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TroyD

(4,551 posts)
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 09:58 PM Sep 2012

Why won't RCP update its NORTH CAROLINA page?

Even though it has 2 new North Carolina polls on its main polling page, (High Point, Obama+4 & Purple Strategies, Obama +2), it has not added these polls to the Obama vs. Romney average page.

Odd, considering that RCP updated all their other state polling pages today. Their NC page still shows Romney about 5 points ahead of Obama because of this.

Am I reading too much into this, or is there an ulterior motive behind this?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nc/north_carolina_romney_vs_obama-1784.html

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Why won't RCP update its NORTH CAROLINA page? (Original Post) TroyD Sep 2012 OP
I think that there is so much polling that the updating is becoming spotty - and of course, NRaleighLiberal Sep 2012 #1
i think they did bluemarkers Sep 2012 #2
It's still not updated TroyD Sep 2012 #3
It is now karynnj Sep 2012 #4
Thanks. TroyD Sep 2012 #5
well bluemarkers Sep 2012 #6
Since when does the Revolutionary Communist Party care about presidential polls? DBoon Sep 2012 #7
They are probably off tonight so. n/t hrmjustin Sep 2012 #8
Guys, stop wishing for NC. smorkingapple Sep 2012 #9
Here's another reason why smorkingapple Sep 2012 #10
Yeah, but registered Dems far outnumber registered Repubs in NC. mnhtnbb Sep 2012 #12
But Obama is going up in NC TroyD Sep 2012 #11
We don't need to win NC, we just need to force Mitt to need to defend it. JoePhilly Sep 2012 #15
Probably because they're still within the Margin of Error for each poll Jeff In Milwaukee Sep 2012 #13
Stop disenfranchising voters in North Carolina. windowpilot Sep 2012 #14

NRaleighLiberal

(60,014 posts)
1. I think that there is so much polling that the updating is becoming spotty - and of course,
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 10:09 PM
Sep 2012

we poll watchers get frustrated pretty easily (I do, anyway). Have to say that the Princeton map is making me happiest right now. And the huge difference between Nov 6 and Now Cast on 538 is frustrating to me!

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
3. It's still not updated
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 10:22 PM
Sep 2012

And it's been like this since this morning.

They updates all the other battleground states today, so it doesn't make sense that they didn't do this one.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nc/north_carolina_romney_vs_obama-1784.html

bluemarkers

(536 posts)
6. well
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 10:49 PM
Sep 2012

the average is R plus 1.8

but the earliest poll posted from the beginning of September Survey USA has R up 10.... throw that out, and it looks like a small lead for Obama. Plus the trends look good.

smorkingapple

(827 posts)
9. Guys, stop wishing for NC.
Sat Sep 22, 2012, 12:11 AM
Sep 2012

Even Nate Silver has it at 70% chance of ROmney winning it and it's extremely low on the tipping point scale meaning you will not see Obama put a lot of money in here to contest it unless Romney gives up somewhere else like VA. We don't need the state. It's a nice to have for us, it's a must win for Romney.



smorkingapple

(827 posts)
10. Here's another reason why
Sat Sep 22, 2012, 12:28 AM
Sep 2012

In North Carolina, however, Republicans have requested nearly 7,000 more absentee ballots than Democrats out of almost 50,000 requests, state officials said.

http://news.yahoo.com/democrats-far-outnumber-gop-iowa-ballot-requests-102632378--politics.html?_esi=1

mnhtnbb

(31,388 posts)
12. Yeah, but registered Dems far outnumber registered Repubs in NC.
Sat Sep 22, 2012, 11:15 AM
Sep 2012

Voter Registration as of 09/22/2012 Democratic: 2,775,580 Republican: 2,007,265 Libertarian: 16,486 Unaffiliated: 1,649,710 Total: 6,449,041

http://www.ncsbe.gov/

And in the last few election cycles, registered Dems have been turning out
in great numbers for early voting.

It's all going to depend on gotv. I wouldn't write off NC--especially now since the Repubs
voted down the Vets job bill. What a bunch of idiots. HUGE military population in NC--
and Michelle/Jill have been working to help military families for the last four years.

I wouldn't write off NC. Nope.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
11. But Obama is going up in NC
Sat Sep 22, 2012, 02:16 AM
Sep 2012

So Nate may change his predictions.

Once you take out the Rasmussen NC poll and the Civitas (R) poll, Obama has the lead in the new RCP average.

JoePhilly

(27,787 posts)
15. We don't need to win NC, we just need to force Mitt to need to defend it.
Sat Sep 22, 2012, 06:28 PM
Sep 2012

And I live in NC. I was very happy Obama took NC in 2008, but I'd rather see Obama win the overall election.

Jeff In Milwaukee

(13,992 posts)
13. Probably because they're still within the Margin of Error for each poll
Sat Sep 22, 2012, 01:35 PM
Sep 2012

When Obama's lead exceeds the MOE, they'll probably switch.

Can't say for sure, of course. That's just me guess.

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