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rDigital

(2,239 posts)
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:13 PM Aug 2012

Harvard Study: Gun Control is counter productive


Nations with stringent anti-gun laws generally have substantially higher murder rates than those that do not. The study found that the nine European nations with the lowest rates of gun ownership (5,000 or fewer guns per 100,000 population) have a combined murder rate three times higher than that of the nine nations with the highest rates of gun ownership (at least 15,000 guns per 100,000 population).
.....
Finally, and as if to prove the bumper sticker correct - that "gun don't kill people, people do" - the study also shows that Russia's murder rate is four times higher than the U.S. and more than 20 times higher than Norway. This, in a country that practically eradicated private gun ownership over the course of decades of totalitarian rule and police state methods of suppression. Needless to say, very few Russian murders involve guns.

The important thing to keep in mind is not the rate of deaths by gun - a statistic that anti-gun advocates are quick to recite - but the overall murder rate, regardless of means. The criminologists explain:

[P]er capita murder overall is only half as frequent in the United States as in several other nations where gun murder is rarer, but murder by strangling, stabbing, or beating is much more frequent. (p. 663 - emphases in original)
http://theacru.org/acru/harvard_study_gun_control_is_counterproductive/

http://www.law.harvard.edu/students/orgs/jlpp/Vol30_No2_KatesMauseronline.pdf

I took some of this info from an excerpt from the ACRU website as quoted. The data speaks for itself.
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Harvard Study: Gun Control is counter productive (Original Post) rDigital Aug 2012 OP
Also, there are no legal civilian handguns in Russia, but their murder rate is over 3x the USA. nt rDigital Aug 2012 #1
Interesting! jpbollma Aug 2012 #2
If you like numbers about the entire world.... rDigital Aug 2012 #3
Very interesting. glacierbay Aug 2012 #4
LOL. This again! The stupidity has no limits. DanTex Aug 2012 #5
When you wash away all the dirt rDigital Aug 2012 #6
LOL. I highly doubt that you know how to calculate a correlation. DanTex Aug 2012 #10
i seen you on other threads as well MrDiaz Aug 2012 #41
Facebook.com/guncontrolkills is a site that romanticizes the Ruby Ridge killers...eom Kolesar Aug 2012 #28
FBI snipers? nt Union Scribe Aug 2012 #58
So in short: this is pseudo-social science for National Review types. ellisonz Aug 2012 #7
Prove it wrong. I've provided an easy avenue for you to do so. FYI: you can't : ) rDigital Aug 2012 #8
I have better things to do than read 40 pages of rubbish. ellisonz Aug 2012 #11
I did prove it wrong. DanTex Aug 2012 #12
Ah, if only you could see through your side's BS as well n/t krispos42 Aug 2012 #50
although his copy and pasted rant has one major error gejohnston Aug 2012 #9
Yes, I did copy and pasted an old post of mine. DanTex Aug 2012 #13
Bottom-line: they over-estimated "DGU"'s ellisonz Aug 2012 #15
that is not what Kleck's study said gejohnston Aug 2012 #19
Umm... ellisonz Aug 2012 #20
up to gejohnston Aug 2012 #22
So his words do not mean what they say? ellisonz Aug 2012 #24
They over-estimated DGUs by a large factor. DanTex Aug 2012 #21
man that is a pretty substance free rant gejohnston Aug 2012 #23
Dodge. DanTex Aug 2012 #25
Bookmarked. n/t ellisonz Aug 2012 #27
I believe a DGU included people... krispos42 Aug 2012 #51
Exactly. But look how they are lapping it up! DanTex Aug 2012 #14
"There is no correlation between gun control and crime." ellisonz Aug 2012 #16
I see you've encountered our new crop of gungeon trolls. DanTex Aug 2012 #17
Funny how that works... ellisonz Aug 2012 #18
"This place really needs to be shut down like a restaurant with a rat problem." Aww, poor you. friendly_iconoclast Aug 2012 #32
You're not Deputy Zampolit of DU and never will be. Get over yourself. friendly_iconoclast Aug 2012 #36
"This place really needs to be shut down like a restaurant with a rat problem." TPaine7 Aug 2012 #42
So those who have a different view than yours are crazy? spin Aug 2012 #47
People with crazy views are crazy. ellisonz Aug 2012 #53
although crazy is a value judgement that means nothing gejohnston Aug 2012 #55
"What is the difference you see in the run of the mill Democratic (or independent for that matter)" ellisonz Aug 2012 #57
In other words... beevul Aug 2013 #72
I contend that the GOP would not have been able to win the election ... spin Aug 2012 #59
You're actually answering your own question and proving my point with this sentence. ellisonz Aug 2012 #62
I have said here before ... spin Aug 2012 #63
You have invited me to leave forums/threads before. Straw Man Aug 2012 #54
Ignored. n/t ellisonz Aug 2012 #56
Don't mind him. Union Scribe Aug 2012 #60
Cool down, pardner. You got your safe haven. Why you wanna ban open debate? Eleanors38 Aug 2013 #70
You can always go back to Castle Bansalot hack89 Aug 2013 #74
thanks for the reasoned reply to this pseudo-intellectual garbage samsingh Aug 2012 #26
a reasoned reply to pseudo intellectual garbage gejohnston Aug 2012 #29
mirror samsingh Aug 2012 #34
I never claimed to be an academic or gejohnston Aug 2012 #38
It's hard call to me. no_hypocrisy Aug 2012 #30
everyone agrees with regulation gejohnston Aug 2012 #33
If the Brady Law re assault weapons has expired, I'd like it returned. no_hypocrisy Aug 2012 #35
the AWB didn't actually ban anything gejohnston Aug 2012 #37
OK no_hypocrisy Aug 2012 #40
Wash all of the dirt away and rDigital Aug 2012 #31
Yeah, you already said that, but the problem is, it's simply not true. DanTex Aug 2012 #39
There's no correlation in your articles, just obfuscation and misinterpretation. rDigital Aug 2012 #43
Umm... that fact that you personally don't understand something... DanTex Aug 2012 #44
There is such a thing an peer reviewed garbage science rDigital Aug 2012 #45
And why is it garbage science? Because you disagree with it? DanTex Aug 2012 #46
You're entitled to your own opinion, but not your on facts. rDigital Aug 2012 #48
The lights are on but there's nobody home. DanTex Aug 2012 #49
It sounds like you better get home and turn off those lights. rDigital Aug 2012 #52
So does that smiley mean you think global warming is a hoax? DanTex Aug 2012 #64
It means you should turn off those lights, before it's too late! rDigital Aug 2012 #65
Dodge. Why won't you answer the question? DanTex Aug 2012 #66
Cuz, you ain't tha boss-a-me, son. Turn off them lights. rDigital Aug 2012 #67
LOL. Scared to even answer a simple question! OK then... DanTex Aug 2012 #68
Although some have rejected the observation re Russia, it might be worthwhile to focus upon England AnotherMcIntosh Aug 2012 #61
Look at the source Patriot451 Aug 2013 #69
the idea that differences in gun laws gejohnston Aug 2013 #71
blaming the vaccine, not the disease jimmy the one Sep 2013 #75
Kates is hardly a "gun guru" gejohnston Sep 2013 #76
Gun control kills.... ileus Aug 2013 #73

jpbollma

(552 posts)
2. Interesting!
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:16 PM
Aug 2012

I am not really on either side on this issue, as it really isn't much of a concern to me. I like to read these well thought out reports though rather than the normal back and forth.

 

rDigital

(2,239 posts)
3. If you like numbers about the entire world....
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:20 PM
Aug 2012
http://www.nationmaster.com is very cool to check out all kinds of things. Crime, GDP, literacy... you name it it's on there. It's worth the visit.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
5. LOL. This again! The stupidity has no limits.
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:24 PM
Aug 2012

This is not a "Harvard study". It's a non-peer-reviewed article written in the Harvard Journal of Law and Public Policy, which is a conservative Law Review edited by right-wing Harvard Law students. The people who wrote it do not appear to be trained in even the most rudimentary statistical techniques. And on top of that, there are actual factual errors and bad data. This "study" would never have made it through a peer review.

There are actual peer-reviewed "Harvard studies" on gun violence, and they generally come to the opposite conclusion than this piece of garbage. You can find some of it here.
https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/research/hicrc/firearms-research/

I'd go on, but since every six months or so, a new mouth-breathing gun fanatic decides to post this "Harvard study", so I've already covered this before...

Most incompetent pro-gun "researchers" tend to try to use at least slightly subtle methods for distorting and misrepresenting data. A good example is Gary Kleck, comparing estimates of defensive gun uses arrived at using one very loose methodology versus gun crimes estimated using a tighter methodology in order to come to the absurd conclusion that there are more defensive gun uses than criminal gun uses, despite the fact that any "apples-to-apples" comparison shows that there are far more criminal gun uses.

But Kates and Mauser raise the bar by simply using false data. It makes propagandizing so much easier! As has been pointed out on this board before, the authors quote the homicide rate of Luxembourg as 9.01/100K. Of course, as anyone even marginally knowledgeable about international crime statistics knows, this is completely out of the question, unless there were some kind of anomalous mass killing in that year. It is common knowledge that the only first-world nation with a homicide rate even close to that is the USA (which, not coincidentally, has far higher gun ownership than any other first-world nation).

What happened was there was a decimal point error: the Luxembourg homicide rate is actually 0.9/100K. Now, if this was some number hidden away in some table, maybe it wouldn't matter much. But it's not: they refer directly to this supposedly sky-high homicide rate of Luxembourg in the text, and they even highlight the number in Table 2. And with good reason: if that actually were the homicide rate of Luxembourg, then it would deserve to be highlighted.

This leaves us with the standard two possibilities for pro-gunner propaganda:
1) (Dishonesty) Kates and Mauser knew the number was bad, but chose to highlight it anyway, perhaps because it felt so good, for once, to have a statistic that didn't have to be further manipulated in any way in order to support their case.
2) (Incompetence) Kates and Mauser really didn't double check the number despite the fact that even an amateur would instantly be able to spot this as way out of line with reality.

To be honest, I'm not sure what the answer is. For most people I'd say dishonesty is the only possible answer, because it's such an egregious error. It would be like a climate scientist citing an increase in temperature of 8 degrees Celsius as opposed to 0.8 over the last century. But, based on the quality of the rest of this paper, along with other things I've seen by Kates and Mauser, in this case it is possible that these guys are actually clueless enough to slide by with the incompetence defense.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=118x475526#475562
 

rDigital

(2,239 posts)
6. When you wash away all the dirt
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:28 PM
Aug 2012

all that is left is the raw data and the numbers. The crime rates, the murder rates and all that other jazz. There is nothing fictional here. You don't need peer review when it comes to publicly available data.

There is no correlation between gun control and crime. http://www.nationmaster.com Try making your own non-cherry picked study. You'll be amazed at what you come up with.

[img][/img]

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
10. LOL. I highly doubt that you know how to calculate a correlation.
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:37 PM
Aug 2012

But it's not necessary for you to do it. Other people have studied this question, calculated the correlation, perform statistical significance tests, and published their results in peer reviewed journals. And guess what? There's a correlation.

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1485564/pdf/cmaj00266-0071.pdf
http://journals.lww.com/jtrauma/Abstract/2000/12000/Firearm_Availability_and_Homicide_Rates_across_26.1.aspx

Other scholars have found a correlation between gun ownership and homicide within the US:
http://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/faculty/dranove/htm/dranove/coursepages/Mgmt%20469/guns.pdf
http://home.uchicago.edu/~ludwigj/papers/JPubE_guns_2006FINAL.pdf

PS. After you posted the Kates-Mauser article and called it a "Harvard study", you are in a very bad position to be accusing others of cherry-picking their data. I mean, Kates and Mauser didn't just cherry-pick -- they actually used false data!

My suggestion is that you actually go to the Harvard Firearms Research group website I pointed you to and read some actual peer-reviewed Harvard studies.

 

MrDiaz

(731 posts)
41. i seen you on other threads as well
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 03:36 PM
Aug 2012

you keep spewing about pro gun people here use bad facts or are just plain wrong. You use terms like "common knowledge" to explain your point. Do you have any reason to believe that less guns mean less murders and or crime? If so please show me the facts that support this conclusion. All this "study" is saying is that overall murders around the world and not just murders by guns, out number America. Oh yea and you keep saying that we are comparing our stats with third world countries, lol you use luxemburg as your reference? Lol yea OK...

P.S. gun violence has been steadily decreasing as gun ownership has been steadily increasing over the last 2 decades. that is just bullshit too...right?

ellisonz

(27,711 posts)
11. I have better things to do than read 40 pages of rubbish.
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:38 PM
Aug 2012

But any analysis that seeks to use Russia as a model for comparison is going to be very flawed. Russia is not comparable to Western Europe, heck, Russia isn't even comparable to half of Eastern Europe anymore. In short, the usage of such a poorly reported number is academically disreputable. As it is, I'm sure DanTex can take you through point-by-point, but really there's no purpose because you're here to push an extremist agenda based on flawed reasoning without any openness to mainstream Democratic ideas about such issues. I will give you one thing, at least you threw $5 into the DU pot.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
12. I did prove it wrong.
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:39 PM
Aug 2012

I found a specific data error in the article, an error that was crucial to the authors' conclusions. Then I found several studies that were actually peer-reviewed that came to the opposite conclusion (amazing what happens when you don't alter the data!).

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
9. although his copy and pasted rant has one major error
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:34 PM
Aug 2012

If Kleck's methodology was so loose, why couldn't leading criminologists like Marvin Wolfgang find any problems with it? It also verified other studies dating back to the Hart study in the 1970s.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
13. Yes, I did copy and pasted an old post of mine.
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:42 PM
Aug 2012

What I said was as correct now as it was when I first posted it. And the next time some moronic NRA mouthpiece links to this same piece of garbage and calls it a "Harvard study", I'm going to cut and paste it again. It would be easier if gun nuts were scientifically literate and understood the difference between a peer reviewed study and propaganda, but I guess if they were scientifically literate, they would be gun nuts anymore.

ellisonz

(27,711 posts)
15. Bottom-line: they over-estimated "DGU"'s
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:51 PM
Aug 2012

And there are numerous articles debunking Kleck's method...if there really were 2.5 million DGU's every year - over the course of a life-time of gun owner-ship every single gun owner in America would experience one, but that's not the case and is foolish on the face of it and could be easily proven false with a simple DU poll (I can conduct one if you wish). That you struggle with the basic quantitative reasoning to process the argument is irrelevant to the vagaries of a single sociologist.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
19. that is not what Kleck's study said
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 02:09 PM
Aug 2012

and he is hardly one single sociologist. Independent dating back to the 1970s have similar results. The only thing Hemenway did was speculate how many false positives he thought there were and changed the numbers.

ellisonz

(27,711 posts)
20. Umm...
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 02:13 PM
Aug 2012
Are these estimates plausible? Could it really be true that Americans use guns for self-protection as often as 2.1 to 2.5 million times a year? The estimate may seem remarkable in comparison to expectations based on conventional wisdom, but it is not implausibly large in comparison to various gun-related phenomena. There are probably over 220 million guns in private hands in the U.S.,[57] implying that only about 1% of them are used for defensive purposes in any one year--not an impossibly high fraction. In a December 1993 Gallup survey, 49% of U.S. households reported owning a gun, and 31% of adults reported personally owning one.[58] These figures indicate that there are about 47.6 million households with a gun, with perhaps 93 million, or 49% of the adult U.S. population living in households with guns, and about 59.1 million adults personally owning a gun. Again, it hardly seems implausible that 3% (2.5 million/93 million) of the people with immediate access to a gun could have used one defensively in a given year.
- Prof. Gary Kleck

http://www.guncite.com/gcdgklec.html

ellisonz

(27,711 posts)
24. So his words do not mean what they say?
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 02:24 PM
Aug 2012

Whether you like it or not, his statement there is absurd. If that is not his position, you need to cite him refuting it otherwise you are just blowing smoke (which does seem to be your specialty).

I have better things to do than read debunked sociology.

One more cup of coffee and then off to work.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
21. They over-estimated DGUs by a large factor.
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 02:17 PM
Aug 2012

It's almost as if the study was designed to over-count. Most of the DGUs were either fabrications, or escalating conflicts where "the other guy started it" -- precisely the kinds of incidents where the presence of a gun can mean the difference between hurt feelings or maybe a few punches versus a gun homicide. And you are correct, the study has been refuted several times over, and many flaws have been found, and basically nobody outside of NRA bubble gives it any credence anymore.

Also, to this day, there's no evidence that a gun actually makes a person safer. The gun nuts like to brag about shooting down bad guys, but that doesn't mean that they are statistically safer.

The Kleck DGU study is another favorite of the NRA crowd, and I've addressed it at length in another post from a while back...

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=118&topic_id=428987&mesg_id=436540

krispos42

(49,445 posts)
51. I believe a DGU included people...
Fri Aug 24, 2012, 12:08 AM
Aug 2012

...grabbing guns in order to go investigate unusual sounds inside and outside their bedrooms.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
14. Exactly. But look how they are lapping it up!
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:47 PM
Aug 2012

In fact, I probably should have waited a bit before posting, to let more of the gun nuts humiliate themselves by chiming in about what a great "Harvard study" this is.

ellisonz

(27,711 posts)
16. "There is no correlation between gun control and crime."
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:55 PM
Aug 2012


No but really, it's good that you pee'd on their parade otherwise they get too bold. Even if it's not a "Harvard study" they can console themselves, they'll always have their Ann Coulter books and no one can take that fact away from them - you liberals are psychologically dysfunctional!

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
17. I see you've encountered our new crop of gungeon trolls.
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 02:01 PM
Aug 2012

The names have changed, but the song remains the same...

ellisonz

(27,711 posts)
18. Funny how that works...
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 02:07 PM
Aug 2012

This place really needs to be shut down like a restaurant with a rat problem.

The amazing thing is how tolerant DU is of much of the craziness in here, if the Terms of Service were actually upheld in this forum the turnover would be much more dramatic.

Cheers.

 

friendly_iconoclast

(15,333 posts)
32. "This place really needs to be shut down like a restaurant with a rat problem." Aww, poor you.
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 03:04 PM
Aug 2012

People are saying things you don't like...

 

TPaine7

(4,286 posts)
42. "This place really needs to be shut down like a restaurant with a rat problem."
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 03:43 PM
Aug 2012

Really?!

Then why are you here? You can't claim ignorance--ok, maybe you can, but you can't claim not to know about the rat infestation. That leaves but two possibilities.

Are you a patron who appreciates the rat-infested dining experience, or are you a rat?

spin

(17,493 posts)
47. So those who have a different view than yours are crazy?
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 05:09 PM
Aug 2012

And the Gungeon should be "shut down like a restaurant with a rat problem."

First you need to realize that many gun owners are Democrats.



And also that is diminishing support for new gun control laws:



The percentage of Democrats who own firearms primarily for self defense is higher than Republicans and Independents:



Therefore it is not surprising to find posters on DU who strongly support RKBA and are Democrats.

The sad reality is that I have known many gun owners over the years who absolutely refused to vote for any Democrat as they opposed our party's position on gun control. When I talked to them about other issues I found that many supported the Democratic view on these subjects. Such people are single issue voters and they DO show up at the polls! If our party drops its efforts to implement draconian gun control (which you probably feel are simply reasonable sane laws), we might well attract many voters to return to their Democratic roots.

Gun control has proven to be a ball and chain around the ankle of our party and has cost us many close elections. It could have cost us the Presidency when both Al Gore and John Kerry ran and we ended up the Bush the Junior for two terms. The results were disastrous!

Tighter gun control, come the calls; unlikely, D.C. watchers say
July 20, 2012|By Richard Simon


WASHINGTON -- The Aurora, Colo., mass shooting is reigniting a debate over whether tougher gun laws are needed, but congressional legislation is a long shot, especially in an election year.

Gun-control legislation is likely to be introduced again, as it was after other high-profile shootings, such as those at Columbine High School in 1999 and Virginia Tech in 2007.

But even gun-control advocates acknowledge they face a tough climb. Many Democrats have shied away from the issue since 2000, when losing presidential candidate Al Gore’s advocacy of gun control is believed to have cost him support in rural states....emphasis added
http://articles.latimes.com/2012/jul/20/nation/la-na-nn-colorado-shooting-gun-control-20120720


Friday, Apr 13, 2012 6:47 PM UTC
When Democrats gave up on guns

***snip***

It’s probably worth remembering how this situation came about. In the 1980s and ‘90s, Democrats proudly trumpeted their support for gun control. Crime rates were much higher, so the issues polled well, and when Bill Clinton became president in 1993 he managed to push the long-stalled Brady bill, which mandated a five-day waiting period for the purchase of a handgun, through Congress and into law. A federal ban on assault weapons followed a year later, and while Democrats paid a real price with gun owners and rural voters in the 1994 midterms, Clinton had no trouble winning a second term in 1996

The gun control turning point came in 2000, when Al Gore lost a number of states – West Virginia, Kentucky, Missouri, Ohio, Arkansas and even his native Tennessee – with substantial populations of rural and small-town lower-income white voters that Clinton had carried 1992 and ’96. At the same time, Gore improved on his party’s traditional performance in large metro areas with more affluent, culturally liberal voters, producing a virtual tie in the national popular vote and a national electoral map dominated by Republican red.

***snip***

The Kerry campaign bent over backward to avoid the perceived mistakes that Gore had made. ”This campaign is 180 degrees different from 2000,” Kerry’s state director in West Virginia bragged before the election. But the result was the same. Actually, it was worse: Kerry lost West Virginia by 13 points, compared to only six for Gore in ’00. And Kerry failed to win back any of those crucial, gun-friendly states that Gore had lost to Bush. Nationally, Gore had lost gun owners to Bush by 25 points. Kerry lost them by 27....emphasis added
http://www.salon.com/2012/04/13/when_democrats_gave_up_on_guns/





I feel that Democrats who support RKBA should have a place to discuss that issue on DU. Many lurkers stop by and some support RKBA. Statements like yours might cause them to believe that our party is still EXTREMELY opposed to the Second Amendment and for draconian gun control as registration of all firearms and bans and confiscation in the future. Some of us are and some are not. Censoring debate on this subject or many other topics is not what we as Democrats should support.

I could ask that if you dislike the Gungeon so much, why do you post here? Wouldn't it make sense to simply boycott this group and post elsewhere? If everyone who held views similar to yours and no longer posted here, this group might simply die away.

I personally hope you continue to post as I enjoy debate. I always try to carefully consider the views of the other side on any issue that I support and try to reply in a polite manner. I've learned a lot about a number of subjects since I started posting on DU. Posting in the Gungeon has led me to modify some of my views on gun control. For example, I now support requiring an NICS background check for all firearms sales. This idea would accomplish more than merely closing the "gun show loophole" and definitely is opposed by the NRA.

The Democratic party is and should be a big tent. I suspect that you would pose a litmus test for "real" Democrats that would require all to support extremely restrictive gun control. That would be, in my opinion, a serious mistake.

While it is definitely true that gun violence is a problem in our nation, the fact remains that it has returned to levels last seen in decades ago. Today we face far more serious problems than gun violence. However that doesn't mean that we can't work to improve existing laws and to better enforce our existing laws.



Unfortunately if both sides of the issue merely waste time trading insults we will have a very difficult time doing anything on gun control. We can do much if we work together but that will involve compromise on both sides. Unfortunately our society has lost the ability to compromise and we often foolishly waste our time hating those who hold different viewpoints. Consequently noting ever gets done and our nation is mired in quicksand.


ellisonz

(27,711 posts)
53. People with crazy views are crazy.
Fri Aug 24, 2012, 01:51 AM
Aug 2012

You do realize the Gungeon has been trashed by 110 DUers...that's a lot of people saying forget this group. The only reason I haven't trashed this group because I think you people are hilarious.

You and I have never had beef because you are respectful and not batshit crazy like some of your compadres.

One statement you have made I'm going to take issue with:

Gun control has proven to be a ball and chain around the ankle of our party and has cost us many close elections. It could have cost us the Presidency when both Al Gore and John Kerry ran and we ended up the Bush the Junior for two terms. The results were disastrous!


Because Republicans never commit illegal acts to win elections...

Also, I think there's a big difference between your run of the mill Democratic gun-owner and the NRA-type cult.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
55. although crazy is a value judgement that means nothing
Fri Aug 24, 2012, 02:37 AM
Aug 2012

some of yours seems crazy but is really quite naive. 110 out of 163,000? Well, like that matters. I have never been a herd following kind of guy.

What is the difference you see in the run of the mill Democratic (or independent for that matter) and the "NRA cult member"? Do you base that on people you actually know or Doonsbury?

I'm glad you find it funny. The least you can do is contribute something of some substance.

ellisonz

(27,711 posts)
57. "What is the difference you see in the run of the mill Democratic (or independent for that matter)"
Fri Aug 24, 2012, 02:41 AM
Aug 2012

Spending absurd amounts of time pontificating and obsessing about guns from a "conservative" point of view rather than simply owning one for hunting/self defense. See, that was easy.

Also, I haven't read Doonsebury since the end of the Bush Administration.

 

beevul

(12,194 posts)
72. In other words...
Thu Aug 29, 2013, 11:09 PM
Aug 2013

"Spending absurd amounts of time pontificating and obsessing about guns from a "conservative" point of view rather than simply owning one for hunting/self defense."

In other words, anyone that cares about the issue politically, and disagrees with anything you lot say, falls under the label ""Spending absurd amounts of time pontificating and obsessing about guns from a "conservative" point of view rather than simply owning one for hunting/self defense.", right?

You might just as well have stated that any Democrat that cares enough about the issue to defend it isn't a real Democrat.

That IS what you mean, so you may as well just state it.


spin

(17,493 posts)
59. I contend that the GOP would not have been able to win the election ...
Fri Aug 24, 2012, 03:02 AM
Aug 2012

between Bush and Gore had it not been for the Democratic Party's position on gun control. If Al had won his home state of Tennessee with its 11 electoral votes, all the shenanigans in Florida would have made no difference.

Of course it may be simplistic to blame Gore's loss on just this one factor. Bill Clinton had been in office for eight years. Clinton was a great communicator and Gore lacked that skill as he was rather wooden. It's hard to have to follow up a truly great performer on the political stage.

I know many NRA members including some Democrats and most are not members of the "NRA cult" that you mention. They do oppose draconian gun control but are far more reasonable than the leadership of the NRA and the NRA-ILA. Many belong for the same reasons that I do. I firmly believe that the NRA does a lot of good for the shooting sports and also offers some of the best firearms training programs available.

But I also know a lot of gun owners who refuse to join the NRA. There are only 4.3 million NRA members out of the estimated 80 million gun owners. There has to be a reason for this as an NRA membership is fairly cheap at $35 for a one year membership. The propaganda and constant requests for donations turn off many gun owners.

Posters here in the Gungeon on both sides of the issue waste a lot of time insulting each other. This often bothers me. I try to be polite and respectful because I really want to find solutions to the issue of gun violence in our nation. I also believe that proposing truly draconian gun measures and "feel good" laws only hurt our party. The Republicans have basically eliminated the middle class in our nation and still they are not satisfied. We can't lose any more seats in Congress and Uber-rich Romney as President would be a total disaster.







ellisonz

(27,711 posts)
62. You're actually answering your own question and proving my point with this sentence.
Fri Aug 24, 2012, 03:27 AM
Aug 2012
But I also know a lot of gun owners who refuse to join the NRA. There are only 4.3 million NRA members out of the estimated 80 million gun owners. There has to be a reason for this as an NRA membership is fairly cheap at $35 for a one year membership. The propaganda and constant requests for donations turn off many gun owners.


Most gun owners don't give a crap about the political bullshit the NRA feeds off of to radicalize its membership. Those who are still part of the NRA after its radicalization are clearly part of the NRA cult or apologists for the NRA cult. The truth is that the NRA doesn't give a crap about anything but its own narrow political objectives.

We can't lose any more seats in Congress and Uber-rich Romney as President would be a total disaster.


Stop supporting the NRA!

spin

(17,493 posts)
63. I have said here before ...
Fri Aug 24, 2012, 03:59 AM
Aug 2012

If the NRA endorses Mitt Romney who is NO friend of gun owners, I will cancel my membership.

If you want more Democrats to win election, I would suggest that you stop trying the push the Democratic party to support unusually strong gun control. Instead work to improve and better enforce existing gun laws.

In a few years many gun owners and those who don't own firearms but support RKBA will seriously consider rejoining or joining our party as we are right on almost every other issue.

President Obama has a very fair approach to gun control.

President Obama: We must seek agreement on gun reforms
March 13, 2011 12:00 am • President Barack Obama Special To The Arizona Daily Star

***snip***

• First, we should begin by enforcing laws that are already on the books. The National Instant Criminal Background Check System is the filter that's supposed to stop the wrong people from getting their hands on a gun. Bipartisan legislation four years ago was supposed to strengthen this system, but it hasn't been properly implemented. It relies on data supplied by states - but that data is often incomplete and inadequate. We must do better.

• Second, we should in fact reward the states that provide the best data - and therefore do the most to protect our citizens.

• Third, we should make the system faster and nimbler. We should provide an instant, accurate, comprehensive and consistent system for background checks to sellers who want to do the right thing, and make sure that criminals can't escape it.

***snip***

Clearly, there's more we can do to prevent gun violence. But I want this to at least be the beginning of a new discussion on how we can keep America safe for all our people.
http://azstarnet.com/article_011e7118-8951-5206-a878-39bfbc9dc89d.html


Straw Man

(6,626 posts)
54. You have invited me to leave forums/threads before.
Fri Aug 24, 2012, 02:32 AM
Aug 2012

I am inviting you to leave this one. You contribute nothing. Nothing.

Cheers.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
38. I never claimed to be an academic or
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 03:16 PM
Aug 2012

and expert in anything that I know nothing about. So, no mirror.

no_hypocrisy

(46,267 posts)
30. It's hard call to me.
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 02:45 PM
Aug 2012

If you had stronger punishment for unlawful possession and/or use of firearms, maybe gun control would take care of itself.

OTOH, firearms are too dangerous not to regulate, period. Strict liability theory.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
33. everyone agrees with regulation
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 03:04 PM
Aug 2012

most people agree with current federal regulation, once it is explained. States and territories have their own regulations as well. What changes would you make to current federal regulations?

no_hypocrisy

(46,267 posts)
35. If the Brady Law re assault weapons has expired, I'd like it returned.
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 03:08 PM
Aug 2012

Although not with the repubican House, it won't.

Otherwise, I'm fine with what's already on the books, re. registration, waiting periods, how many weapons you can buy in a day, etc.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
37. the AWB didn't actually ban anything
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 03:15 PM
Aug 2012

and wasn't part of the Brady Bill. The Brady bill was the previous year.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Assault_Weapons_Ban
you are describing local laws, other than the guns that have to be registered under the National Firearms Act of 1934. I don't think registration actually does anything unless it provides a couple of jobs to run it.
Since I try not to have too much stuff, Florida's waiting period is of little consequence to me. I made one multiple purchase, the dealer had to fill out a form to tell the feds about it. Buying more than one handgun has to be reported to the ATF under Gun Control Act of 1968.

 

rDigital

(2,239 posts)
31. Wash all of the dirt away and
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 03:02 PM
Aug 2012

all that we have is raw guns in possession data. There is, I repeat, no correlation between gun ownership and crime. It's a people/culture issue, not an object issue.

Also, insulting and ridiculing others does no favors to your cause (ad hominem). It's the linguistic equialent of violence. It's strange to think that the first to attack other people and groups are the ones who are anti-gun. It makes it hard to respect your cause when you stoop to the lowest denominator on a hair trigger.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
39. Yeah, you already said that, but the problem is, it's simply not true.
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 03:20 PM
Aug 2012

Whether there is a correlation or not is something that can be addressed statistically. I posted a bunch of peer-reviewed studies above which examined this exact question, and you chose to ignore them, understandably, because they found that there is a correlation. I get that your politics require you to not believe in the scientific evidence. That's very common among conservative causes -- think creationism, global warming. But for you to simply assert "there is no correlation between gun ownership and crime" is no more persuasive than simply asserting "there is no correlation between CO2 emissions and global temperatures".

Also, posting a propaganda article from a right-wing law review and calling it a "Harvard study" does your cause no favors. Especially when the actual Harvard studies that come to the opposite conclusion.

 

rDigital

(2,239 posts)
43. There's no correlation in your articles, just obfuscation and misinterpretation.
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 04:06 PM
Aug 2012

Raw numbers don't lie. Your studies are politically biased.

If guns caused crime, we'd have the highest crime rate and highest murder rate in the world because we have the highest number it civilian guns in the entire world.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
44. Umm... that fact that you personally don't understand something...
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 04:19 PM
Aug 2012

...doesn't mean that it's "obfuscation".

One thing you could do is try to educate yourself to the point where you can carry on an intelligent discussion about statistical data analysis. Or, you can bury your head in the sand, insist that all the scientific studies that don't support your political view are "biased" or "misleading". And what makes this whole episode particularly hilarious is that you started this OP by citing a non-peer-reviewed article in a right-wing law review that actually makes use of factually incorrect data...

 

rDigital

(2,239 posts)
45. There is such a thing an peer reviewed garbage science
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 04:50 PM
Aug 2012

and that's exactly what you posted. Just like the papers from Rev Jerry's college that "prove" the existence of G-d. You'll find whatever results you want if you have enough time and a strong enough bias.

Why I see is : Obfuscation by information overload to induce analysis paralysis in the undecided.

Luckily, I saw some undecided folks that decided to rep this thread, more minds shall be opened and educated. Thank you for your contribution and your tired diatribes.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
46. And why is it garbage science? Because you disagree with it?
Thu Aug 23, 2012, 04:53 PM
Aug 2012

Usually if something is "garbage", that's because it's actually flawed in some way. For example, the study you posted used false data. But the only problem with the studies I cited is that they disagree with your politics.

Also, the Gerry Falwell stuff doesn't get through peer review. Like the Kates study from the OP, it ends up in a non-peer-reviewed journal with a politically biased editorial board. But it's good to see that yet another gun nut has decided to rail against peer review -- it's basically a concession that the actual scientific research doesn't support your point of view, and so you have to resort to conspiracy theories and junk science like the Kates-Mauser study.

 

rDigital

(2,239 posts)
52. It sounds like you better get home and turn off those lights.
Fri Aug 24, 2012, 01:15 AM
Aug 2012

You don't want to contribute to global warming.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
64. So does that smiley mean you think global warming is a hoax?
Fri Aug 24, 2012, 08:04 AM
Aug 2012

You never answered my question. I'm just curious. Do you think it's a conspiracy to derail capitalism or what?

 

AnotherMcIntosh

(11,064 posts)
61. Although some have rejected the observation re Russia, it might be worthwhile to focus upon England
Fri Aug 24, 2012, 03:09 AM
Aug 2012

and Wales which seem to have a number of knife attacks which presumeably greatly exceed those in the United States.

The UK's Daily Mail, for example, reported a typical story in 2008 with a headline: "A knife attack every 4 minutes; 130,000 per year"

More than 350 people are the victim of knife assaults every day in England and Wales, the latest crime figures have revealed.

Last night a teenager in Lambeth, London, became the latest victim of the stabbing epidemic, dying in hospital after a frenzied attack.

Almost 130,000 attacks involved knives last year - equivalent to one every four minutes - according to the annual British Crime Survey.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1036154/A-knife-attack-4-minutes-130-000-year--ministers-insist-crime-rates-falling.html

Patriot451

(1 post)
69. Look at the source
Thu Aug 29, 2013, 07:18 PM
Aug 2013

This study could have some value, but before I'd believe a word of it, I'd check all the sources.

The principal author is an attorney, not a statistician, not a researcher. he works, NOT for a reputable academic institution, but for the Pacific Research Institute, an activist NON-peer-reviewed "think tank" devoted to libertarian and anti-government "studies." His co-authors may well be buddies of the director of his "think tank" who has been roundly criticized for spending huge amounts of money on p.r.; at least they come from her old workplace at Simon Frazer in Canada.

The study report begins with language that seems to present conclusions before analyzing evidence.
It sounds as if the authors had an agenda and couldn 't restrain themselves from telegraphing it:

"International evidence and comparisons have long been offered
as proof of the mantra that more guns mean more deaths and that
fewer guns, therefore, mean fewer deaths. Unfortunately, such
discussions are all too often been afflicted by misconceptions and
factual error and focus on comparisons that are unrepresentative.
It may be useful to begin with a few examples. There is a com‐
pound assertion that (a) guns are uniquely available in the United
States compared with other modern developed nations, which is
why (b) the United States has by far the highest murder rate.
Though these assertions have been endlessly repeated, statement
(b) is,in fact,false and statement(a) is substantially so.
Since at least 1965, the false assertion that the United States has
the industrialized world’s highestmurderrate has been anartifact
of politically motivated Soviet minimization designed to hide the
true homicide rates.2"

I'd check to see if these guys are misrepresenting the data before
believing them. Responsible academics rarely make such sweeping
assertions.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
71. the idea that differences in gun laws
Thu Aug 29, 2013, 07:35 PM
Aug 2013

are the primary or only reasons why lower murder rates is a logical fallacy: post hoc ergo propter hoc. It isn't that "sweeping" especially since when you compare UK, when they had no gun laws, guns were rarely used in crime also. They also had as little violence then as well. Same as Canada.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Don_Kates

jimmy the one

(2,708 posts)
75. blaming the vaccine, not the disease
Tue Sep 3, 2013, 10:09 AM
Sep 2013

patriot 451: The principal author is an attorney, not a statistician, not a researcher. he works, NOT for a reputable academic institution, but for the Pacific Research Institute, an activist NON-peer-reviewed "think tank" devoted to libertarian and anti-government "studies." His co-authors may well be buddies of the director of his "think tank"

Spot on, patriot, consider the source, & both the source & the study are junk sciences; then they masquerade as coming out of 'harvard', another rightwing ploy to try to mislead that a liberal institute is backing the study.
Russia today, east of kiev/Ukraine abouts, is in near anarchy, travel advisories for certain minorities emanate from US state dept; Is there surprise it does have a high murder rate? or mexico? don't be fooled by rightwing propaganda on this, or rightwing DU propaganda either.
Johnston then goes on to cite a gun guru himself (kates), & the following DU member claims 'gun control' kills. Blame the vaccine, not the disease, another RW ploy applied to guns.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
76. Kates is hardly a "gun guru"
Tue Sep 3, 2013, 08:27 PM
Sep 2013

and USSR/has always had a high murder rate. Even without the drug wars, Mexico would still have high murder rate. Murder by firearm in Mexico are a small number compared to other weapons.

an activist NON-peer-reviewed

That is certainly true of the School of Health. Their gun studies are published by their in house publication and are not peer reviewed.

That said, is genetic fallacy the best you can do?

ileus

(15,396 posts)
73. Gun control kills....
Fri Aug 30, 2013, 06:47 AM
Aug 2013

we shouldn't be so accepting of the removal of a basic human right. An attempt in banning a device shouldn't result in making more victims.

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