The likely scenario for Democrats in the 2022 US Senate Election is they will end up with 51 seats.
Democrats are strongly favored to win
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Democrats are slightly favored to win
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
The No Clear Favorite US Senate Races are
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
Strongly favored (greater than 5 percent.)
Slightly favored(1 to 5 percent.)
No Clear Favorite(less than 1 percent)
Biden won HI,MD,CA,NY,OR,VT,CT,IL,WA,CO,and NH by a margin greater than 5 percent. The 2022 Democratic US Senate nominee for these states will perform better than Biden did.
Biden won AZ,PA,GA,and NV by a less than 5 percent margin. The 2022 Democratic US Senate nominee for these states will perform better than Biden did. The 2022 Republican US Senate nominee in AZ,PA,and GA are highly controversial.
WI,NC,OH,and FL are Tossup to Lean Republican states due to the outcome of the 2020 US Presidential Election. There is no clear favorite winner in these states.
