If we have a female nominee we are going to slaughter Trump.

[DCBob]

From Huffington Post..

TRUMP HAS A SERIOUS PROBLEM WITH WOMEN - Carrie Dann: “This month, about half (47 percent) of Republican female primary voters said they could not imagine themselves voting for Trump. (About 40 percent of male GOP primary voters said the same.) Compare that to their relative willingness to accept Trump’s rivals. Only about three in ten female Republican voters say they can’t imagine backing Ted Cruz (32 percent) and John Kasich (27 percent)....When it comes to the general electorate, Trump has an even more pronounced problem with female voters.Trump’s favorability with women overall is a dismal 21 percent positive/ 70 (!) percent negative. With men, it’s 28 percent positive/ 59 percent negative. And while women traditionally vote for Democratic candidates in larger numbers than men, data shows that a Trump nomination would exacerbate the issue for Republicans.” [NBC]

Alienating female voters could cost Trump the general election - Jose DelReal and Jenna Johnson: “GOP strategists fear that Trump clinching the nomination could present an opportunity for Democrats, who are poised to choose the first female presidential nominee and who in past elections have accused Republicans of waging a ‘war on women’ over access to affordable women’s health care, abortion rights and pay equity….’Hillary Clinton is very, very vulnerable among this group of women that she needs to have as her base: independent women, and soft Republican women. She’s very vulnerable with them today,’ [GOP strategist Katie] Packer said. ‘Should we nominate Donald Trump, they will flock to her because they see him as someone who’s repulsive. And it’s not just about so-called ‘women’s issues,’ it’s about how he values women and about how he’s willing to make women feel to benefit himself.’” [WashPost]

Nate Silver @FiveThirtyEight projection on what the Electoral College would look like if women refuse to vote Trump.
12:55 AM - 24 Mar 2016



http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/republican-women-dont-like-trump_us_56f53da2e4b0a3721819aea0?utm_hp_ref=politics

[Live Bait]

1. Who's the female nominee that would defeat Trump?

Jill Stein?

[DCBob]

2. Is she running??

[Live Bait]

12. Probably, on the Green Party ticket.

I still can't see how Clinton can defeat Trump.

Can you show me a path?

[Koinos]

14. No.

[Logical]

3. FFS, so now the argument is we need hillary because she is a woman? Lol!

[DCBob]

4. It does appear to be a benefit.. no?

[Logical]

10. It just is opposite of the "we dont want her because she is a woman" whining

[DCBob]

21. A "logical" person would know which is correct.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

5. don't count chickens

[DCBob]

6. If it's Trump.. I am counting chickens, pigs, cows and sparrows!

He is a complete disaster as a national candidate.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

7. I agree, we will all be dust if Trump is the President

nuclear winters etc. but Bernie has the best chance at beating him.

[riversedge]

16. and ponies. and unicorns

[Armstead]

8. Spongebob Squarepants could beat Trump if Trump keeps up this shit

[DCBob]

11. LOL..

True.

[marions ghost]

9. Women who don't vote Hillary will burn in hell

--I'm sure all those Republican women got the memo and will fall into line.

Where I am, in a state that has a good chance of going R, I see all kinds of women milling around tRump headquarters. Stand by your strong man. Make America Great again.

This map is cute but meaningless. It is not a poll just wishful Hillary thinking. tRumps' rallies seem to be full of women.

[vintx]

13. Yep, that little threat did wonders for her.

She doesn't even do well among Democratic women, how's she supposed to magically appeal to Republican women? Maybe that's whose votes she's chasing with her pandering about late term abortion.

[Sky Masterson]

15. We sure would!

[vintx]

17. Oh hell yes. Another dream candidate.

[JustABozoOnThisBus]

18. First, they have to name Trump.

There are many shenanigans to be played on the Repub side, as there are in the Dem tent.

[DCBob]

22. Agreed.

It does sound like there will be some drama at the GOP convention.

[SheenaR]

19. Moot point if he doesn't get the nom at the convention

And then we are screwed. Love how both races are over on DU

[LWolf]

20. Clinton doesn't slaughter Trump,

and she's the only female running for the Democrats.

She beats him. Maybe. By a small margin. She doesn't slaughter him.

It's Sanders that slaughters him.

[DCBob]

23. Latest CNN/ORC poll (March 17-20) has Hillary over Trump 56-42.

That's would be a massive epic historical landslide victory.. ie.. a slaughter.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/24/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-cnn-poll-2016-election/

[LWolf]

24. And other polls have her losing, or a draw, or slightly ahead.

Average them together and it's not a slaughter.

Why is it so important to you to try to make this impression? Are you worried because Sanders beats Trump in higher numbers?

If so, you should start supporting Sanders, or just suck it up when Clinton doesn't beat Trump in November. I don't think she will, if it comes to that.

[DCBob]

26. You are mistaken. The RCP average is Hillary 50-39 over Trump.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

That's a slaughter.

[LWolf]

29. Up 11.2; better than it has been.

Of course, that same RPC average has Sanders up by +17.5.

Which makes my point; he's the one "slaughtering" Trump.

[DCBob]

31. They would likely both slaughter Trump when considering electoral college votes.

However Bernie is the riskier candidate given that he has not yet been battle tested in a national election.

[LondonReign2]

25. Trump is so awful, any D nominee will beat him

Cast swaths of the Republican base hate him.

Vote for Hillary because she is a woman is idiotic. Bernie matches up even better against Trump than Clinton, probably because vast swaths of Americans also can't stand Hillary and will come out just to vote against her.

[DCBob]

27. I didnt say vote for Hillary because she is woman.

But it does appear to be a huge benefit if they nominate that sexist ignorant fool Trump.

[LondonReign2]

28. Seeing as Bernie beats Trump by a greater margin

this "huge benefit" of hers must be more than offset by something else, eh?

[DCBob]

32. They would likely both easily beat Trump when considering electoral college votes.

I think Bernie is the riskier candidate given that he has not been the target of the GOP attack machine and the fact he doesn't inspire POC voters who are a critical voting block.

[marmar]

30. I think she'll beat him, but the electoral map won't look anything like that.

[DCBob]

33. Yeah, thats a bit extreme.. I think Nate was being facetious.