2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe debate results: 1st Bernie Sanders; 2nd Jill Stein; 3rd Ted Cruz; distant 4th Hillary Clinton
Hillary LOST votes tonight.
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)Can't lose what you never had.
lob1
(3,820 posts)Jarqui
(10,124 posts)Time Bernie 90% Hillary 10%
http://time.com/4253505/democratic-debate-eighth-miami-cnn-poll-survey/
Heavy.com Bernie 95% Hillary 5%
http://heavy.com/news/2016/03/poll-who-won-democratic-debate-cnn-univision-bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton/
Syracuse.com Bernie 95% Hillary 5%
http://www.syracuse.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/03/poll_who_won_the_8th_democratic_2016_presidential_debate.html
FoxSandiego.com Bernie 97% Hillary 3%
http://fox5sandiego.com/2016/03/09/poll-who-won-the-8th-democratic-debate/
Best numbers by Bernie after any debate I've seen
brooklynite
(94,547 posts)Election last night Bernie won by 1.5%, 49.8 to 48.3% in a state Hillary was leading the day of the election by 21.4%. Most would see that as a Clinton drop off.
And the next night, he averages 94% or so to Hillary's 6% or so - the best poll numbers after any debate and you're spinning this is a drop off for Bernie?
Likely voters - supposedly the more accurate polls
I do not see the drop off. They're getting close and closer.
Clinton's favorability - now here is something that seems to be steadily dropping off:
Bernie's favorability is again, the opposite - getting better
brooklynite
(94,547 posts)...which never seems to translate to votes.
I'm not disparaging his Primary wins, just the continued celebrating of his "winning" online polls.
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)I suspect the debates play to an audience that's already largely made up its mind. I'd venture to guess that the vast majority of voters, even in primaries (which attract more politically-involved people) only know what happened in any of the debates via the news media.
That's problematic, obviously...but what can you do?
Jarqui
(10,124 posts)It's hard to control the message folks get on line. For those that rely on the mainstream media, they're getting lulled into what the folks who own the six major media companies want.
But the notable thing about those polls of last night was that instead of averaging 80%-20%, they were about 94%-6%. I think that result, like the standing ovation he got at the end, reflects Bernie really won that debate handily.
There is zero doubt in my mind, over enough time, Bernie would clobber Hillary. He started down 50-60 points and he's now within striking distance and still climbing. But Bernie doesn't have a lot of time. That's the real problem for him. In three months the primary ends and unless he starts to win more delegates, it will be over well before then.
I think that debate won him some support. We won't know for sure how much until the evening of March 15th.
There also seems to be a little rumbling starting in the media about Hillary's lying. Long overdue but it's seems to be starting. Michael Moore maintains that her lie on the auto bailout cost her Michigan - that's what he maintains was the key thing that flipped the electorate. If the people of Florida fact check what Hillary said last night in the debate like the folks in Michigan did, Hillary's going to lose a bunch of votes. Hillary lied a lot last night. In case you haven't noticed, like Michigan, folks eventually get fed up with being lied to.
Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)Among Humans it was 100% Bernie.
The dogs were undecided, as they were demanding "free stuff" (Frosty Paws) the whole time.
sheshe2
(83,757 posts)cherokeeprogressive
(24,853 posts)CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)She lied and misrepresented Bernie's stances on the auto bailout. The media collectively said she was wrong and unfair and even some Senators stepped forward to agree that she was out of line.
I think, in part, her dishonesty and lie-based smears of Bernie did her no favors with Michigan voters.
So, what does she do? She shows up for this debate--doubling down on a failed strategy.
Not only did she lie about Sanders. She attacked him in very bizarre, over-the-top ways.
She aligned Sanders with the Minutemen. She also aligned him with the Koch Brothers.
She will be vilified for these lies--which are far more desperate and unhinged.
She'll pay for it in the next 48 hours when Bernie campaigns all over the country debunking her lies.
She's all ready got 70 percent of the country believing that she's dishonest and not trustworthy. How low does she want those numbers to go?
DefenseLawyer
(11,101 posts)arikara
(5,562 posts)Every report said that her going on about Bernie voting against the auto bailout hurt her in Michigan so she goes and does it again and even worse about minutemen and kocks in Florida?
Maybe she's just tired out and wants to lose.
EndElectoral
(4,213 posts)Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)my bad
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)liberal_at_heart
(12,081 posts)The Democratic party is doing everything possible to fracture the party.