2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton had a great night on Saturday. The Democratic Party had a terrible one.
Exit polling showed that Clinton won every demographic tracked except voters under 30. Even here, she was far more competitive with Sanders than in prior contests, losing just 54 percent to 46 percent. She even won a higher share of the black vote than Barack Obama did in 2008.
But Democratic Party elites shouldn't be high-fiving each other. They should be very, very worried.
In primary after primary this cycle, Democratic voters just aren't showing up. Only 367,491 people cast a ballot for either Clinton or Sanders on Saturday. That's down 16 percent from the 436,219 people who came out in 2008 for Clinton and Obama. Factor in the 93,522 people who voted for John Edwards back in the day, and you can see the scope of the problem. Democrats in 2016 are only getting about two-thirds of the primary votes that they received eight years ago.
Republican turnout in the South Carolina primary, by contrast, was up more than 70 percent from 2008.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/democrat-turnout-south-carolina_us_56d2e392e4b03260bf77247f
By shoving Clinton down our throats, the DNC is cutting off its nose to spite its face.
peacebird
(14,195 posts)Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)she will continue to go to all states and deliver her agenda. We are Democrats, please we are better than this nit picking.
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)nothing at all. Read those numbers. It's dismal. And the Hillary folks claimed SC was insanely excited about her. As the OP says she beat the fuck out of Bernie but she did not produce any draw to the ballot box for all that alleged passion about her. Bernie got more votes in NH than anyone ever before but turnout again was low. Neither thing is good. Neither campaign has delivered that most vital element to the ground game. It's a problem. It has to be addressed or there is no reason to bother at all. We are down, they are up that means we lose.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)In 2010 and 2014. I heard the story more than once "we don't have anyone to excite us", it should excite to elect Democrats rather than staying home and Republicans electing Republicans.
PyaarRevolution
(814 posts)Most of here may feel that's enough but not for most people. It hasn't helped they've been so disenfranchised and for a long time the mainstream media all but blockaded or marginalized Bernie's ideas.
Imagine if Bernie got a 1/4 of the support Barrack did in the media. Yeah, I know part of the fact he was the first Black president helped but he did get a LOT of media coverage too.
That being said, Thom said it and it bears repeating, that there's been a lot of disenfranchisement by "voter fraud" efforts from Republicans and those BS voter id laws. There's that book, "The New Jim Crow", by Michelle Alexander. Well that right there is the truth, voter id laws are the new Jim Crow. I mean explain to me how GUN permits are valid forms of id but not college id?! WTF?! This likely accounts for quite a bit of the shitty turnout too.
Jitter65
(3,089 posts)Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)mindwalker_i
(4,407 posts)Therein lies the problem. Her agenda will hurt us - the people below the 1% mark. Also, Trump will wipe the floor with her both because this election is about challenging the status quo and also because her e-mail server put top-secret information out to the world. A case can be made that she doesn't care about national security. I don't either, but a lot of people really do care.
Response to Thinkingabout (Reply #2)
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Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)The establishment did not vote in SC. Rank and file Democrats, young, old, white, Hispanic, African American, very poor, poor, middle class, and affluent voted.
Most of them voted for Clinton
And, some of those voted for Sanders.
That was a win, for every Democrat.
Zach Carter doesn't know what he is talking about in this article.
whereisjustice
(2,941 posts)That's down 16 percent from the 436,219 people who came out in 2008 for Clinton and Obama. Factor in the 93,522 people who voted for John Edwards back in the day, and you can see the scope of the problem. Democrats in 2016 are only getting about two-thirds of the primary votes that they received eight years ago.
Republican turnout in the South Carolina primary, by contrast, was up more than 70 percent from 2008.
What part of this is not true?
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)Except for those who think that South Carolina should not count.
whereisjustice
(2,941 posts)sticking to their campaign that change is bad, conservatives are good.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)That is bullshit.
If it proves anything, Sanders Revolution is a failure.
I support the people who voted, and we will GOTV and win no matter who our nominee is, and Sanders will help Clinton win if he looses the primary. He has said that both he and Clinton are a thousand times better than any Republican. I think he was telling truth.
whereisjustice
(2,941 posts)of DNC leadership and a huge problem against Trump.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)and anybody who is not White will be a disaster for Trump.
He still wins only a plurality of Republicans.
And then there is this.
A group of Republicans is moving quickly to research ballot-access requirements for independent candidates in case Trump wraps up the GOP nomination next month.
That is what is waiting for Trump, even if he drives the Clown Car to the Republican Nominating Convention.
whereisjustice
(2,941 posts)that if the DNC doesn't start moving the message left, they will enable right wing extremism.
This is exactly what is happening
I've seen it for 40 years with Dems following Republicans in their move to the right.
Why do people think this isn't threat to the nation?
Sanders is in no way a counter balance to the radical extremism that Trump, Cruz and Rubio legitimize.
Yet the best Clinton can do is attack Sanders for speaking the truth against the corrupt establishment she represents.
Clown car? Go ahead and laugh. That these people are getting as close to the White House as they are is a massive failure of Democrats to hold their leadership accountable.
This is a fucking disaster in American political history. We have a modern Mussolini running for president. And Clinton/DNC are just enabling it.
We need to move left. Fuck the clown car meme. These people are making huge gains in local elections, school boards, etc.
DNC is spending all their time limiting participation and influence from non-rich voters and..
IT WILL BACKFIRE IN A SPECTACULAR WAY ONE DAY.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)With that big a difference, we will do fine.
I don't think Sanders was lying.
Opinions may vary.
whereisjustice
(2,941 posts)and GW Bush is 100 times better than David Duke.
That doesn't validate that our political leadership is doing the right things to govern the nation.
ccinamon
(1,696 posts)Perfectly said, very eloquent and true!
Thank you!
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)a problem. Turnout has been down for Democrats and up for Republicans in every States so far, the Hillary blow out, the Bernie blow out and the two closer Hillary wins all had low Democratic turnout, high Republican turnout. It's a problem that is not specific to any State or to either candidate and it is a most decided problem.
The 2008 Primary was the opposite, we were adding new Democrats hot and fast. Expanding the voter rolls. Hilary was part of that too, and that was very good. So this is not candidate or location material, this is we need voters on the rolls even if we end up nominating Jesus Christ and his running mate Moses.
PyaarRevolution
(814 posts)He said she needs to change her campaign, he didn't say vote for Bernie. That is worth noting. When people hear about TPP, GMO's, Marijuana reform from her, etc. they don't like it. She hasn't firmly dismissed TPP, she's still for GMO's and saying we still need to do studies on the effects of Marijuana is absurd.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)At this point, she has won 3 of 4 primary contests. So a majority of Democrats, so far, like what she says, what she stands for, and like her.
We may find at the end of the primary that Sanders has won. But it is damned disingenuous to argue that the Democrats who are voting don't like her.
And in SC, man, they loved her.
Response to Agnosticsherbet (Reply #3)
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Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)Response to Buzz Clik (Reply #4)
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msongs
(67,405 posts)whereisjustice
(2,941 posts)real story. By putting their full weight behind Clinton, the DNC is suppressing the vote.
TBF
(32,056 posts)It's transparent and sickening.
Doctor_J
(36,392 posts)the rest of the looting of the commons that they have been executing for twenty five years. The best results for the oligarchs is a far right republican congress together with a far right democratic white house. They managed to give our healthcare system to their donors during Obamas term. Should Hillary or trump get elected, education and social security will be profitized. The millions of new voters that favor Sanders are an impediment to their plans, so the dlc would prefer they not vote
whereisjustice
(2,941 posts)agenda forward.
MisterP
(23,730 posts)and state-responsibility talk on top of the good-governance bare minimum that we've had taken from us!
FlatBaroque
(3,160 posts)when the Democratic party finally caught its own tail and ate its own ass.
TheDormouse
(1,168 posts)ybbor
(1,554 posts)Gross, but funny.
whereisjustice
(2,941 posts)Consequently, party leaders (again, that's code for Hillary supporters) have seemingly hosted fewer voter registration drives. Doing so, would, in essence, be drives for Bernie Sanders. In some cases, party leaders are just skipping them altogether in many states and at college campuses.
When the Democratic Party loses interest in voter registration and voter empowerment, it is truly blurring the lines between what makes it fundamentally different than the Republican Party.
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election/dem-voter-registration-leading-turnout-article-1.2545420
h/t to akamai
Broward
(1,976 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)The weather was quite nice.
whereisjustice
(2,941 posts)and they had a snip on Trump and Cruz. Then they ended their top of hour news with something very close to
"South Carolina gets ready to vote with Trump and Cruz campaigning for the Republican nomination and Hillary campaigning for the Democrats."
Every media outlet has ordained Hillary as the nominee.
The DNC is no longer registering voters on campuses and they have changed corporate campaign contribution limits for favor Hillary.
It all adds up.
That's why.
Dem voters down 16% over all. Rep voters up 70%. Seems to me that Sanders isn't the problem here. DNC leadership is the problem here. They need to be held accountable, although they will never do that. It's always the fault of the "left".
oberliner
(58,724 posts)There were numerous well attended Bernie Sanders events and quite a significant ground game (one article argued that his ground game in SC with better than HRC's).
Here is that article:
Bernie Sanders Has A Larger Ground Game In South Carolina Than Clinton
https://www.americarisingpac.org/bernie-sanders-larger-ground-game-south-carolina-clinton/
TBF
(32,056 posts)And I'm quite sure that's intentional. The MSM ignores Bernie - I can only find his rallies and parades through Twitter.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)USA Today: Sanders takes on Trump, Clinton in Oklahoma rally
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/onpolitics/2016/02/28/sanders-takes-trump-clinton-oklahoma-rally/81089184/
Fox: Bernie Sanders hosts campaign rally in downtown OKC
http://okcfox.com/news/local/democratic-presidential-nominee-bernie-sanders-hosts-campaign-rally
Dallas Morning News: In Grand Prairie more than 7,000 rally for Bernie Sanders
http://trailblazersblog.dallasnews.com/2016/02/in-grand-prairie-more-than-7000-rally-for-bernie-sanders.html/
NBC: Bernie Sanders Supporters Rally In Charlottesville
http://www.nbc29.com/story/31333715/bernie-sanders-supporters-rally-in-charlottesville
CBS Pittsburghers March, Hold Rally To Show Support For Bernie Sanders
http://pittsburgh.cbslocal.com/2016/02/27/pittsburghers-march-hold-rally-to-show-support-for-bernie-sanders/
Live coverage: Bernie Sanders rally in Fort Collins
http://www.coloradoan.com/story/news/2016/02/28/bernie-sanders-rallies-supporters-in-colorado/81074520/
MSNBC: Full speech: Sanders holds rally after South Carolina loss
http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc-quick-cuts/watch/full-speech-sanders-rally-after-sc-loss-632853059552
Tarc
(10,476 posts)Try winning one. (Hint; getting more people to vote for your candidate helps)
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)When you totaled up 2008 votes the Party had more votes than the Party has in 2016. Although an electorate of 100 would still bring a winner and a loser, it is nevertheless not sufficient voting numbers for the Party in which both the winner and loser are running. When Obama won SC in a blow out, he had far more votes than Hillary and his opponents had more votes than Bernie. The Party had more votes in 08 than it had in '16.
If I was a Hillary supporter this would be a big issue for me. When Bernie won NH with great numbers for him but low turnout for the Party I started worrying. Nevada was down as well, way down. This is made worse by the fact that GOP turnout is up. Way up.
No matter the nominee, we need to built the turnout. This train needs to be making energy not taking energy.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)What a load of bullshit. PEOPLE went to the polls. It's that simple.
You support Sanders? Fine. But don't assume that everyone who supports Clinton is part of some machine to just shove her down your throat. People are deciding. And voting.
And yeah, the turn out numbers are being misrepresented. Turn out this year IS down form 2008, but is up.... WAY up from both 2000 and 2004.
Response to Adrahil (Reply #28)
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alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)Sandersian Groundswell Theory seems to need some reworking.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)trump and sanders they fear.
and one of them WILL be the next president. count on it.
Land of Enchantment
(1,217 posts)in from the DNC asking for my money are now diminishing in number. Don't know if there is a correlation but every time I receive one I write back to DNC HQ and tell them 'not one penny' for YOU but I'm sending Bernie another 27 bucks. Maybe someone there is actually seeing similar emails? They can't raise money off us so they had to reverse Obama's ban of Federal Lobbyist's dirty money.
HoosierCowboy
(561 posts)...think about how many times South Carolina has voted Blue for the Presidency? Nada....
erlewyne
(1,115 posts)You guys are good!!! The posts are superlative.
I am voting for BERNIE SANDERS on March 15 at 7a!
AgerolanAmerican
(1,000 posts)represents white working class Democrats who seem to have been completely taken for granted by the Democratic Party.
They fled to the GOP primary where they voted for Trump. If you look at the demographic breakdown in the GOP exit polls, Trump cleaned up among white blue-collar voters. If this is a trend rather than an aberration then a 1980 scenario is a realistic possibility.
blondie58
(2,570 posts)Democracy doesn't work like that. Personally, i don't Want to vote for one of the 1%'ers- with she qualifies for with a net worth of $33.1 million. As a politician! Unbelievable.
blondie58
(2,570 posts)jalan48
(13,863 posts)Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)Cryptoad
(8,254 posts)Dustlawyer
(10,495 posts)Trump is the Republican version of Obama, they are fired up for a trash talking POS because they are hateful idiots. They think he will screw us Libtards etc.
We are heading towards putting up the perfect foil in their Establishment arch nemeses, Hillary Clinton. There is no way she will beat him, especially since her under-handed campaign and many obnoxious supporters have driven off any hope of support for her from many Bernie supporters. They love to hate her most of all and will vote in droves! Our only chance would be to get Bernie and his anti-establishment platform and his strong group of young supporters along with the rest of us.
Before you alert, not all Hillary supporters are bad and not all Bernie supporters are good, but that's how this is looking to me. If Bernie loses the Primary, save this so you can tell me later how right I was back in February 2016!!!
whereisjustice
(2,941 posts)when the first tea baggers showed up, it was all yucks. They'll never amount to anything. Democratic Party moved right.
Then the baggers started taking local elections and getting huge money from corporate interest groups.
Democratic Party moved more to the right.
Then the baggers started making inroads in national elections.
Democratic Party moved more to the right.
Sarah Fucking Palin.
Democratic Party moved more to the right.
Now Republicans are going to run a cross between a televangelist, Putin and Mussolini.
Democrats are moving more to the right.
Now, Hillary supporters are claiming young people don't vote so who needs them, blah, blah, blah.
The ending of this story has been written a thousand times through the course of history.
No matter what happens with this election, Hillary will still be rich, privileged and entitled.
And we will still be fucked.
Democrats get what we deserve.
Dustlawyer
(10,495 posts)understand what has happened to our government and how negatively it has affected our lives. I remember before they had a complete lock on things. Now we live under corporate rule and corporate injustice.
I fight corporations for a living. I see what's going on, I have watched BP pervert the justice system, the political system, and the media, who wouldn't air anything negative to the biggest advertiser on the Gulf Coast since the spill. Ed Schultz did a couple of months before he was axed. They even bought up almost all of the documentaries before they came out.
Hillary will never do anything about it, just like Eric Holder who, instead of revoking BP's probation they were already under, let them off early! Let them drill before they paid the victims, settled with them before most victims and let them deduct almost all of the settlement so taxpayers pay it! Then the money is a political slush fund!
We really need a political revolution!!!
whereisjustice
(2,941 posts)them in check. Our politicians won't do it.
Spitfire of ATJ
(32,723 posts)Beacool
(30,247 posts)Hillary worked hard for her votes in SC. No one stopped people from voting for Sanders.
If he loses it'll be simply because more people preferred Hillary and voted for her.
Something called democracy.
whereisjustice
(2,941 posts)resembles nothing like original recipe democracy.
Beacool
(30,247 posts)Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)"Why vote in a primary if Hillary is inevitable, as they keep telling us?" If I wasn't such a strong Bernie supporter, that would be my position. Why bother?