Tropical Depression TWO

[brooklynite]

Source: National Hurricane Center

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014
500 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.6N 43.8W
ABOUT 1205 MI...1935 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW
BY THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.

Read more: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?5-daynl#contents

[Warpy]

1. It's got a little spin going on, noticed it last night

There's a good chance it will stay out to sea at this point. Most of them that have formed near the Azores have done that over the past few years.

[LynneSin]

2. That's Hurricane Irene's path.

It has the same path this new one. So let's hope there is something that pushes it out to sea.

[Warpy]

3. Agreed. There will be no funding for disaster relief

unless other programs that benefit abandoned and/or jobless families are gutted.

[OnlinePoker]

4. If you read the release, it's expected to weaken to a remnant low by Thursday. n/t

[LynneSin]

5. That's good news

[Tetris_Iguana]

6. Yeah it's pretty much toast once it reaches Puerto Rico.

I don't think the dry air will be as much of a problem as the wind shear it will encounter in a few days.

Biggest danger is if it makes it to more favorable conditions just east of Florida.

Since this system is too tiny for most weather models, anything is possible at this point. I mean, it's not even supposed to exist right now.