FiveThirtyEight now has a projection for Pennsylvania.

[Chichiri]

Hillary 66.6, Bernie 29.8. Hillary has a 97% chance to win.

The confidence intervals are VERY wide, so look for this to change, perhaps dramatically.

[Thinkingabout]

1. Looks upside down on who needs the votes.

[Chichiri]

3. Those are projected vote percentages. nt

[Thinkingabout]

5. Yes, projections but Hillary is not on a steep hill.

[Treant]

2. I saw that

A delicious, delicious, chocolate with cherry on it cake for Clinton if it bears out.

Personally, I think it's a little bit of an outlier given the history of my state in past primaries. I'm tentatively guessing Clinton 55, Sanders 45 at this juncture...but I'm prepared to be pleasantly surprised.

Senator Sanders isn't Senator Obama, who played very well in the state.

And she has my vote on April 26th when I'll be happily going to my polling place to show that #ImWithHer.

[onehandle]

4. Our state is a closed primary.

So no interference from 'independents' and Republicans.

[displacedtexan]

6. Lines will be impossible, "Foul!" will be cried, and the angels will weep...

...if a certain candidate does not prevail.

[Dawson Leery]

7. Bernie cannot count of Rethugs and Paulite "independents" to bail him out.

The late April states are all closed, as they should be.

[Freddie]

8. I'm in PA

myself, spouse, daughter and son-in-law will all be proudly voting for Hillary on April 26. Often by the time of our primary it's a done deal but we're voting no matter what!

[Trenzalore]

9. PA's demographics do not favor Bernie

Closed primary
Older population
Large urban centers
Diverse population.

Bernie has had no ability to carry any state with those factors. It will probably be as big of a loss as Florida.

[Treant]

12. Possible!

Bernie should carry the State College region (if they bother to vote, it's getting very close to final exams at that time), and may perform well mid-state.

While that won't net him a ton of delegates (mid-state doesn't have a lot of people, comparatively), it does give him a decent showing in some regions and pushes the number of district delegates awarded up.

In my area, I predict a very Clinton-heavy vote (the Lehigh Valley) and I doubt he'll dominate in Philadelphia for ever so many reasons.

[Trenzalore]

13. We are in the same area

[Treant]

15. From your dot,

pretty close! I'm very near the point where New Jersey eats furthest into PA.

[Freddie]

14. Hi from right outside the Valley!

I think there's a few if us here! Yes PA is Hillary Country, note her huge win in 2008.

[Treant]

16. There are!

We seem a bit over-represented in the group, so I'm thinking that bodes very well for Clinton's performance in April.

[peggysue2]

10. Philly wil go Hillary

Hillary's got this!

[kjones]

11. Just saying...