Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:16 PM Mar 2016

The past 25 years have seen the largest reduction in global inequality in human history

http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/abs/10.1596/1813-9450-6259

For that matter this has been the first period of declining global inequality since the Industrial Revolution began.

Over this same period, global hunger has fallen by two fifths:

http://www.ifpri.org/publication/2014-global-hunger-index

Do you expect global inequality to continue on this trend, or do you expect this situation will begin reversing itself? (The fact that I'm posting this in GD-P reveals my hypothesis that I imagine your answer to this question is strongly correlated with your candidate choice.)
11 votes, 2 passes | Time left: Unlimited
I expect global inequality will continue to decrease for the foreseeable future
3 (27%)
I expect global inequality will be largely unchanged for the foreseeable future
0 (0%)
I expect global inequality will begin to increase at some point soon
0 (0%)
I believe any metric that shows global inequality to have decreased is hopelessly broken
8 (73%)
Show usernames
Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
38 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
The past 25 years have seen the largest reduction in global inequality in human history (Original Post) Recursion Mar 2016 OP
The American Middle Class paid for it FreakinDJ Mar 2016 #1
Yes, the global rich saw some stagnation Recursion Mar 2016 #2
you can't reduce inequality hill2016 Mar 2016 #3
well, 3% or so Recursion Mar 2016 #5
Comparison of incomes across the global population is pretty meaningless. Ghost Dog Mar 2016 #26
Why do you think the OP chose this metric? JonLeibowitz Mar 2016 #27
IDK; why did Krugman? Recursion Mar 2016 #29
I mean, I'm fine with that blog post by Krugman, but my interpretation depends on your intention. JonLeibowitz Mar 2016 #31
That low point at the 80th percentile is still an 8% after-inflation gain Recursion Mar 2016 #33
I think you would get higher quality responses if you didn't frame it in the context of the JonLeibowitz Mar 2016 #34
Jose of Houston, Texas wrote on January 3, 2015 kristopher Mar 2016 #38
Half of the world has crossed the $2/day mark in the past generation Recursion Mar 2016 #28
Yes, and this is good, Ghost Dog Mar 2016 #30
The $2/day number is PPP Recursion Mar 2016 #32
So that's why the Clintons took Third Way international FreakinDJ Mar 2016 #13
Elderly ≥ 65 years old: 12-28 breaths per minute. cherokeeprogressive Mar 2016 #4
On that, can anybody who took the fourth option explain what they think a better metric would be? Recursion Mar 2016 #6
Since I was tempted to select the fourth option, see post #8. JonLeibowitz Mar 2016 #9
Isn't inequality reduction why Trump is doing so well? Dem2 Mar 2016 #7
I do think that's a large part of it Recursion Mar 2016 #10
Yes Dem2 Mar 2016 #14
Oh, definitely agreed Sanders's response is much better Recursion Mar 2016 #16
Yes, it is also the reason h is doing so well. nt artislife Mar 2016 #37
I select "Pass" -- I don't doubt that global inequality has decreased. However: JonLeibowitz Mar 2016 #8
sorry when you say you're not a citizen of the world hill2016 Mar 2016 #11
You know what I mean. JonLeibowitz Mar 2016 #15
You actually were using the word citizen correctly. Hill2016 was not. Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #19
Yep, thanks. And when has hill2016 ever said something rational? I have not seen it. JonLeibowitz Mar 2016 #22
Me either. Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #23
According to Merriam Webster, a "citizen" actually refers to a member of some sort of state Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #17
This is GD:Primaries for the United States Presidency. Not Mars, Venus, or Kazakhstan Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #18
Earth - Love It or Leave It !!1! Fozzledick Mar 2016 #20
That would be planet Qo'noS JonLeibowitz Mar 2016 #21
Damn Illegal Aliens!! Fozzledick Mar 2016 #24
The people of the United States don't have free health care or free college. Autumn Mar 2016 #25
Ok thanks, I will pass that on the next time I meet the President of the United States of the World Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #12
The interesting thing is, assuming these statistics to be true, is that in that same time, JDPriestly Mar 2016 #35
This article is an interesting counterpoint. white_wolf Mar 2016 #36

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
2. Yes, the global rich saw some stagnation
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:24 PM
Mar 2016

That's how we usually expect inequality to decrease, right?

 

hill2016

(1,772 posts)
3. you can't reduce inequality
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:30 PM
Mar 2016

without redistribution.

The American middle class are the top 1% of the world.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
5. well, 3% or so
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:33 PM
Mar 2016

The global 1% starts at $34K per capita which given family sizes is probably on the upper end of the US middle class.

 

Ghost Dog

(16,881 posts)
26. Comparison of incomes across the global population is pretty meaningless.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 12:58 AM
Mar 2016

If you look within each country I think you will find most everywhere disparities between rich (especially very rich) and poor have increased, even as standards of living for the poorer in some have improved.

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
27. Why do you think the OP chose this metric?
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 01:03 AM
Mar 2016

As far as disingenuous questions and polls go, this takes the cake.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
29. IDK; why did Krugman?
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 01:26 AM
Mar 2016


http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/01/01/recent-history-in-one-chart/

Probably because the gains the world's poor have made in the past generation are mind-boggling and seemingly completely ignored by most Americans.

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
31. I mean, I'm fine with that blog post by Krugman, but my interpretation depends on your intention.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 01:46 AM
Mar 2016

Is the message here that it is right to accept policies which are bad for American workers in general but which happen to benefit workers in other countries? Could you please be straightforward here?

By the way, even Krugman admits that "free trade" creates losers of workers in developed countries without wealth redistribution:

But it’s also true that much of the elite defense of globalization is basically dishonest: false claims of inevitability, scare tactics (protectionism causes depressions!), vastly exaggerated claims for the benefits of trade liberalization and the costs of protection, hand-waving away the large distributional effects that are what standard models actually predict. I hope, by the way, that I haven’t done any of that; I think I’ve always been clear that the gains from globalization aren’t all that (here’s a back-of-the-envelope on the gains from hyperglobalization — only part of which can be attributed to policy — that is less than 5 percent of world GDP over a generation); and I think I’ve never assumed away the income distribution effects.

Furthermore, as Mark Kleiman sagely observes, the conventional case for trade liberalization relies on the assertion that the government could redistribute income to ensure that everyone wins — but we now have an ideology utterly opposed to such redistribution in full control of one party, and with blocking power against anything but a minor move in that direction by the other.


Can I ask what your point is with this OP?

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
33. That low point at the 80th percentile is still an 8% after-inflation gain
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 01:50 AM
Mar 2016

It's hard to call that "bad", personally.

Can I ask what your point is with this OP?

To see what the global top 5% (roughly, this message board) thinks about global inequality.

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
34. I think you would get higher quality responses if you didn't frame it in the context of the
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 02:02 AM
Mar 2016

Democratic primary, which, as you know is heavily focused on class differences and inequality within the U.S. economic system.

It is not incompatible to be heartened by plunging global inequality and still outraged at the rising inequality within our country.

kristopher

(29,798 posts)
38. Jose of Houston, Texas wrote on January 3, 2015
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 02:47 AM
Mar 2016
Okay, a couple of things about this chart. First, it's showing real increases in income for people at different points in the world distribution of income. That "China's Middle Class" individual may have been a rural peasant earning $2,000/year in 1988 who is now earning a little under $4,000 a year working sixty hours a week in some factory. This is not a huge improvement.

What's more, what's happened in China in the last 30 years isn't going to continue. Going from rural peasant to factory worker with a cocomitant increase in income (and a perhaps ten-fold increase in productivity) is a one-time occurence.

On the other hand, a fifty percent real increase for somebody in the world's top .1% is a big deal as you're going from maybe $1 million a year to $1.5 million a year.

The world's poor, who in the last 30 years have gone from serf-like conditions to the conditions of the working poor in 19th Century Western European factories will find their incomes stagnating at these very low levels while the incomes of the very rich continue to balloon.

Comments http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/01/01/recent-history-in-one-chart/

I'd also be grateful if you'd respond to Cathy in California whose question and research remains relevant to interpretation.
I just spent some time figuring out this graph, like many others,... To add to the far right note on my graph: 44% of the increase of global income between 1988 and 2008 went to the top 5% of world population.


She would like to know, "Is that useful?" I think it is. What do you say, is that an important point when discussing how selfish is the middle class in the US?

Not that I would endorse such hyperbole, but some might even say that distribution indicates that the US middle class has been denied passage on the global fleet of tide-raised boats - strictly, and I repeated strictly in order that an extremely small group of amoral global vampires may benefit in a manner completely disproportionate to their human worth to society.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
28. Half of the world has crossed the $2/day mark in the past generation
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 01:25 AM
Mar 2016

saying standards of living for the world's poor have improved is an understatement.

 

Ghost Dog

(16,881 posts)
30. Yes, and this is good,
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 01:38 AM
Mar 2016

although purchasing power parity formulae need to be applied as well as other social and environmental factors. The reduction in overall hunger is also good but will be difficult to further improve or even maintain in the context of rapid climate change and the lack of remedial action.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
32. The $2/day number is PPP
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 01:48 AM
Mar 2016

Nominally it started at $1 a day back when the UN came up with the millenium goals.

The reduction in overall hunger is also good but will be difficult to further improve or even maintain in the context of rapid climate change

That's my big nightmare, globally. About 3 billion people ultimately depend on the Indian Ocean monsoon system for the daily caloric intake, and that's terrifyingly sensitive to climate change. Disrupt it now, and the 1876 famine that killed 6 million will look like a walk in the park.

 

cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
4. Elderly ≥ 65 years old: 12-28 breaths per minute.
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:31 PM
Mar 2016

20 x 60 = 1200 breaths per hour. $250,000 / 1200 breaths per hour = $208.33 per breath.

Hillary Clinton gets paid $208.33 per breath in front of Goldman Sachs employees who make TENS OF MILLIONS of dollars every year for carrying hundred pound sacks of cement up stairs 8 hours per day (LOL!). She has NO INTEREST in fixing global income inequality.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
6. On that, can anybody who took the fourth option explain what they think a better metric would be?
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:42 PM
Mar 2016

I'm kind of curious what they think they know that the world bank doesn't here...

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
9. Since I was tempted to select the fourth option, see post #8.
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:46 PM
Mar 2016

You may not find my answer responsive to the poll, but I'm afraid in the context of GDP the poll is misleading.

Dem2

(8,168 posts)
7. Isn't inequality reduction why Trump is doing so well?
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:45 PM
Mar 2016

White suburban people in the US seeing their wages "converge" with those of 3rd world countries? (obviously not saying that I agree.)

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
10. I do think that's a large part of it
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:48 PM
Mar 2016

Trump's (and from the other side, Sanders's) campaigns are tapping in to Americans' realization that we are "the rich" who are paying for a global inequality decrease.

Dem2

(8,168 posts)
14. Yes
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:53 PM
Mar 2016

I meant to include Sanders, but the difference is Sanders wants to pull us up from within, while Trump thinks he can "punish" the rest of the world and "isolate" the US from those bad people who are siphoning off our wealth. Obviously lifting ourselves up is the only way it can be done, Trumps ideas have always failed and can destroy a nation in the worst case.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
16. Oh, definitely agreed Sanders's response is much better
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:56 PM
Mar 2016
ie "let's see the same kind of redistribution nationally we have globally". But the source is the same.

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
8. I select "Pass" -- I don't doubt that global inequality has decreased. However:
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:45 PM
Mar 2016

I am not a citizen of the world, I am a citizen of the U.S.

Therefore my candidate choice reflects my view of the best interests of the American people.

And U.S. inequality has not decreased.

 

hill2016

(1,772 posts)
11. sorry when you say you're not a citizen of the world
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:51 PM
Mar 2016

are you from Mars or Venus?

Why don't you care about the people of the world who don't have free health care or free college?

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
15. You know what I mean.
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:53 PM
Mar 2016

The concept of a nation state means that a country's benevolence towards a competitive marketplace is not rewarded.

Bread and Circus

(9,454 posts)
17. According to Merriam Webster, a "citizen" actually refers to a member of some sort of state
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 11:56 PM
Mar 2016
http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/citizen

Full Definition of citizen

1 an inhabitant of a city or town; especially : one entitled to the rights and privileges of a freeman

2 a member of a state b : a native or naturalized person who owes allegiance to a government and is entitled to protection from it

3 a civilian as distinguished from a specialized servant of the state

===

citi - zen

citi <<< I think that's a key part of the word

zen <<< that's another key part of the word

===

We inhabit the world... but we aren't citizens of it

Bread and Circus

(9,454 posts)
18. This is GD:Primaries for the United States Presidency. Not Mars, Venus, or Kazakhstan
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 12:01 AM
Mar 2016

And seeing as how many awesome countries do have universal health care and free college, why don't you care that we here in the USA don't?

Autumn

(45,072 posts)
25. The people of the United States don't have free health care or free college.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 12:31 AM
Mar 2016

I'm shocked you are so concerned about the people of the world not having free stuff considering your earlier rants about Bernie wanting to give away "free stuff" . Your concern and caring for the people of the world is touching.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511061225

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=954299

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
35. The interesting thing is, assuming these statistics to be true, is that in that same time,
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 02:14 AM
Mar 2016

as Bernie warns us, inequality in the US has increased greatly.

Do you think there is some link?

I'm very happy if inequality globally is declining. Very happy. That is wonderful!

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»The past 25 years have se...