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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Sat Jul 29, 2023, 06:52 PM Jul 2023

2024 US Senate Election Ratings.

Safe Democratic
CA
CT
DE
HI
ME(King-I) caucuses with the Democrats.
MD
MA
MN(Klobuchar-D) won all of her US Senate Races by at least a 20 percent margin.
NJ
NM
NY
RI
VT
WA
Safe Republican
IN(Jim Banks-R vs an unknown Democrat.)
MS
NE regular
NE special
ND
TN
UT
WY
Likely Democratic(low double digit margin)
MI
PA
VA
Likely Republican
FL
MO
WV(Manchin-D loses by a double digit margin.)
Lean Democratic
AZ
NV
WI
Lean Republican
TX
Tilt Democratic
MT
OH

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AndyS

(14,559 posts)
1. This looks encouraging. Fingers crossed along with toes and legs for Cruz
Sat Jul 29, 2023, 07:50 PM
Jul 2023

spending more time with his family in Cancun.

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
2. This is the 2nd US Senate Election that Ted Cruz is facing a top tier Democratic opponent.
Sat Jul 29, 2023, 08:18 PM
Jul 2023

Beto O’Rourke in 2018
Colin Allred in 2024.
Will Colin Allred and Roland Guitteriez run for Governor or John Cornyn’s US Senate seat in 2026 if they don’t defeat Cruz?

AndyS

(14,559 posts)
3. It is disappointing. Texas isn't red or blue, it's non-voting.
Sat Jul 29, 2023, 08:26 PM
Jul 2023

Only 22% of possible voters actually vote. I had hoped that would change after Roe's demise but the voting mix didn't change at all from '16 to '20. Other issues are that Democrats don't run in so many races, we just hand it to Rs, voter suppression and voter fatigue. You can only lose so many times before you just give up.

I hope the candidates we do have will keep at it regardless of the seat. There's a balance between name recognition and 'he a loser'.

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