2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWill nominating Hillary hand the White House to the GOP?
I'm worried that if Hillary is the nominee she will lose in November. I know it's early, but all the polls have Consistently shown Hillary losing to most of the republican candidates in the general election. Another thing that concerns me is her negative favorability ratings. I just don't see how she's electable.
TheProgressive
(1,656 posts)HillDawg
(198 posts)Right now have nothing to do with what will happen in November.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)daleanime
(17,796 posts)to get people to support more war, more bad 'trade' deals, and, most importantly, a person they don't trust?
CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)Her compulsion... &ebc=ANyPxKqcDIMN0to9Uaj7nC0QQqvQI0ud03I2_Rxg_uFOVbP_EWV1QRFFGEyXw5oClpJs22ba4b65_OUqxxXhjmh6bSFK8wYRZA
Ford F-150
(72 posts)Cruz or Trump or maybe both...
basselope
(2,565 posts)peacebird
(14,195 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)TTUBatfan2008
(3,623 posts)I think the Republicans have some built-in advantages this year. Enthusiasm gap is definitely favoring the GOP so far based on primary voting.
daleanime
(17,796 posts)No.
TTUBatfan2008
(3,623 posts)Both vulnerable in a general election for different reasons.
farleftlib
(2,125 posts)The only thing they hate more than Obama is Hillary Clinton. And that's saying a lot.
redstateblues
(10,565 posts)would have Republicans turning out in droves. I know a lot of Republicans - they don't like Hillary- Mention Bernie and they start screaming "Bernie Sanders is a Socialist". Much more passion about that.
farleftlib
(2,125 posts)It's a reflex with them to foam at the mouth when they hear that last name. With Bernie, they just shrug and say 'meh'.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)The label 'socialist' has lost its stigma.
GreenPartyVoter
(72,377 posts)intrepidity
(7,294 posts)My head and heart are trying hard to not listen to my gut, though.
libtodeath
(2,888 posts)CentralMass
(15,265 posts)firebrand80
(2,760 posts)redstateblues
(10,565 posts)Bernie has a good message but he has so many things that make him unelectable. The Republicans would much rather face Bernie for a good reason.
Odin2005
(53,521 posts)I think you have Hillary and Bernie mixed up. The POLLS say that Hillary cannot beat the GOP.
Gothmog
(145,176 posts)Dana Milbank has some good comments on general election match up polls https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/democrats-would-be-insane-to-nominate-bernie-sanders/2016/01/26/0590e624-c472-11e5-a4aa-f25866ba0dc6_story.html?hpid=hp_opinions-for-wide-side_opinion-card-a%3Ahomepage%2Fstory
Watching Sanders at Monday nights Democratic presidential forum in Des Moines, I imagined how Trump or another Republican nominee would disembowel the relatively unknown Vermonter.
The first questioner from the audience asked Sanders to explain why he embraces the socialist label and requested that Sanders define it so that it doesnt concern the rest of us citizens.
Sanders, explaining that much of what he proposes is happening in Scandinavia and Germany (a concept that itself alarms Americans who dont want to be like socialized Europe), answered vaguely: Creating a government that works for all of us, not just a handful of people on the top thats my definition of democratic socialism.
But thats not how Republicans will define socialism and theyll have the dictionary on their side. Theyll portray Sanders as one who wants the government to own and control major industries and the means of production and distribution of goods. Theyll say he wants to take away private property. That wouldnt be fair, but it would be easy. Socialists dont win national elections in the United States .
Sanders on Monday night also admitted he would seek massive tax increases one of the biggest tax hikes in history, as moderator Chris Cuomo put it to expand Medicare to all. Sanders, this time making a comparison with Britain and France, allowed that hypothetically, youre going to pay $5,000 more in taxes, and declared, W e will raise taxes, yes we will. He said this would be offset by lower health-insurance premiums and protested that its demagogic to say, oh, youre paying more in taxes.
Well, yes and Trump is a demagogue.
Sanders also made clear he would be happy to identify Democrats as the party of big government and of wealth redistribution. When Cuomo said Sanders seemed to be saying he would grow government bigger than ever, Sanders didnt quarrel, saying, P eople want to criticize me, okay, and F ine, if thats the criticism, I accept it.
Sanders accepts it, but are Democrats ready to accept ownership of socialism, massive tax increases and a dramatic expansion of government? If so, they will lose.
Match up polls are worthless because these polls do not measure what would happen to Sanders in a general election where Sanders is very vulnerable to negative ads.
Odin2005
(53,521 posts)I could not give less of a shit what the chattering punditocracy says.
Gothmog
(145,176 posts)I keep asking this question but have yet to receive a good answer. How will Sanders compete in the general election where the Kochs will be spending $887 million, the RNC candidate may spend another billion dollars and Bloomberg (who will only run if Sanders is the nominee) will be spending another billion dollars.
CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)As compared to THIS...
&ebc=ANyPxKqcDIMN0to9Uaj7nC0QQqvQI0ud03I2_Rxg_uFOVbP_EWV1QRFFGEyXw5oClpJs22ba4b65_OUqxxXhjmh6bSFK8wYRZAGothmog
(145,176 posts)If you really believe this, then open an Irish brokerage account and buy an option agreement based on Clinton losing the general election. You would get great odds http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-democratic-nomination The odds of Hillary Clinton being the nominee went up by several percentage points last night after the Nevada results
Logical
(22,457 posts)Beowulf
(761 posts)You've got no data to support it. Just a lot of magical thinking.
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)DWS's orders are to make sure a liberal populist isn't elected, not to ensure a Democrat winning.
kath
(10,565 posts)Sadly, that is all too true.
SammyWinstonJack
(44,130 posts)yourpaljoey
(2,166 posts)Waiting For Everyman
(9,385 posts)If the Democratic Party got behind Sanders instead of fighting him, we could not only elect him, we could have a Democratic Congress as well. But the Party doesn't want that, because then, they'd have no choice but to vote for their own party's reforms that they don't want to happen.
That's the problem in a nutshell. The current Dem Party is the billionaires' firewall.
Punkingal
(9,522 posts)Broward
(1,976 posts)One thing's for sure though. In a Hillary v. Repub matchup, TPTB win and most people lose.
dflprincess
(28,075 posts)krawhitham
(4,644 posts)whatchamacallit
(15,558 posts)alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)Will we have this every time she wins a primary?
liberal N proud
(60,334 posts)TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Odin2005
(53,521 posts)deathrind
(1,786 posts)Purveyor
(29,876 posts)TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)... and they'll drop that bomb during the general.
Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)And frankly, I don't care why - I just care that we win the Presidency.
Lorien
(31,935 posts)Repus will turn out in droves to crush her, liberal deems will write in Bernie or vote for Jill Stein, and Independents don't trust her. No candidate with a negative rating even half as high as hers is as ever won the Presidency. She's a disaster for the party!
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/02/18/1487044/-Qunnipiac-National-Poll-Bernie-beats-all-Republicans-Hillary-loses-to-all
YOHABLO
(7,358 posts)Lorien
(31,935 posts)marions ghost
(19,841 posts)I think we are lost if Hill is the nominee.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Only among likely democratic primary voters, and she's losing that support day by day. If you don't want a republican in the White House, support Sanders.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)A Hindenburg/Titanic type of disaster. Completely turns off the left/liberal base. Zero appeal to independents, and the Repig base will do everything short of coming out of graves to vote against her. She's worth somewhere between 1 and 3 million additional Repig votes nationwide. Well-earned, very Nixon-like ratings for honesty and trustworthiness.
She will lead the party off a cliff to a Goldwater-like stomping.
How ironic.
And that is assuming she isn't indicted before the election.
azmom
(5,208 posts)Rybak187
(105 posts)Nite Owl
(11,303 posts)it seems that way. It's hard to overcome the not trustworthy thing. What she says now will change if she becomes President and most people know that.
Arazi
(6,829 posts)Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)and, of course, depending on who the Republican nominee is.
Orangepeel
(13,933 posts)Whatever reason a Hillary/Bernie has that Hillary/Bernie would have a better chance at beating the republican doesn't hold water if she/he can't even beat the other.
The nominee might lose, but if so, I don't believe that it will be because we nominated the wrong person. If Hillary loses to Bernie, it means she was a lousy candidate. If Bernie loses to Hillary, it will mean that the enthusiasm that was supposed to propel his campaign wasn't enough.
TransitJohn
(6,932 posts)She being the nominee will be the trifecta of bad. It'll depress Democratic turnout (especially among the young), turn away Independents, and energize the Republicans, greatly increasing their turnout. Her unfavorables alone right now should be cause for alarm, not to mention how bad the email shit will be in the Fall.
tularetom
(23,664 posts)I've heard Trump blame the entire Iraq mess on Bush, I haven't heard Hillary Clinton do it, or Obama.
People are sick of all this mealy mouthed centrist bullshit, they want something different.
Bernie Sanders could offer it. Trump can offer it, whether we like him or not. Clinton is more of the same. Plus theres all that Clinton baggage.
dana_b
(11,546 posts)she will lose to them if she is nominated. But for some reason, people are still voting for someone that they don't trust. Look at the polls in NV on trust. Maybe some people will just go along and vote for the name that they know without thinking about the issues. I don't get it.
With that being said, EVERYONE knows Trumps name.
mckara
(1,708 posts)One was enough!
840high
(17,196 posts)plus5mace
(140 posts)If it makes you feel better remember life is absurd and meaningless. Everything man builds will eventually turn to dust, and all our efforts will eventually be in vain. So when President Trump puts Judge Judy on the Supreme Court, it is just the natural process of entropy. You can fight it, but you can't expect to win.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)jfern
(5,204 posts)Jarqui
(10,123 posts)SoLeftIAmRight
(4,883 posts)...
bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)NowSam
(1,252 posts)yes
warrprayer
(4,734 posts)That Bernie has a better chance against the GOP.
The party is going to make sure she gets the nomination.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)It's their job to preserve the status quo at all costs.
Ford F-150
(72 posts)onecaliberal
(32,852 posts)Todays_Illusion
(1,209 posts)Hillary in the White House they don't care which party label she wears.
And that is why I support Bernie Sanders.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)bvar22
(39,909 posts)Hillary has no chance of wining the GE.
NONE....ZERO.
slipslidingaway
(21,210 posts)win the GE if she is the nominee.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)If we have a republican president, they will probably be in office for only one term. If Hillary wins, that's at least 8 years of a conservative in the White House.
Robbins
(5,066 posts)she is sure loser In GE.once republicans have total control of government they will never lose it.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Robbins
(5,066 posts)any state with a caucus instead of primary is lost cause.tonight proves it.
blacks are still voting heavily for her as nevada shows.them and senior citizens seem detmined to vote clinton no matter what.
SC is lost cause.so clinton will win 3 of first 4 states.MSM will scrub any details away from Iowa and nevada so they are wins no matter what.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)He's been consistently climbing in the state and national poles. It would've been a tremendous help if he won Nevada, but it wasn't a landslide. Stay positive and don't help the corporate media control the narrative.
Robbins
(5,066 posts)best case sceniros is he loses by only 10%
like nevada black vote will break heavily for clinton.
soon clinton campagain and MSM will be able to say going into super tuesday she won 3 out of 4 states.noone will remember
contorvousy In Iowa and Nevada.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Robbins
(5,066 posts)only thing he can do is try to keep it close.
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)He just needs to keep it close enough in delegate counts to hit the big states.
Eko
(7,282 posts)I left my crystal ball that could see into the future at work, Ill check it out for you when I get it back. Is this a real question? Its as stupid as asking the same thing about Sanders. Get a grip people.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)stupid questions seem to have that effect on me.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)without the youth or progressives showing up on election day.
Eko
(7,282 posts)I don't believe I ever said that though did I? Lets just stick to what we have said ok?
Lorien
(31,935 posts)TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Arazi
(6,829 posts)I'm really depressed and need a drink now
Lorien
(31,935 posts)I've had so many posts hidden lately (over truly minor things) that I'm keeping to FB for now.
Arazi
(6,829 posts)this late and it'll drop off.
In the morning though...
What shocks me is how clearly they see this election. They've blown through the bullshit and understand the corporate money/secret government bullshit.
If it's so apparent over there, it's just sickens me so many Americans can't see through the MSM propaganda and see it clearly here.
Lorien
(31,935 posts)Le Taz Hot
(22,271 posts)The millennials I've been talking to have almost to the person said they will NOT vote for Hillary.
juajen
(8,515 posts)I am sick of hearing the word millenial.
Le Taz Hot
(22,271 posts)And without the fucking retards. Her base are blind party loyalists and Wall Street. That's it. Not enough to win.
mcar
(42,307 posts)Depaysement
(1,835 posts)TPTB have designated her the next President.
ladjf
(17,320 posts)napi21
(45,806 posts)TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)as if some Bernie supporters would LIKE Hillary to lose the GE.
She will only lose the GE if Bernie supporters don't vote for her. Just as Bernie would lose the GE if he were the nominee and Hillary supporters don't show up. We need each other, warts and all. In the end its us vs. the GOP.
In any case, it all depends on who they nominate. If it's Trump, which seems increasingly likely, Hilary will beat him. Given demographic shifts, he'd need about 42% of the Hispanic vote. He's very unlikely to get it.
If it's Rubio, it might be another story. But both Bernie and Hillary might have a harder time against him.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)I know a few Sanders supporters who refuse to vote for Hillary. They feel that Hillary will be more of the same, and they have nothing to lose. This wouldn't be a problem if we had a candidate who they knew would fight for the poor and working class, oh wait a minute, we do have one, Bernie Sanders.
craigmatic
(4,510 posts)on the bright side trump might just scare enough people into voting for Hillary.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)but then again, they voted for Reagan twice, and W once.
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)She would benefit from the solid blue Electoral College wall. But the thing is, Hillary would not be good for this country. I am convinced of that. We need Bernie to win and that remains very possible.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Hillary would probably squeak by, but we would be crushed down ticket.
rosesaylavee
(12,126 posts)Ino
(3,366 posts)Depressed Dem turnout due to...
- lack of enthusiasm
- she's inevitable, why bother
- youth lose interest
- Bernie fans who stay home, write in, vote for third party, vote for Republican
Elevated Rep turnout due to...
- a Clinton
- Hillary
No votes from Independents
No votes from cross-over Republicans
cheapdate
(3,811 posts)Bjornsdotter
(6,123 posts)I've seen a lot of people who have said that they will not vote for her. I don't know if wounds would heal by November.
I just don't know.....
asuhornets
(2,405 posts)CBGLuthier
(12,723 posts)PeteSelman
(1,508 posts)She'll beat Trump or Cruz.
Rubio is a little weasel putz but he'll win the general over Hillary because of generational politics. Cruz is young but he's such an asshole he can't win a general.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)When people see his record in the senate he's finished. I think he's in it for VP. I could be wrong, If you asked me six months ago I would have said Bush, Walker, or Paul would be the front-runners.
LW1977
(1,234 posts)People who say otherwise should be ashamed of themselves!
Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)She is probably the only candidate who is being investigated by the FBI. She has a barrel load of scandals and is a serial flip-flopper. She is not particularly liked world-wide. I wouldn't be surprised if the republicans try to get her to be the nominee so they can BBQ her.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)daleanime
(17,796 posts)Jon Ace
(243 posts)That's for certain.
begin_within
(21,551 posts)Kablooie
(18,632 posts)TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)GoneFishin
(5,217 posts)eat a shit sandwich than vote for a dirty trickster.
hollowdweller
(4,229 posts)Trump is to the left of Hillary on economic issues.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)by Justin McCarthy
Americans show most bias toward socialists (47%), atheists (58%)
http://www.gallup.com/poll/183713/socialist-presidential-candidates-least-appealing.aspx
Looks like we escaped a sure defeat if Bernie was the nominee.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Having Sanders in the GE will be a great opportunity to educate them.
That poll was conducted to continue the myth that America is a center-right country, I don't care how reliable Gallup is, I'm not buying it.