Bernie's within 239 delegates of Hillary and only needs 56.7% of remaining

[morningfog]

With HI's 25 and 12 in WA pending, Bernie has better 55 pledged delegates so far on another big night.

It puts hit at 1,014 (to Hillary's 1,253).

With 1784 pledged delegates yet to be allocated, Bernie needs 1,012, or 56.7% to reach a majority of pledged delegates. That number is down from a high of 59 or 60 %.

With 100 delegates up from grabs in the Bernie-favored states of WY and WI in two weeks, the stage will be set for New York on April 19.

If he takes 60% of last 37 from tonight (going conservative) and 60% of WY and WI 100 (conservative), he could be within about 200 of Hillary going into NY, with 247 available.

Go Bernie! Keep chipping!

[HerbChestnut]

1. He exceeded expectations today

And made his job easier down the road. I'm honesty surprised by his margins of victory, and I think it harbingers good omens for the rest of his campaign.

[panader0]

2. 56.7%--doesn't seem so tough when you win by 80-20 0r 75-25

or in Hawaii where I foresee 65-35
California will want to beat those states.

[Warren DeMontague]

3. 56.7%---- IMPOSSIBLE! MATHEMATICALLY NOT DOABLE! CANT HAPPEN! FORKS! FORKS!

Aeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

[HerbChestnut]

5. Bonus points for having Ren & Stimpy in your sig. n/t

[Jenny_92808]

6. Oh thank you for identifying yourself as

a lying !@#$%^&*)

To the ignore box for you.

[JonLeibowitz]

8. Psst. Warren is a gifted satirist as well as a Bernie supporter.

[Warren DeMontague]

10. Naw, I'm on your team.

That was sarcasm.

[Agschmid]

16. Some people just can't see it.

[Ed Suspicious]

4. Better than on track!

Beating his expectations at this point!

[calguy]

7. ZZZZ......

Wake me up if he cuts the lead under 100. I don't think I'm gonna wake up soon.

[morningfog]

9. Anyone who can count knows it won't be soon.

It will probably be in May.

[ljm2002]

14. Yeah, I don't think you're gonna wake up soon either. n/t

[Marr]

15. LOL, +1

[paulthompson]

11. I'm optimistic

Sanders did really poorly in the South. But the South has finished all its primary voting (except for border state Kentucky). That means that in the non-South, he's gotten 54% of the vote in all states so far. And that's prior to tonight, so that number may be 57% or so.

Thus, for him to get the needed 57% the rest of the way, he only has to do about as well as he's already done outside of the South. He's still a longshot, especially with the super delegate factor, but he might pull it off.

Here's something I wrote in another thread yesterday:

"Many people don't like Hillary Clinton very much, but feel obliged to vote for her due to greater name recognition or a feeling Democrats should rally around the likely winner. According to a Quinnipac national poll from just yesterday, Clinton has a 39% like vs. 56 dislike rating, a difference of minus 17 points. Whereas a lot of people don't know Sanders well, but when they learn more about him they like him and want to vote for him. Sander has a 50 like vs. 37 dislike rating in that same poll, which is a difference of plus 13 points."

What that means is that the more people hear from and about Sanders, the more they vote for him. Up until now, Sanders has been running around frantically, trying to get his message out while too many states had primaries in a short period of time. He just didn't have the time or money to properly reach every state, so Clinton with her huge name recognition and endorsements and so forth had a big edge.

But now things slow down, relatively speaking. He'll have more time and money per state to get his message out. He's down big in some big states now, but he always starts way down and then has a late surge.

[MadBadger]

13. Sanders does poorly in closed primaries

After Wisconsin and Wyoming you have New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, and Pennsylvania. Hillary will win all 5 states and likely with solid to big margins of victory

[ReallyIAmAnOptimist]

12. WA has 101 delegates; Sanders is set to take 73...

...vs Clinton's 28.

WA: Bernie 0.727 (73 delegates) Clinton 0.271 (27 delegates)
AK: Bernie 0.816 (13 delegates) Clinton 0.184 (3 delegates)

HI with 57% reporting:
Bernie 69% (17 delegates), Clinton 30% (8 delegates)

Western Saturday projection:
Bernie: 103 delegates
Clinton: 38 delegates

NET GAIN of 65 Delegates for Sanders!