Bernie and Cruz Show Some Life, But...

[tgards79]

...very few net delegates to show for it. It's about the math, stupid.
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/03/march-56-post-mortem-cruz-and-bernie.html

[RobertEarl]

1. Bernie states are coming soon

Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska ... impossible for Bernie to win. we were told..

From day one we've heard the "You can't gave Bernie, he can't win anything and has no money" well them days are over, right? So why are you wasting your time here?

[Garrett78]

6. What do "Bernie states" have in common?

They have relatively few delegates and little diversity. The likes of Wyoming, Idaho, Delaware and Alaska aren't going to get Sanders anywhere close to 2383 delegates.

[MillennialDem]

7. *2026

[Garrett78]

11. 2383

Everything I've read says 2383 delegates are needed to win the nomination.

[MillennialDem]

13. That includes 717 superdelegates. We should assume that the supers will

50% + 1 vote for the winner of the majority of regular delegates, which requires 2026, which would give over 2383.

[RobertEarl]

8. California, New York

The whole left coast. Etc. Already he has surprised the heck out of the smart pundits, and he ain't done yet.

[Garrett78]

12. Washington and Oregon, perhaps.

California and New York? Doubtful.

[RobertEarl]

14. Sheesh

Where have you been? It was said Bernie could maybe win Vermont and NH. That he couldn't compete with the big money.

And yet you sit there and preach more of the same falsities? Frankly Garret, you don't know what you are talking about.

Is it any wonder some of us are really getting tired of yall doubters wasting time?

[Garrett78]

16. Uh, nobody doubted he could win VT or NH.

VT was a given and Sanders had been favored in neighboring NH for quite some time. And the other states he's won are also small states lacking in diversity. Until that changes, Sanders won't be on track to come anywhere close to 2383 delegates. Now, a win in Michigan would be big. Wins in Florida, Missouri, Illinois, North Carolina and Ohio (or even just 3 of those 5) on the 15th would be even bigger.

But Oklahoma, Nebraska, Kansas, Utah, Idaho, Wyoming, Montana, Alaska, Indiana, West Virginia, North Dakota, South Dakota and New England states? That's not going to cut it.

[RobertEarl]

17. No kidding?

Well, golly darn, Garret has spoken again. The great Garret has spoken so all of us should just quit bothering Garret with our hope for real change.


Go tell Bernie. Quick, he needs to know the great Garret has spoken and he should just give up!!

Can you tell I'm making fun of you?

[Garrett78]

18. We're just 2 people giving an opinion.

Your silly sarcasm demonstrates you don't actually have a valid response. I haven't said Sanders should quit, nor am I a Clinton supporter. I'm just pointing out some mathematical and demographic realities.

[RobertEarl]

19. We've heard it all before!!!

And all you deserve is sarcasm. You are merely pointing out your opinion, not realities, so there you go contradicting yourself and why all you get now is sarcasm. And brow-beating.

[Garrett78]

20. A reality is a reality whether you like it or not.

Clinton is winning larger and more diverse states. Sanders is winning smaller and less diverse states. Clinton is a heavy favorite in the remaining large, more diverse states. Denying that reality doesn't make it go away.

[tgards79]

21. Garret is absolutely correct.

The math is overwhelming. There is no way for Bernie to catch up even if he wins. He has to win landslides (60/40 everywhere) and that is simply not happening. Too many minorities who back Hillary by enormous margins.

[tgards79]

23. Do you ever look at polls?

Hillary will crush Bernie in Michigan AND Mississippi to tomorrow. It is over, stop fantasizing.

[ucrdem]

15. California is about 1 chance in 1,000,000 for Bernie.

Not a single Dem that I'm aware of has endorsed/mentioned him and it's a Dem state with a popular Dem governor (endorsed Hillary a year ago) and a popular senator (Boxer) who is a Hilly surrogate. Plus Ahnold and his GOP pals absolutely thrashed the place in their Bush-era reign of terror and we're still picking up the pieces. Bernie ain't happening n the golden state.

[liberal_at_heart]

2. You guys are so scared of Bernie you can't wait until the convention can you?

Hillary stayed in until the convention. Why not Bernie? I get to cast my vote for Bernie on March 26. I can't wait. You're attempt to tamper support for Bernie will fail.

[stevenleser]

3. Right, I am sure anything you've ever fought for you would have preferred to have dragged out

and made longer than necessary.

[tgards79]

5. Please do the math yourself

I hate for people to cling to impossible fantasies.

[MillennialDem]

9. I did the math already. Before this weekend Bernie needed to win 53.8% of the remaining delegates.

Not impossible or even unreasonable by a long shot.

Unlikely yes.

[liberal_at_heart]

22. My vote is my vote. You do not get to tell me how to vote. You are going on ignore.

[Garrett78]

10. Of course Clinton stayed in until the convention.

She won the popular vote by a hair and only lost the delegate count by a hair (thanks to superdelegates). The 2008 race was incredibly close; as close as it gets. It's way too early to draw a comparison with 2016, but it's highly unlikely that this year's contest will resemble the 2008 version.

[Old Codger]

4. Nice try

Actually pretty pathetic try..