2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNate Silver's debate analysis
Im not quite sure what to think about that debate. I keep looking for signs that Sanders is interested in expanding his coalition between his predominantly white, liberal base, and Im not really seeing them. At the same time, Sanders got a lot of screen time tonight and tonights debate is likely to get much better ratings than the previous two editions held on Saturdays and greater exposure is usually a good thing for the trailing candidate.
Another thing Im unsure about: Sanders was feistier and angrier than weve seen him in the past. How will that play to the home audience? Do voters like Angry Bernie or the more lovable, absent-minded-professor, Larry David version of him? That too could be a question that divides Sanderss base voters from the broader audience hell need to be competitive in states like South Carolina.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/nbc-democratic-debate-presidential-election-2016/
snoringvoter
(178 posts)then he'll realize more than just one demographics for Bernie.
More than one.
Champion Jack
(5,378 posts)mucifer
(23,542 posts)left-of-center2012
(34,195 posts)Can't we form our own opinions?
RandySF
(58,799 posts)And, obviously some people, including you, took a moment to read it. So I think it's a question you should ask yourself.
left-of-center2012
(34,195 posts)No. Life is to short.
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)litlbilly
(2,227 posts)cheapdate
(3,811 posts)question everything
(47,476 posts)Certainly he was here when he predicted Obama's win.
jfern
(5,204 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)thereismore
(13,326 posts)grntuscarora
(1,249 posts)nt
Gothmog
(145,184 posts)Nate and Harry Eaton are correct about appeals to the key demographics in the base http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/nbc-democratic-debate-presidential-election-2016/
HARRY ENTEN 10:31 PM
Not really. What I do see, though, is Clinton clearly knows where her base is. She knows she needs black voters in her corner. Thats why she is wrapping herself in the Obama cloth. A lot of people think the Democratic base is exclusively white liberals; its not. Its black Democrats. Unless Sanders can gain support among that group, this primary is over.
NATE SILVER 10:35 PM
More seriously I agree with Harry that the candidates have been speaking mostly to their respective bases on the substance. So Im wondering whether Sanderss feistier demeanor tonight will play positively or negatively with the home audience.
Sanders will not be the nominee unless he expands his base and I do not think that Sanders did this. Attacking President Obama is not a good way to appeal to African American voters