2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumI sincerely hope tonight means a sharp curtailment of posts quoting the omniscient Mr. 538.
Because there's something more important than math.... votes!
tularetom
(23,664 posts)Hopefully, this will be the end of his exalted status as an oracle.
I would have thought his miserable performance in 2014 would have finished him off but apparently he's like a cockroach.
joshcryer
(62,276 posts)Though to be fair the pollsters got this one wrong across the board.
reformist2
(9,841 posts)Luminous Animal
(27,310 posts)but being right for the right people when they win.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)I believe it also predicted most of the Senate races as well.
To say he has a strong record of being would be a mistake.
joshcryer
(62,276 posts)With absolutely no explanation or reasoning behind it.
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)And, you fell for it.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)KelleyKramer
(8,969 posts)That could be an all time record fail
.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)The record was Dewey v Truman. Gallup took it in the chin and admitted it was the model. It is time for Silver to do the same. Of course I got a theory if what the hell is going on with polling since 2000 and not limited to the US either
sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)Hillary must be his 1%. Does that make sense? Lol!
Trying to help him out here! I'm in a good mood!
Mnpaul
(3,655 posts)hobbit709
(41,694 posts)Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)analysis on itself