2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumJust a reminder that that the majority of Americans have an unfavorable opinion of Hillary
12% upside down and getting worse all the time.
Bernie, on the other hand, 12.5% right side up and getting better all the time.
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)I have gone in less than a week from "No way in hell should she be President" to #thebighousenotthewhitehouse
Someone should ask Hillary what she thinks of the work that Health Management Associates, did in Little Rock and ask her what Bills outcome as a defendant on trial due to their criminal neglect came out.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)Still waiting for those transcripts. Praise Nancy!
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)hopefully when she loses the nomination she has lots of time to look into and has looked into it enough to know this is the issue that sunk her campaign.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)Same obfuscation and prevarication, same entitled mentality, same arrogance and pro-corporations stances.
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)It won't be like that in that sense. But, she is a full on Mitt.
oasis
(49,384 posts)What's a voter to do?
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)People can have unfavorable opinions of both. Then it becomes a turn out issue.
The RWingers hate Hillary. They will turn out against her. Even if they don't want Trump.
oasis
(49,384 posts)And don't forget TRUE Democrats who chose not to endure the next twenty years under a rebooted Scalia Supreme Court. They won't allow Trump the chance to pick at least 3 justices.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)Money in politics
The Iraq war
Free Trade
I know you have convinced yourself that the coronation is inevitable. It isn't.
oasis
(49,384 posts)As for the Iraq War.(1) ancient history. (2) The vast majority of Americans accept the fact that it was Bush's war.
Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)Please tell me you're kidding
oasis
(49,384 posts)Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)oasis
(49,384 posts)Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)oasis
(49,384 posts)I was opposed to the Bush Administration's build up to the Iraq invasion and the war itself. I got over it and voted for Kerry/Edwards. Some folks don't forgive, I get that.
Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)Especially not Gen-Xer and Millennial women who aren't as concerned with the "female president" aura.
oasis
(49,384 posts)Or a least they should be.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)oasis
(49,384 posts)to end the outrageous bullying of Trump.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)Trump gets the indy vote if Hillary is the nominee.
Hillary can't carry the indy vote and this has been shown in states so far where leads with indy's more than 3:1.
In a GE matchup, Trump gets their vote.
You should be VERY concerned.
oasis
(49,384 posts)Women and minorities will carry the day for Democrats in November.
And if by some magical wand Hillary is the nominee, Dems will lose the GE.
All facts point to this yet Hillary supporters ignore it.
Hillary is underwater in favorability and also not seen as trustworthy.
Trump is now over the 50% threshold.
If Hillary is the nominee, you better start praying for a brokered or a contested convention with the GOP & Trump going Indy.
Otherwise Dems are dead meat in the GE.
Hillary is the weaker candidate in a GE against a Republican opponent.
oasis
(49,384 posts)plenty motivation for Democrats and Independents to avoid at all costs the GOP addition of 3 Scalia types to the high court.
daleanime
(17,796 posts)is the best you feel we can do?
oasis
(49,384 posts)AgerolanAmerican
(1,000 posts)I would like to experience a general election where the choice is not "who sucks less horribly"
oasis
(49,384 posts)Who "sucked" in that group?
AgerolanAmerican
(1,000 posts)Kerry, Gore, Mondale, and the guy who Obama turned out to be (as opposed to the version we elected who was supposed to be pretty good).
I'm sure some will argue that Obama's been OK, but in the big picture he's done everything the war party and the corporatists want. First thing he had promised to do since he got into office was closing Guantanamo, and here we are 7 years later and it's still open.
It's been a long time since we got a good option who was actually who they said they were.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)cherokeeprogressive
(24,853 posts)warrprayer
(4,734 posts)Good post!
Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)Bernie. Imagine that.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)Lets see how things look then.
Chan790
(20,176 posts)So, assuming that HRC does go 3 weeks without a win...does that possibly put her behind?
morningfog
(18,115 posts)It could set up high stake constests in NY and PA. If all falls into place for Bernie he could conceivably reach or surpass Hillary on the penultimate day of voting, June 7. It could come down to the wire.
I think we'll know after tomorrow night whether it is plausible.
EmperorHasNoClothes
(4,797 posts)Unless one or the other starts having decisive wins in every state, the June 7 primaries will likely give one of them the majority of pledged delegates.
Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)panader0
(25,816 posts)Response to panader0 (Reply #10)
Motown_Johnny This message was self-deleted by its author.
panader0
(25,816 posts)The poll illustrates Hillary's lack of the perception of honesty.
Signed, a devout Bernie supporter.
I was referring to my post poll.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)I misread that, thinking you were attempting to refute my post.
My mistake, sorry.
panader0
(25,816 posts)Go Bernie!
Chan790
(20,176 posts)Not that I like the idea...it probably gets the election kicked to Congress...but in a race in which both candidates are viewed as dishonest and untrustworthy, there's probably an opening for someone to make a dent running against both of them and take at-least a few states.
brooklynite
(94,558 posts)Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)Chan790
(20,176 posts)I wouldn't be so happy about her strong support among Democrats in light of her current horse-race. She's losing or barely winning on account of the indies in open-primary states going equally-strongly against her.
It portends a GE loss.
oasis
(49,384 posts)for the next 20+years.
Chan790
(20,176 posts)Independents and unaffiliated voters put marginally more value on the SCOTUS argument than they do on voting based on which candidate's socks they like better.
What is a factor is "I don't trust Hillary and I hope she's not the nominee." voters.
If even half of them go for Trump as a result...we're going to lose the GE.
oasis
(49,384 posts)independents will reject everything GOP.
Chan790
(20,176 posts)oasis
(49,384 posts)the evidence is revealed.
Aerows
(39,961 posts)if people think Hillary Clinton would make a good President.
Aerows
(39,961 posts)HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Why would we nominate a RW Democratic POTUS candidate?
Aerows
(39,961 posts)the point of her candidacy in the Democratic party goes into the abyss.
oasis
(49,384 posts)Aerows
(39,961 posts)with a clearly right-leaning President for even 4 years.
oasis
(49,384 posts)I'm told it's good for the circulation.
timmymoff
(1,947 posts)winning with just democrats. I'm a lifelong dem but I won't support her. I wont canvass, I won't phone bank, I won't even talk her up, my conscience won't allow me too. If she is the nominee (oh lawdy) there is no way I will help other than cast a vote. I won't become part of a machine designed to harm me.
BainsBane
(53,032 posts)RCP Total - 4,940,095 3,290,824 Clinton +1,649,271
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_vote_count.html
Those votes, combined with the delegate count, are the only numbers that matter.
Zambero
(8,964 posts)Yet incumbents are almost always re-elected. A lot depends who they are running against. The same would apply in a presidential race, incumbent or otherwise. And all things being relative, no one comes remotely close to Trump's negatives.
senz
(11,945 posts)They just want to get her into the White House, any way they can, and who gives a whit what the American people think?
So when you post her and Bernie's favorable/unfavorable numbers, they counter with: we're gonna get her into the White House anyway.
Whether they get her in there or not, I hope the nature of her arch supporters will be analyzed someday in the history books. Should make for interesting reading.
Thanks for a good and well-designed OP, M_J.
MisterP
(23,730 posts)to the party since well before '07: "you support N? why?" "because they're N!" *claps*; "you say they'll support N even if their positions are contradictory day by day, their campaign promises either hollow or smears, and they adopt everything you say they hate: why?" "because they're N, and the other guy is absolutely definitely not N! N will win!"
they're worms who want to be dragons
Major Hogwash
(17,656 posts)Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)Aerows
(39,961 posts)is rather astonishing.
My goodness, how do you screw up that badly without doing it on purpose? Has she decided that she doesn't want to be President after all?
Aerows
(39,961 posts)The more I hear from Hillary Clinton, the less I think of her.
Hell, she scares me at times with her "get tough, start war" type talk.
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)Rump may be batshit crazy but the Anybody-But-Hillary crowd will come out of the woodwork...that matched with an apathetic and then nonenthusiastic Dem vote.