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highplainsdem

(48,981 posts)
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:37 PM Nov 2012

Nate Silver's book sales skyrocket

Source: Politico

Nate Silver nailed it last night, and it's paying off.

The New York Times' political statistician recently released a book, and in the last 24 hours sales have skyrocketed by 850% on Amazon.com, CNNMoney reports. "It is now the second best selling book on the site, behind only popular children's book, 'The Third Wheel, Diary of a Wimpy Kid Book 7.'"

Prior to the election, Silver's methodology was called into question by pundits skeptical of his reliance on polling data, including MSNBC's Joe Scarborough and David Brooks of the New York Times. (Silver's model is based on what Ezra Klein described as "little more than a sophisticated form of poll aggregation." If Silver had been wrong, the polling would have been wrong.) Yet Silver's model correctly forecast the winner in all 50 states. Florida, which he gave Obama a 50.3% chance of winning, is still up in the air -- but the 50.3% forecast more or less accounts for that.

Silver has been a huge asset to the Times since his model correctly forecast the outcome in 49 of 50 states during the 2008 election. In the days and hours prior to the election, roughly one out of every five visitors to NYTimes.com visited his blog, FiveThirtyEight.

-snip-

Read more: http://www.politico.com/blogs/media/2012/11/nate-silvers-book-sales-skyrocket-148893.html

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Nate Silver's book sales skyrocket (Original Post) highplainsdem Nov 2012 OP
GOOD! elleng Nov 2012 #1
Couldn't happen to a nicer geek FailureToCommunicate Nov 2012 #2
Well deserved.... GETTINGTIRED Nov 2012 #3
The Dems Need To Hire Him Before The Repugs Do....nt global1 Nov 2012 #4
To do what? (nt) harmonicon Nov 2012 #5
Don't know for what, and don't think he'd take the job. elleng Nov 2012 #6
Nate is a gay 34 y/o man who lives in Brooklyn Maven Nov 2012 #12
I Waited & Waited Bigredhunk Nov 2012 #7
Palin bought it and will be a force next election tufnel Nov 2012 #8
WELL, I'll bet Repubs are buying all of them clydefrand Nov 2012 #9
Good for him Blasphemer Nov 2012 #10
I need help with uncertainty calculations for an impedance stabilization network Kolesar Nov 2012 #11

elleng

(130,912 posts)
6. Don't know for what, and don't think he'd take the job.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:01 PM
Nov 2012

FIrst, he may be tired of this gig, and
Second, he recognizes he must be and appear to be neutral, and he's taken that so far that he doesn't vote, not since he's been with NYT anyway. I'm sure he wouldn't accept a position with any partisan entity.

Maven

(10,533 posts)
12. Nate is a gay 34 y/o man who lives in Brooklyn
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 03:30 PM
Nov 2012

I doubt he'll be going to work for the GOP anytime soon.

That said, I'm sure he would see no point in working for partisan ends. It's not his business. His business is crunching the numbers.

Bigredhunk

(1,349 posts)
7. I Waited & Waited
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:05 PM
Nov 2012

Finally downloaded it on Amazon in the middle of the night last night/this morning. I was hoping it might drop to $9.99 from $12.99, but no biggie. It has been higher than that. Pretty sure it was $14.99 at some point(s).

Can't wait to read it!

tufnel

(95 posts)
8. Palin bought it and will be a force next election
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:11 PM
Nov 2012

Something like 1 ice cube plus 2 ice cubes, factoring in the global ice melt ratio to ice and heat on the planet to the size of her ice cube trays and the distance to Russia, compared to total ice on Earth versus average global temp, multiplied by how many miles Russia is from Africa and how many Elks you can kill in a year, times how many babies Levi produces in a year, minus pills McCain takes in a day.....


And Palin wins the straw polls!

clydefrand

(4,325 posts)
9. WELL, I'll bet Repubs are buying all of them
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 12:20 AM
Nov 2012

so they can learn how to do what Nate knows so they can win the next time.

Or maybe they don't want anyone else see how he does it.

I'm so thankful for Nate. Way to go, young man.

Blasphemer

(3,261 posts)
10. Good for him
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 12:24 AM
Nov 2012

Others got it right also but he's the one that had to publicly defend his methodology time and time again in the face of right wing cynicism/denial.

Kolesar

(31,182 posts)
11. I need help with uncertainty calculations for an impedance stabilization network
Thu Nov 8, 2012, 07:21 AM
Nov 2012

Probability is not fun.

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