What about the polls?

[HassleCat]

I'm wondering about the way polls are conducted in primary elections, particularly with regard to our party. We're only two states in, so it my be too early to tell, but there seems to be something wrong with the accuracy of the polls. In Iowa, most polls had Clinton with a small but comfortable edge, somewhere around 3 to 5 points, and we know it was much closer than that. In New Hampshire, the polls failed to predict the lopsided results. What's going on? My thought is that primary election polling emphasizes voters who are registered Democrats, and fails to pick up voters who just recently switched from I to D, or even from R to D. There is also that "poll of likely voters" thing, which used to be quite accurate, but may be missing younger voters now. Any thoughts?

[HooptieWagon]

1. The polls are underestimating youth and first time voters in their models.

As they've turned out in bigger than expected numbers, Bernie has done better than the polls measured. I think the pollsters will start giving youth a bit more weight soon, and the polls get more accurate.

[elleng]

2. I hope today's results will be the last of polls here,

but as I understand everyone's desire to KNOW, I don't expect that to happen, and of course, pollsters gotta make a buck or two.

[SheilaT]

3. Too many of the polls mainly ask

those who have voted in prior caucuses or primaries. So they vastly undercount new voters. And Bernie is pulling in young voters in very large numbers.