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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum"Obama's Lead Is Starting to Look Insurmountable" by Kevin Drum at Mother Jones
Obama's Lead Is Starting to Look InsurmountableBy Kevin Drum at Mother Jones
http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2012/09/obamas-lead-starting-look-insurmountable
"SNIP..................................................
■Obama is currently up by 3.7 percent. No candidate in the past 50 years has lost a lead that big.
■No candidate with more than 47 percent of the vote in late September has ever lost. Obama is currently at 48.3 percent.
■Big changes in the final month aren't impossible, but they've gotten rarer in the past 20 years.
■It's not true that undecided voters tend to break for the challenger in the last few weeks of a race.
................................................SNIP"
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"Obama's Lead Is Starting to Look Insurmountable" by Kevin Drum at Mother Jones (Original Post)
applegrove
Sep 2012
OP
Siwsan
(26,260 posts)1. I want Willard to be utterly and completely humiliated. I hope that doesn't make me a bad person.
Even so, I want him to have release a concession statement instead of giving a concession speech because he's just so humiliated that he can't even face the public.
speedoo
(11,229 posts)2. Thanks for correctly sourcing that "insurmountable" comment.
There was another post that inaccurately attributed it to Nate Silver, and many DUers were mislead, as a result.
pscot
(21,024 posts)3. No lead is safe
where Republicans control the counting.