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Wed May 11, 2016, 01:06 AM

How do BOTH candidates miss their targets?

According to Nate Silver, Bernie's WV target was 17 delegates and Hillary's was 12.

According to Google, Bernie got 16 delegates in WV and Hillary 11.

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Reply How do BOTH candidates miss their targets? (Original post)
jmowreader May 2016 OP
stopbush May 2016 #1
Treant May 2016 #2
BlueMTexpat May 2016 #5
LuvLoogie May 2016 #3
jmowreader May 2016 #4
Lucinda May 2016 #6

Response to jmowreader (Original post)

Wed May 11, 2016, 01:08 AM

1. One delegate remains uncommitted, according to the Green Papers.

Last edited Wed May 11, 2016, 10:13 AM - Edit history (1)

Sanders netted 2 delegates tonight. Including the supers, the total so far is Sanders 19, Hillary 17.

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Response to jmowreader (Original post)

Wed May 11, 2016, 01:08 AM

2. They don't

(unless there's a third competitor in there, which there was, but he received no delegates that I know of yet).

It looks like only 27 of 29 are apportioned at this point, with 2 waiting for final results. I've noticed that they frequently do the update and then add on any newly apportioned delegates later on.

Ten to one it'll settle down by morning, but it could take a couple days if somebody's really slow in reporting.

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Response to Treant (Reply #2)

Wed May 11, 2016, 02:53 AM

5. That's the explanation.

The same thing has happened in other primaries.

At worst, Hillary could miss her delegate target by one, which still keeps her on-track.

Per the NYTimes results, four percent of the vote is still not reflected in the count. http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/west-virginia

It seems that quite a few people voted for at least one other third candidate - possibly the same felon they voted for in 2012. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/05/10/flashback-the-time-a-felon-took-41-percent-against-president-obama-in-west-virginia/

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Response to jmowreader (Original post)

Wed May 11, 2016, 01:26 AM

3. It's going to be 18 to 11, I think.

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Response to LuvLoogie (Reply #3)

Wed May 11, 2016, 02:42 AM

4. Thanks.

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Response to jmowreader (Original post)

Wed May 11, 2016, 03:00 AM

6. 10 percent of the vote went to other i think...

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