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Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumApril 26th Primaries – Polls and Predictions
Connecticut (closed primary) 55 delegatesQuinnipiac 4/12-4/18 Clinton 51 Sanders 42 Clinton +9
Emerson 4/10-4/11 Clinton 49 Sanders 43 Clinton +6
Average 4/10-4/18 Clinton 50.0 Sanders 42.5 Clinton +7.5
Nate Silver Clinton chances of winning - 93%
Delaware (closed primary) 21 delegates
Gravis 4/17-4/18 Clinton 45 Sanders 38 Clinton +7
No predictions
Maryland (closed primary) 95 delegates
Monmouth 4/18-4/20 Clinton 57 Sanders 32 Clinton +25
PPP (D) 4/15-4/17 Clinton 58 Sanders 33 Clinton +25
NBC 4/Marist 4/5-4/9 Clinton 58 Sanders 36 Clinton +22
Wash Post/U. of Maryland 3/30-4/3 Clinton 55 Sanders 40 Clinton +15
Average 3/30-4/20 Clinton 57.0 Sanders 35.3 Clinton +21.7
Nate Silver Clinton chances of winning - 99%
Pennsylvania (closed primary) 189 delegates
Monmouth 4/17-4/19 Clinton 52 Sanders 39 Clinton +13
Franklin & Marshall 4/11-4/18 Clinton 58 Sanders 31 Clinton +27
FOX News 4/4-4/7 Clinton 49 Sanders 38 Clinton +11
Quinnipiac 3/30-4/4 Clinton 50 Sanders 44 Clinton +6
Harper (R) 4/2-4/3 Clinton 55 Sanders 33 Clinton +22
Average 3/30-4/19 Clinton 52.8 Sanders 37.0 Clinton +15.8
Nate Silver Clinton chances of winning - 97%
Rhode Island (semi-closed primary) 24 delegates
Brown University 2/22-2/23 Clinton 49 Sanders 40 Clinton +9
No predictions
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April 26th Primaries – Polls and Predictions (Original Post)
CajunBlazer
Apr 2016
OP
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)1. End of the day, Hilary's delegate and popular vote lead grows...
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)2. ... and Bernie falls FURTHER BEHIND.
Arkansas Granny
(31,518 posts)4. Yep. Even if Bernie wins some of the closer contests,
Hillary will gain so many in PA & MD that he will still be losing ground.
SharonClark
(10,014 posts)3. K&R
pandr32
(11,588 posts)5. It will be an amazing evening
Will be happy dancing a whole lot!
FloridaBlues
(4,008 posts)6. Love these numbers. Hope she sweeps all five !!
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)7. kick
LiberalFighter
(50,950 posts)8. Based on those numbers Clinton should net about 50 delegates.
Total net delegates nearly 290.
George II
(67,782 posts)9. It looks to be her second 5-0 night.
Cha
(297,317 posts)10. Steady as she goes, Hillary.. let's have some blowouts!
Mahalo Cajun~
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)11. Excellent.
Sparkly
(24,149 posts)12. I'm in Maryland and can not wait to vote!!!
(Nevertheless, I'm not voting early... I just kind of like the ritual.)
riversedge
(70,242 posts)13. Delaware---Clinton +7 (Sorry, but I made a mistake, poll is NOT from RI)
Last edited Sat Apr 23, 2016, 08:27 AM - Edit history (1)
Poll Date Sample MoE
Clinton
Sanders
Spread
Gravis 4/17 - 4/18 1026 LV 3.1 45 38 Clinton +7
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/de/delaware_democratic_presidential_primary-5805.html
http://www.dailynewsbin.com/news/hillary-clinton-carves-out-april-26th-leads-in-connecticut-and-delaware/24561/
..........But the two new polls in Connecticut from Emerson and Quinnipiac suggest that Hillary will win the state by seven and a half points. Thats a state where Sanders has spent time campaigning and has been hoping to win. In an interesting development, Gravis has just released the very first Delaware poll, which says that Hillary leads the state by seven points.
When there is just one late-arriving poll in a small state and no other data, its often a sign that the data may be less than steady, as evidenced by the other polling outlets collective unwillingness to even try their hand there. So Hillary Clintons Delaware lead would feel more certain if one or more additional outlets offer polling data there between now and Tuesday, but it does help confirm her April 26th strength.
As for Rhode Island, the fifth state to vote on April 26th, the only poll conducted was in February. It had Hillary up by nine points, but that data is too old to be considered viable. Still, every bit of polling data available across the five states suggests that shell win at least four out of five states, and perhaps all five, when voters line up on Tuesday. .........
fleabiscuit
(4,542 posts)14. Good late night news! eom
riversedge
(70,242 posts)15. Yes, it is.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)16. Think you mean Delaware not RI
And Gravis/OANN is one of the worst if not very worst pollsters this cycle. Delaware should be a very early call for Clinton.
riversedge
(70,242 posts)17. Yes, on both accounts. I corrected the OP. Sorry.