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Thu Oct 15, 2020, 01:33 PM

These states tell us the GOP is in deep trouble

Opinion by Jennifer Rubin

I cannot recall the last time Georgia and South Carolina were both in play for Democrats. A Democratic president last won South Carolina in 1976; the last Democratic senator was elected there in 1998. A Democratic president, Southerner Bill Clinton, last won Georgia in 1992, and its last Democratic senator won a regular election in 1996. President Trump won Georgia by about 5 points in 2016 and South Carolina by about 14 points; this year, he is down 1.2 points in Georgia and leads by only about 7 points in South Carolina, according to FiveThirtyEight.

The South Carolina Senate race is effectively a dead heat; the Democrat leads in the Georgia special election Senate race by almost 8 points (though thatís far shy of the 50 percent needed to avoid a runoff), while the other Senate race is within the margin of error.

It is stunning for those who have followed politics over the past few decades to think a Democratic president could win Georgia and three Democrats could be elected to the Senate from two deep-red states. That Georgia is even competitive presents a gobsmacking problem for Trump given that former vice president Joe Biden does not need it to win the presidency, nor does the Democratic Party need any of those three seats to win the Senate majority.

We are talking about these states and some other red states because Biden is comfortably ahead in the states he really does need to win (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania). Biden is narrowly ahead (within the margin of error) in Iowa, Florida, Arizona and North Carolina. Democratic Senate candidates have small leads in the North Carolina and Iowa races and a bigger one in the Arizona race.


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Reply These states tell us the GOP is in deep trouble (Original post)
Zorro Oct 15 OP
Botany Oct 15 #1

Response to Zorro (Original post)

Thu Oct 15, 2020, 01:42 PM

1. My fantasy

Texas, South Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Florida, Ohio, some great plains state, KY, and Alabama
turn blue.

Arizona and Florida with all those senior citizens trapped inside because of the virus will be
trouble for Trump.

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