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TomCADem

(17,393 posts)
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 12:00 AM Dec 2020

Republicans hold slight edge in Georgia Senate runoffs: poll

Source: The Hill

Georgia Republican incumbent Sens. David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler currently have a slight lead over their Democratic challengers, Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, in the state's critical Senate runoff races, according to a new Emerson College poll.

In both highly contentious races, the Republican senators are leading with 51 percent of the vote. Warnock and Ossoff are holding at 48 percent, and 1 percent is undecided.

According to poll results, Ossoff and Warnock are favored by the younger demographic, especially with voters under the age of 30, while Loeffler and Perdue are more popular with older voters, those 65 and older.

Voters in rural areas are also polling toward the Republican tickets, with Loeffler and Perdue leading with 68 percent and 67 percent of the vote, respectively. In urban/suburban regions, the Democrats are ahead, with Warnock at 75 percent of the vote and Ossoff with 73 percent.

Read more: https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/530601-republicans-hold-slight-edge-in-georgia-senate-runoffs-poll



While I think Loeffler/Perdue will win because of their pandering to Trumpsters to drive up turnout, Democrats should still fight hard and push back against the lies and corruption of Trump and his supporters.

I understand that Democrats cannot frame the race as a referendum on whether Biden takes office, because it is not. On the other hand, Trump has been framing the race as a drive for support to reject the results of the presidential election, which will motivate his base. Indeed, once Perdue/Loeffler publicly commit to rejecting their own State's electoral votes, they should easily win Georgia as Trumpsters see the runoff as a mulligan for the Presidential election.

Still, we should try to make the race as close as we can in order to promote law and order and push back against the efforts to promote a coup.

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Republicans hold slight edge in Georgia Senate runoffs: poll (Original Post) TomCADem Dec 2020 OP
Turnout, turnout, turnout RockRaven Dec 2020 #1
Biden Will Get NOTHING Accomplished Without The Senate sfstaxprep Dec 2020 #2
I'll be surprised if multiple cabinet members do get confirmed. n/t PoliticAverse Dec 2020 #4
Or any of his judicial nominees. n/t LastLiberal in PalmSprings Dec 2020 #10
Yes, OP says "Democrats cannot frame the race as a referendum on whether Biden takes office" thesquanderer Dec 2020 #21
The House majority is a real worry for 2022. Lonestarblue Dec 2020 #22
People still believe those "poll" things? n/t PoliticAverse Dec 2020 #3
I hope you're right mdbl Dec 2020 #16
Polls will always be off by at least the amount the Republicans cheat by. thesquanderer Dec 2020 #20
I'm actually encouraged Bayard Dec 2020 #5
Emerson College turbinetree Dec 2020 #6
A- rating Funtatlaguy Dec 2020 #7
That's what 538 says, and then this turbinetree Dec 2020 #8
Both races are tighter than a frogs 🐸 butt. As they say in Georgia. Funtatlaguy Dec 2020 #9
LOL you watered that phrase down a bit mdbl Dec 2020 #17
Southern Gentleman. Lol. Funtatlaguy Dec 2020 #18
We know that's water-tight! NotANeocon Dec 2020 #30
A poll is but a snapshot in time....... secondwind Dec 2020 #11
Sounds Like Democrats Need To DallasNE Dec 2020 #12
So the billionaires using their office corruptly to make money gets the rural Georgia vote? Midnight Writer Dec 2020 #13
One word. Abortion. Funtatlaguy Dec 2020 #19
Trafalgar polling Etherealoc1 Dec 2020 #14
I have and am donating to Warnock and Ossoff, but I am under no illusion about Georgia still_one Dec 2020 #15
The Hill ReRe Dec 2020 #23
Waiting to see the next A rated SurveyUSA results. They had our Dems ahead on Dec 3. JudyM Dec 2020 #24
K&R. nt Wednesdays Dec 2020 #25
Given the numbers are the same in both races, it's now purely partisan andym Dec 2020 #26
The Economist poll aggregator will not use Emerson due to poor polling methods Thekaspervote Dec 2020 #27
On the fourth day of advanced in person voting in Gwinnett GA ga_girl Dec 2020 #28
Interpretation is everything!1 NotANeocon Dec 2020 #29

RockRaven

(15,287 posts)
1. Turnout, turnout, turnout
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 12:06 AM
Dec 2020

Nobody's mind is going to be changed. Get people out to vote. That's the only way to make a difference.

sfstaxprep

(9,999 posts)
2. Biden Will Get NOTHING Accomplished Without The Senate
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 12:06 AM
Dec 2020

Turtle is going to block EVERYTHING.

I wouldn't be surprised if they try to prevent multiple cabinet members from being confirmed.

The next 2-4 years are going to be a complete shit show.

I'm very worried it's going to cost us the House in 2022.

thesquanderer

(12,049 posts)
21. Yes, OP says "Democrats cannot frame the race as a referendum on whether Biden takes office"
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 07:57 AM
Dec 2020

but it CAN be framed, in part, as a referendum on whether McConnell should be majority leader.

Lonestarblue

(10,497 posts)
22. The House majority is a real worry for 2022.
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 08:53 AM
Dec 2020

Republicans will have had enough time to use the 2020 census to gerrymander their districts and ensure fewer Democrats can be elected. Her in Texas the gerrymandering from 2010 was starting to fray because of people moving into previously Republican majority districts. That will change for 2022 because Republican control the legislature and can do anything they please. The DNC needs to start working on 2022 now.

mdbl

(4,978 posts)
16. I hope you're right
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 07:06 AM
Dec 2020

the right wing have put in lots of scare commercials on local stations here. Purdue's commercial says only he can save America LOL

thesquanderer

(12,049 posts)
20. Polls will always be off by at least the amount the Republicans cheat by.
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 07:51 AM
Dec 2020

I'm using the term"cheat" loosely, but I mean anything they do to skew the vote, even things like those that create longer lines where the demographics don't favor them, etc. I don't think polls can fully take this into account.

Bayard

(22,583 posts)
5. I'm actually encouraged
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 12:38 AM
Dec 2020

Urban/suburban voters brought GA home for Biden. If they're only a few points apart, that can change a lot in the next few weeks. Especially with Stacy Abrams at work. I read where they are getting a huge amount of early voting, and that's good for us.

Funtatlaguy

(10,955 posts)
9. Both races are tighter than a frogs 🐸 butt. As they say in Georgia.
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 01:42 AM
Dec 2020

Abrams is helping coordinate the GOTV just as she did in November.
We need just as big of a turnout and the Republicans need to be just a little less motivated.
It’s doable. 🤞

DallasNE

(7,418 posts)
12. Sounds Like Democrats Need To
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 02:44 AM
Dec 2020

Hammer home the Republican agenda to charge higher premium rates for Medicare coverage and Republican desires to privatize Social Security. Biden made good headway with the 65 and older voter so Democrats should be able to make decent headway with seniors.

Midnight Writer

(22,093 posts)
13. So the billionaires using their office corruptly to make money gets the rural Georgia vote?
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 03:40 AM
Dec 2020

That's insane.

still_one

(92,740 posts)
15. I have and am donating to Warnock and Ossoff, but I am under no illusion about Georgia
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 05:46 AM
Dec 2020

Whoever is able to get more people out to vote wins

but it will be close


andym

(5,457 posts)
26. Given the numbers are the same in both races, it's now purely partisan
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 11:55 AM
Dec 2020

Voters are likely considering party identification over the individual strengths/weaknesses of the candidates. Democratic voters need to come out more enthusiastically than GOP voters to win.

Thekaspervote

(32,942 posts)
27. The Economist poll aggregator will not use Emerson due to poor polling methods
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 12:03 PM
Dec 2020

Emerson used to have a d- rating on 538 until just recently.
They were far from accurate during the GE

Having said that, I’m hopeful, but it’s GA

ga_girl

(187 posts)
28. On the fourth day of advanced in person voting in Gwinnett GA
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 03:04 PM
Dec 2020

It's 36 degrees Outside Air Temperature. Feels like 29. Wait times range from 5 minutes at the fairground, to 1 hour at Elections HQ. 20 minute wait reported at my AIP location.

That's a lot of people braving sucky weather so they can vote.

NotANeocon

(423 posts)
29. Interpretation is everything!1
Thu Dec 17, 2020, 07:41 PM
Dec 2020

This was hardly a 'large' poll and the margin of error is 3.9 - This means the results are too close to call anybody as a legitimate leader since they are inside the margin.

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