2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie Sanders's campaign is still raising far more money than Hillary Clinton's
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http://www.vox.com/2016/3/23/11286028/sanders-fundraising-beating-clinton
Updated by Jeff Stein on March 23, 2016, 9:00 a.m. ET
Bernie Sanders's well-oiled fundraising machine is showing no signs of slowing down.
For the second straight month, Sanders relied on small donors to outraise Hillary Clinton, raking in $14 million more in February, according to numbers released on Sunday by the Federal Election Commission.
Sanders has now received $77 million from those giving less than $200, while Clinton has received $32 million from the same category, data from the Campaign Finance Institute shows.
Sanders's strength with these kinds of donors has been clear for months. But most campaign finance experts say they have been awed by the durability of his fundraising prowess: Sanders has now received more in small contributions than even Barack Obama had at this point in 2008, according to Michael J. Malbin, executive director of the Campaign Finance Institute.
FULL story at link.
amborin
(16,631 posts)brooklynite
(94,544 posts)Clinton has $30 M Cash on Hand (not SuperPac); Sanders has $17.
Omaha Steve
(99,628 posts)GreatGazoo
(3,937 posts)must be some rougher states ahead for her
brooklynite
(94,544 posts)...remember when Sanders pulled out of South Carolina?
GreatGazoo
(3,937 posts)if she didn't fight for Idaho and Utah, what state(s) is she expecting to have to fight for?
brooklynite
(94,544 posts)Peace Patriot
(24,010 posts)...with his huge wins in Idaho (by 79%) and Utah (by 80%), by ending up with a net of 20 delegates, over Clinton, in the three March 22 states (including AZ). He thus gained in delegates, instead of falling behind. It was critically important for him to do this--win 2 of 3 states (and 3 of 4, counting Democrats Abroad), while gaining in delegates.
Net 20 is not a large number, but, strategically, it was vital. SC was a foregone conclusion for Clinton. It was wise of Sanders to pull out and spend resources elsewhere. But this (March 22) was NOT a foregone conclusion for either candidate. Sanders was predicted to win Idaho and Utah but not by that much. It was a big mistake by Clinton not to spend more resources in those states, because they gave Sanders a strategic advantage going forward--wins, delegates, morale and momentum--and, together with the massive vote suppression in AZ, these overshadow Clinton's apparent big win in AZ.
Delegates in small numbers sometimes count very much. Depends on circumstances.
MADem
(135,425 posts)240 staffers, 14 offices, a fortune in ad buys, all those hotel rooms and travel expenditures and per diem for C. West, H. Belafonte, Killer Mike...and he probably would have done as well with two staffers training volunteers and doing phone outreach 12 hours a day.
BainsBane
(53,032 posts)cited by the FEC.
Peace Patriot
(24,010 posts)Thank you for wasting it on this one!
BainsBane
(53,032 posts)The story has only been reported once place that I could find, but the letter from his Treasurer is one the FEC website.
https://gobling.wordpress.com/2016/03/22/bernie-2016-returns-donations-to-remedy-campaign-finance-issues/
http://docquery.fec.gov/dcdev/fectxt/1056008.txt
I expect that contributes to his fundraising plans and may explain why Clinton supporters are suddenly being bombarded with fundraising requests from him.
You wouldn't want campaign finance violations to be buried now, would you?
Logical
(22,457 posts)Skwmom
(12,685 posts)Renew Deal
(81,858 posts)CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)He's hired very wise and astute people who are running a great campaign.
Go Bernie! And Tad!
BainsBane
(53,032 posts)and overturn the will of the people? http://www.ibtimes.com/bernie-sanders-fantasy-campaign-hopes-win-hillary-clintons-pledged-delegates-unlikely-2338452
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)I am a delegate for Sanders. I was a delegate at our Polk County Convention, which was held on 3/12.
At the Polk County Convention, 76 of Hillary's delegates--who were elected the night of the Iowa caucus--didn't bother to show up for her at the Polk County Convention.
This is the reality of pledged delegates, BainsBane.
Delegates lose interest. They defect to the other side. They decide to sleep in. That's the reality that Devine was speaking about.
Hillary's win in the Iowa caucuses was by a very slim .2 margin. After the County Convention, that lead is now .18.
Also, I read the article. Devine NEVER states (as you said) that he is going to flip delegates. In fact, he says the opposite, "We dont have a plan at the moment to be calling all the Clinton delegates, you know, once they get selected and try to persuade them individually to be for Bernie Sanders.
Devine discusses the facts and the reality of pledged delegates--which I just outlined for you as well--based on my personal experiences.
This happened with Hillary pledged delegates in 2008. Many switched to Obama at these caucus conventions. Obama ended up winning the Iowa caucuses by a few delegates more at the National Convention--than he had earned the night of the Iowa caucuses. Hillary delegates defected to Obama. This is what happens, when a candidate like Obama surges in popularity and delegates change their mind.
This is what Devine was referencing. And he was right. HE has no "strategy" (as you said) to lobby these delegates.
Make sense?
revbones
(3,660 posts)you forget that instead of Tad who you guys think is crooked, you have a plethora of actual crooks and liars starting with David Brock, John Podesta, Peter Daou, all her Wall StGoldman staff members, etc...
It's pretty comical actually.
hellofromreddit
(1,182 posts)redstateblues
(10,565 posts)CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)No Bernie Sanders supporter has a problem with this.
Clinton minions are trying to make this an issue because Bernie has out raised Clinton two months in a row.
You guys have to figure out a way to stir the pot and depress the avalanche of money that is coming in to Bernie.
This turkey won't fly, sweetheart.
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)Thank you Coffee Cat!
MADem
(135,425 posts)and rude. You shouldn't do it.
Here, let's introduce a few facts to this conversation--the March report of disbursements (covering Feb, presumably). He's still in the black but he is "berning" through money at a rapid clip--and as people start to see the challenge he faces in continuing on, the receipts will likely dwindle and impact his financial posture. These are the line items I find interesting:
http://docquery.fec.gov/pres/2016/M3/C00577130/B_PURPOSE_C00577130.html
MEDIA CONSULTING & AD BUYS 34,176.79
MEDIA PRODUCTION 810,211.44
...
PAYROLL 2,172,460.38
PAYROLL FEES 2,622.50
PAYROLL TAXES 764,934.40
...
POLITICAL STRATEGY CONSULTING 581,472.85
POLLING & STRATEGIC CONSULTING 592,530.00
...
The latter figures are separate from something that is billed as polling/research (likely oppo work).
http://docquery.fec.gov/pres/2016/M3/C00577130.html#DETAILED
22. Total Receipts 43,498,784.40
23. Operating Expenditures 40,324,601.03
8. Refunds of Contributions To:
(a) Individuals/Persons Other Than Political Committees 624,498.46 1,505,705.51
riderinthestorm
(23,272 posts)He's asked and we've responded.
People are aware its going to take many many billions of dollars to ensure Bernie and his message reach as many as possible.
His supporters dont begrudge the campaign for this cost. The only ones who seem to have their nose out of joint are Hillary supporters.
MADem
(135,425 posts)People look at disbursements for many reasons. They can learn a lot about the health of a campaign by seeing where the money goes--it's a forensic exercise because you're always looking a month back, but you can learn about where the money is going (massive staff hirings to no good end in SC, for example, and all those ad buys in other states) and where priorities seem to lie.
It's not having one's "nose out of joint" to do this--you can be damned sure that Tad Devine and the rest of the Sanders crew--if they are SMART -- do it, too.
By getting annoyed at what is an entirely NATURAL interest--given the nature of politics--it would seem that the noses out of joint are closer to your end of the woods.
riderinthestorm
(23,272 posts)coupled with the accusation that Bernie is fleecing his supporters or that his staff is overpaid.
Bernies campaign isn't following the usual $$ route so "forensic" analysis is going to be flawed. He can easily go back to his supporters and get another $100 million.
Knowing that means he can run his campaign very differently. Getting the message out becomes as essential as winning a state primary. Those of us in it for the long haul understand that.
MADem
(135,425 posts)One of the most important and interesting aspects of politics is the sausage-making bits. That's all this is, is discussion.
When you ascribe terms like "complaining" and "annoyed" and "accusation" to the conversation, you're not advancing the discussion--you're trying to shut it down and characterizing those who do want to discuss these topics as "Mean to Bernie" or something.
If you don't want to talk about campaign disbursement, don't--but there's no need to try and cut off others who do want to.
It's perfectly legitimate to talk about these things. We're not only talking about where the cash is coming from, either (that's an interesting conversation, too, certainly) --we're talking about the DISBURSEMENT of the money as well, and his expenditures seem pretty typical thus far; though he is spending a shitload on staff and ads (and much of it in states that are giving him little to no return on investment). When we talk about staff, we aren't just talking about Devine and Weaver either(though the former does look like he's helping himself and his firm to a massive chunk of the pie), we are also talking about the veteran campaign organizers he hires on an ad hoc basis, and the wet-behind-the-ears piecework-paid junior staffers and interns that populate assorted primary efforts. You can see these people, BY NAME, in his FEC filings--see?
http://docquery.fec.gov/pres/2016/M3/C00577130/B_PAYEE_C00577130.html
It's an interesting exercise to see who he's hiring, and when/where. Like I said, it's a forensic one, because it's a backwards look, but to anyone who enjoys the whole process of the election cycle, it fascinates. There are new things to be learned with every turn of the page.
riderinthestorm
(23,272 posts)Talk away.
And Bernie donors will continue to counter any false characterizations about his campaign.
Cheers!
MADem
(135,425 posts)ebayfool
(3,411 posts)Compare apples to apples here:
Report type: March Monthly
http://docquery.fec.gov/pres/2016/M3/C00575795/B_PAYEE_C00575795.html
Clinton
GMMB consulting and advertising
paid March 16,604,798.72
Clinton
Bully Pulpit Interactive LLC marketing and advertising agency
paid March 1,040,000.00
http://docquery.fec.gov/pres/2016/M3/C00575795.html#DETAILED
2. Total Receipts 29,458,376.47
23. Operating Expenditures 31,346,367.35
expenditures more than receipts?
28. Refunds of Contributions To:
(a) Individuals/Persons Other Than Political Committees 214,199.11 1,813,863.09
MADem
(135,425 posts)He spent forty -- $40,949,099.49, to be precise, she spent thirty one (to include that refund you mentioned). And she got way more bang for her February buck than he did, by any measure.
It will be interesting to see what those successes did for her March receipts, if anything.
MADem
(135,425 posts)clip. The salary expenditures as well as the ad creations and ad buys--that is a massive chunk of the budget.
Great read, this list:
http://docquery.fec.gov/pres/2016/M3/C00577130/B_PURPOSE_C00577130.html
ebayfool
(3,411 posts)faster clip. Check the salary expenditures as well as the ad creations and ad buys. What is Sanders thinking?!
http://docquery.fec.gov/pres/2016/M3/C00575795/B_PURPOSE_C00575795.html
Good grief.
Ino
(3,366 posts)is because they think Hillary will inherit his donors. Fat chance!
MADem
(135,425 posts)they'll pitch in downticket.
When we shift to general election mode, too, we turn the page on fundraising and start all over again.
Also, the gloves are off at that point--when you're fighting big PAC money, you fight fire with fire.
uponit7771
(90,336 posts)BainsBane
(53,032 posts)but ActBlue is not the only or even primary way the campaigns raise money.
Peace Patriot
(24,010 posts)BainsBane
(53,032 posts)He wouldn't be sending Clinton supporters emails asking for contributions, would he?
I know math is a corporatist conspiracy and all, but if you look at the vote totals for Bernie at Act Blue vs. the numbers filed with the FEC, you'll see an enormous difference.
Tarc
(10,476 posts)esp in stages that he goes on to lose, e.g. Arizona, North Carolina, Nevada, and others.
Around this time is when campaigns usually see a bit of a lineup shakeup.
SoLeftIAmRight
(4,883 posts)why does she need to spend any $$$
Tarc
(10,476 posts)Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin
(107,972 posts)Or is it his donors not getting theirs?
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)SoapBox
(18,791 posts)We all loves ya man, for all you've done for Bernie!
Greetings to the Mrs. too!
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)then there are the issues. . . .. .