Remaining March Primaries and Caucuses Looking Better for Sanders

[CajunBlazer]

The 6 remaining state primaries and caucuses scheduled for the remainder March are actually more favorable for Sanders than past groups nomination contests. Of those 6 states, there are polls available for 4 of them. I couldn't find any polls for Washington and Hawaii.

3/22/16:

In Idaho, Sanders has a 2% lead.

In Utah Clinton has a 8.5% lead.

In Arizona Clinton has a 30% lead.

3/26/16:

In Alaska Clinton has a 3% lead.

Washington - no poll

Hawaii - no poll

So if the polls are reasonably accurate Sanders has an opportunity to win two states and maybe an out side chance of coming close or even winning a third. However, there is no indication that he will win any of those states with the margins necessary to start to close Clinton's large lead in pledged delegates. In fact with Arizona (which has more delegates available than Idaho, Utah and Alaska combined) in the mix there is every indication that Sanders will fall even further behind.

Of course the unknowns are Hawaii and Washington. Hopefully we will get some good polling data in the next few days.

[RandySF]

1. I bet Hawaii is close.

[brooklynite]

2. None of those leads are good enough...

On average, he needs 58-61% of the remaining delegates (depending on who's analysis of how many delegates are allocated you use); IOW he needs a lead of 16-22%; each time he misses that target, the average goes up for the remaining States. Unless he can point to a SERIES of States where his win will be considerably ABOVE that target, I don't see how he catches up.

[beachbum bob]

3. he might cut 10-15 delegates into hillaries massive 320+ delegate lead of pledged delegates.....lol

but wheres the beef in actually gaining ANY significant delegate count? Its the math...and still doesn't work for sanders

[CajunBlazer]

4. I doubt it - there is a chance Bernie will be even further behind by the end of March