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ProSense

(116,464 posts)
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 01:24 PM Oct 2012

Reuter/Ipsos: Obama 46, Romney 43

Obama extends slim lead over Romney in White House race

By Deborah Charles

(Reuters) - U.S. President Barack Obama gained ground on Republican rival Mitt Romney for the third straight day, leading 46 percent to 43 percent, according to the Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll released on Tuesday.

Released hours before the presidential contenders face off for their second debate, the poll showed the number of undecided voters had increased, indicating a drop of support for Romney among the coveted voting bloc.

The poll showed that Obama has recovered some ground after a poor showing in his first presidential debate. After dropping below Romney in the wake of the October 3 debate, Obama regained the lead on Sunday and has increased that by 1 percentage point each day this week.

"I think what we're seeing is after the first debate Romney definitely saw a surge. A lot of his surge wasn't coming from Obama voters, it was coming from undecided voters, which is exactly where both candidates are seeking support," Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said.

- more -

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/16/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE89F14C20121016

Romney was up 3 points Thursday.

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Reuter/Ipsos: Obama 46, Romney 43 (Original Post) ProSense Oct 2012 OP
These damn polls dennis4868 Oct 2012 #1
It's called variance Shivering Jemmy Oct 2012 #4
The race is basically tied. boxman15 Oct 2012 #5
good news mgcgulfcoast Oct 2012 #2
Data tell me Shivering Jemmy Oct 2012 #3
Good! budkin Oct 2012 #6
National polls are irrelevant (to an extent, at least) Bake Oct 2012 #7
The battleground polls are most important, but TroyD Oct 2012 #8

Shivering Jemmy

(900 posts)
4. It's called variance
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 01:34 PM
Oct 2012

Sample from a distribution that is 50/50 it is equally likely to be on either side of that.

boxman15

(1,033 posts)
5. The race is basically tied.
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 01:36 PM
Oct 2012

If it stays this way, you'll see polls like we've been seeing, with the polls ranging anywhere from Obama +4 to Romney +4

Shivering Jemmy

(900 posts)
3. Data tell me
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 01:33 PM
Oct 2012

Straight up national tie. Have extremal points on both sides of 50/50.

Hopefully tonight gives us a tiny push. All we need.

Bake

(21,977 posts)
7. National polls are irrelevant (to an extent, at least)
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 04:48 PM
Oct 2012

It's the battleground states that matter.



Bake

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
8. The battleground polls are most important, but
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 04:50 PM
Oct 2012

National polls are important too.

They get a lot of coverage and can influence the momentum and narrative in the race. It's bad to be behind in them, so Obama needs to raise his National numbers this week.

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