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Environment & Energy
Related: About this forumArctic Sea Ice Extent Likely To Set All-Time Low For April
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Google Translate: The average Arctic sea ice extent in April will be a record. The average over the first 8 days (13.81 Mkm²) is so low (each day beats a record), that at the end of the month this average will be under the previous record (13.69 Mkm² in April 2016)
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Arctic Sea Ice Extent Likely To Set All-Time Low For April (Original Post)
hatrack
Apr 2019
OP
2naSalit
(86,595 posts)1. The new ominous phrase will become...
"Summer is coming". I already dread summer because of the heat and fires.
Cetacea
(7,367 posts)2. Not good. First Blue Ocean Event looming
If the 50 gigatons of methane that is stored is released , temperatures could rapidly rise as much as a half of a degree Celcius. Some estimates put the rapidity of that rise in terms of weeks, which would be detrimental to many species as well as crops.
lapfog_1
(29,199 posts)3. methane trapped in the ocean floor
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methane_clathrate#Reservoir_size
The size of the oceanic methane clathrate reservoir is poorly known, and estimates of its size decreased by roughly an order of magnitude per decade since it was first recognized that clathrates could exist in the oceans during the 1960s and 1970s.[20] The highest estimates (e.g. 3×1018 m3)[21] were based on the assumption that fully dense clathrates could litter the entire floor of the deep ocean. Improvements in our understanding of clathrate chemistry and sedimentology have revealed that hydrates form in only a narrow range of depths (continental shelves), at only some locations in the range of depths where they could occur (10-30% of the Gas hydrate stability zone), and typically are found at low concentrations (0.91.5% by volume) at sites where they do occur. Recent estimates constrained by direct sampling suggest the global inventory occupies between 1×1015and 5×1015 m3 (0.24 to 1.2 million cubic miles).[20] This estimate, corresponding to 5002500 gigatonnes carbon (Gt C), is smaller than the 5000 Gt C estimated for all other geo-organic fuel reserves but substantially larger than the ~230 Gt C estimated for other natural gas sources.[20][22] The permafrost reservoir has been estimated at about 400 Gt C in the Arctic,[23][citation needed] but no estimates have been made of possible Antarctic reservoirs. These are large amounts. In comparison, the total carbon in the atmosphere is around 800 gigatons (see Carbon: Occurrence).
These modern estimates are notably smaller than the 10,000 to 11,000 Gt C (2×1016 m3) proposed[24] by previous researchers as a reason to consider clathrates to be a geo-organic fuel resource (MacDonald 1990, Kvenvolden 1998). Lower abundances of clathrates do not rule out their economic potential, but a lower total volume and apparently low concentration at most sites[20] does suggest that only a limited percentage of clathrates deposits may provide an economically viable resource.
The size of the oceanic methane clathrate reservoir is poorly known, and estimates of its size decreased by roughly an order of magnitude per decade since it was first recognized that clathrates could exist in the oceans during the 1960s and 1970s.[20] The highest estimates (e.g. 3×1018 m3)[21] were based on the assumption that fully dense clathrates could litter the entire floor of the deep ocean. Improvements in our understanding of clathrate chemistry and sedimentology have revealed that hydrates form in only a narrow range of depths (continental shelves), at only some locations in the range of depths where they could occur (10-30% of the Gas hydrate stability zone), and typically are found at low concentrations (0.91.5% by volume) at sites where they do occur. Recent estimates constrained by direct sampling suggest the global inventory occupies between 1×1015and 5×1015 m3 (0.24 to 1.2 million cubic miles).[20] This estimate, corresponding to 5002500 gigatonnes carbon (Gt C), is smaller than the 5000 Gt C estimated for all other geo-organic fuel reserves but substantially larger than the ~230 Gt C estimated for other natural gas sources.[20][22] The permafrost reservoir has been estimated at about 400 Gt C in the Arctic,[23][citation needed] but no estimates have been made of possible Antarctic reservoirs. These are large amounts. In comparison, the total carbon in the atmosphere is around 800 gigatons (see Carbon: Occurrence).
These modern estimates are notably smaller than the 10,000 to 11,000 Gt C (2×1016 m3) proposed[24] by previous researchers as a reason to consider clathrates to be a geo-organic fuel resource (MacDonald 1990, Kvenvolden 1998). Lower abundances of clathrates do not rule out their economic potential, but a lower total volume and apparently low concentration at most sites[20] does suggest that only a limited percentage of clathrates deposits may provide an economically viable resource.