2018 US House Election in TX-27- Now that Farenthold-R is retiring,

[nkpolitics1212]

Could TX-27 be a Democratic Pickup if Solomon Ortiz Jr runs and wins the Democratic nomination?

[TexasTowelie]

1. It won't happen.

The filing deadline for candidates was on December 11. Here is the list of candidates from Ballotpedia:

Democratic Party Democrats

Raul (Roy) Barrera[7]
Vanessa Edwards Foster[7]
Eric Holguin[9]
Ronnie McDonald[10]
Rene Pena[11]


Republican Party Republicans

Bech Bruun - Former chairman of the Texas Water Development Board[12]
Michael Cloud[13]
Eddie Gassman[12]
Jerry Hall[12]
Chris Mapp[12]

Withdrew

Blake Farenthold - Incumbent[6]

https://ballotpedia.org/Texas%27_27th_Congressional_District_election,_2018


The state GOP party is suing to remove Farenthold from the ballot. I posted an article about that in the Texas Group.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/107837511

[TexasTowelie]

2. I also want to add that I live in Farenthold's district

and it isgerrymandered as a safe Republican district. It looks like the contest will be Bech Bruun and Michael Cloud on the GOP side. Cloud was cjairman of the Victoria County GOP and Victoria is the second largest city in the district (behind the portion of Corpus Christi in the district). The dominant industries in the district are oil/gas/chemical production, shipping and farming.

This district is not an area of the state known for its liberalism. In 2014, Farenthold ran against Wesley Reed (former military officer) and won with nearly 64% of the vote. I doubt that any Democrat can win the district despite the Farenthold scandal.