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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHere's Why Winning Iowa Could Break The Election Wide Open For Bernie Sanders
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/iowa-bernie-sanders_us_56aa3483e4b0d82286d51290?utm_hp_ref=politicsCHARLESTON, S.C. -- In the fall of 2007, Hillary Clinton held a 24-point lead over Barack Obama among black voters in a CNN national poll. By Jan. 18, 10 days after the New Hampshire primary, Obama was winning blacks by 28 points in the same poll, a 52-point swing.
This time around, Clinton again holds a commanding lead among black voters headed into Iowa. She boasts a roughly 45-point lead nationally, which her campaign refers to as a firewall.
...
What changed? His viability.
...
"The reality is, if Mrs. Clinton loses Iowa and New Hampshire, that could create new and real problems for her here(South Carolina)." S.C. Rep. Jim Clyburn
I don't think Bernie has to win. It would be nice and send Clinton's campaign into a tailspin but Bernie doesn't have to have it.
He'll become more viable in many people's eyes by how close he's come.
When blacks find out what Bernie is about, which these primaries will help to do, he's going to pull a bunch of them on board, tighten up SC and win some delegates.
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Here's Why Winning Iowa Could Break The Election Wide Open For Bernie Sanders (Original Post)
Jarqui
Feb 2016
OP
I think it's rather important for him to win Iowa. Winning really does convince people
PoliticAverse
Feb 2016
#1
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)1. I think it's rather important for him to win Iowa. Winning really does convince people
that your campaign is a viable one.
Gregorian
(23,867 posts)2. My gut says a loss in Iowa is not the end. He's still a rising star.
There is too much passion around Bernie to simply die after losing Iowa. But unless we've grown up since allowing the vote to be so close in 2000, then maybe another round of suffering will get Americans to wake up to ideas that are actually a century old. Bernie is simply mainstream America 1900.
Faux pas
(14,672 posts)3. Kickin'