republicans have returned so far, according to Michael McDonald, a political scientist at the University of Florida who analyzes early voting.

About two-thirds of voters who have already voted -- 3.7 million Americans -- are either unaffiliated with either party or live in states that do not register voters by party. Demographic modeling by one prominent Democratic firm, TargetSmart, estimates that almost 3 million of all votes cast have come from Democratic voters, compared to about 2.1 million from Republicans.


Read more: https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/520306-democrats-surge-past-republicans-in-early-voting

[getagrip_already]

9. They aren't really swingy at all.....

They just don't want a party label attached to their names. All kinds of people do this for business reasons. Why anger a potential client just through a party registration.

The swing voter has become a myth. Most are polarized into one wing or the other and tend to vote reliably.

Hopefully this year is different. Hopefully repulsion levels have moved a few needles.

[soothsayer]

2. EARLY VOTING HISTORY (10/9 VERSION):

Link to tweet

?s=21


John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
EARLY VOTING HISTORY (10/9 VERSION):

Just so Election Twitter can realize how much has changed in the last 7/14 days. Still waiting on any kind of data from Arizona and Nebraska.

[BumRushDaShow]

3. Here is the full graphic in that tweet

[soothsayer]

4. Oh thank you! I couldn't figure how to get it

[BumRushDaShow]

5. With the twitter graphics

it's weird because of how the direct URL for the image is formatted. When you try to "view image" you get something like this, which doesn't render -

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ej4bFaRWoAIoxs6?format=png&name=900x900

But you can make it render by removing the " ? " and all the characters following it right up to the file format name "png", then add a " . " before the "png", and finally get rid of the rest of the stuff after the " & ".

[soothsayer]

6. Thanks! I've seen you (or someone) explain this before

But I lost it.

I’ll try to keep track of this one!

[BumRushDaShow]

7. I don't think I have explained it in a post

because it's sometimes hard to describe. Twitter has changed how they do graphics over the past year or so (I think because there must be an image size adjustment happening depending on how people are viewing the tweets - e.g., on a browser or in the Twitter app), but that concept or variations of it, is sometimes applicable to other places like news sites that have graphics to link to.

[soothsayer]

8. Yeah I think I actually tried once and failed

Neat though. I’ll try to master it!

[getagrip_already]

10. mass just started to send out ballots.....

Hopefully I'll have mine by next week. Will fill it out and drop it off asap.

[Nitram]

11. My wife and I already dropped our ballots off at the county office.