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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew National Poll: Clinton 50, Sanders 35
From Morning Consult: http://morningconsult.com/2016/02/poll-hillary-clinton-increases-lead-over-bernie-sanders/
A couple notes. First, Morning Consult seems to be a "new kid on the block" among pollsters; it's not listed in 538's ratings. Second, you have to subscribe to access the poll's crosstabs (and I didn't feel like doing that). So it's FWIW.
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New National Poll: Clinton 50, Sanders 35 (Original Post)
Chichiri
Feb 2016
OP
That's a South Carolina poll. It's not a national poll. Sanders leads all national polls. (nt)
w4rma
Feb 2016
#7
Nate hasn't updated his pollster rating but he includes them in the aggregate.
DemocratSinceBirth
Feb 2016
#11
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)1. Wow
When will Bernie concede the race?
freddyt
(27 posts)2. I don't know.
When will Hillary release the transcripts?
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)4. Sorry cant hear you
Sinistrous
(4,249 posts)5. And I can no longer see you.
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)3. Probably not until Hillary clinches a majority of pledged delegates.
He has any number of reasons not to concede early.
w4rma
(31,700 posts)7. That's a South Carolina poll. It's not a national poll. Sanders leads all national polls. (nt)
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)8. I believe that is incorrect
That's a South Carolina poll.
No, it isn't:
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has increased her lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders ahead of Saturdays Democratic presidential primary in South Carolina, according to a new Morning Consult national survey.
The poll shows Clinton pulling in 50 percent of voters support, with 35 percent of respondents opting for the Vermont independent. Clinton picked up three percentage points from our mid-February poll, and Sanders lost four percentage points.
http://morningconsult.com/2016/02/poll-hillary-clinton-increases-lead-over-bernie-sanders/
The poll shows Clinton pulling in 50 percent of voters support, with 35 percent of respondents opting for the Vermont independent. Clinton picked up three percentage points from our mid-February poll, and Sanders lost four percentage points.
http://morningconsult.com/2016/02/poll-hillary-clinton-increases-lead-over-bernie-sanders/
It's not a national poll. Sanders leads all national polls.
I believe that is incorrect as well:
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary
Given the fact that Senator Sanders is trailing in almost every state, large and small, it would be virtually impossible to have a true national polling advantage.
Math.
Response to w4rma (Reply #7)
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Response to w4rma (Reply #7)
newfie11 This message was self-deleted by its author.
madokie
(51,076 posts)9. No, its not FWIW
its pushing a meme and you know it.
shame on you.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)11. Nate hasn't updated his pollster rating but he includes them in the aggregate.
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)13. DU rec...nt
Sid