Early warning signal of possible recession: Fewer goods are being shipped across the country.

[mahatmakanejeeves]

George Conway Retweeted

Here's another early warning signal of possible recession: Fewer goods are being shipped across the country.

Link to tweet

[elleng]

1. Right, 'transports' are an early indicator.

[Iliyah]

2. WOW, ya think . . .

The 1-2%ers don't feel the raise in prices like I do, but shit, cost is going upward. My bills interest rates are up as well and a friends of mine's SSI was over a hundred dollars short (could have been the cost for Medicare) since she is turning 65 in August.

[Freethinker65]

3. Retail is slow at the upscale mall where I work part time.

Chicago suburb

[ProudMNDemocrat]

4. Has anyone noticed LESS Trucks on the Highways these days?

Going to and coming home from the Twin Cities this past weekend, I did not see many 18 wheelers on Hwy 52 in either direction. The Trade Tariffs are hurting Trucking firms, causing increased prices on appliances, commodities, etc.

Does Trump care? Apprarently not.

[Iliyah]

5. Not in Los Angeles.

[Wellstone ruled]

6. From what I hear from the

Trucker Family Members,things coming out of Cali have slowed way down,still loads going in but your turn around time catching a load coming back has stretched from hours to days.

BTW,even the Containers via Rail have dropped in volume . West bound Containers are for the most part empty.

[Auggie]

8. Or the S.F. Bay Area

[progree]

7. Tomorrow at 830 am ET we get the first look at Q2 GDP, and a week from tomorrow it's

Last edited Fri Jul 26, 2019, 08:57 AM - Edit history (1)

jobs jobs jobs -- the BLS jobs report

Job growth has already slowed down in 2019 so far.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/111685907

And yes yes, the unemployment rate is at about 50 year lows, but note that the prime age (25-54) labor force participation rate is below the pre-Great Recession average, going back to about 1987.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=12256909

Stock market (S&P 500): only up 4.6% over the past year and a half (since the Jan 26, 2018 close of 2873).

[Farmer-Rick]

9. The freight train railroad traffic around here has significantly decreased

I use to hear a train 2 to 3 times a day. The railroad tracks are about 3 miles from my farm. You get use to the far off sound of the train, but my new dog started barking at the sound so I've noticed it during the last 4 months.

Now I rarely hear it even once a day. I'd say I hear it maybe 4 times a week. My dog has settled down and stopped barking at everything, I kind of miss the distant sound of the passing train.