Bernie's Problem with Flipping Superdelegates..

[speaktruthtopower]

is that most of them are elected or party officials who rely on donor connections tight with the Clintons.

[brooklynite]

1. ...and that, because they're elected or Party officials, they want to win in Nov.

[Stallion]

7. ...and Don't want to run with a Democratic Socialist at the Top of the Ticket

inviting million of dollars of advertising to be used against them using the S word and probably the C word against them

[firebrand80]

2. I don't think he really even believes that

He just needs a rationale to keep going as the math becomes more and more problematic

[Kittycat]

3. Who need voters. Us!

Money from special interests doesn't matter when you have a pattern of voting against the people that chose the candidate opposite of that. And a challenger representative of the people's interests will put boots on the ground and money in that campaign, causing a serious problem for any elected official seeking re-election.

[yardwork]

4. No, his problem is that they won't flip unless he's ahead.

The Super Delegates are a simple issue. They will vote for the candidate with the most earned delegates. If Sanders comes into the convention with a sizable lead in earned delegates, then the Supers and the Party will support him.

If Hillary wins the majority of earned delegates, then the Party will elect her. The candidate who won the most earned delegates, state by state, should be the nominee.

[speaktruthtopower]

6. If that was the case..

they would have waited for at least a few primaries before committing to her.

The truth is she was seen as inevitable, and they saw it as smart politics to be early in line to curry favor with her team.

[yardwork]

11. My post didn't speculate on what the Super Delegates thought in the past. I'm predicting the future.

Your speculation on why the SDs did what they did in the past sounds reasonable and may be correct. It wasn't what I said, though. I'm talking about what the SDs will do in the future. I believe that they will eventually cast their votes for the candidate who comes into the convention with the most earned delegates.

In other words, I doubt very much that any of the Super Delegates want to be perceived as backing a candidate other than the one who receives the most popular votes, state by state. So we can take them out of the equation. Bernie is not going to succeed in "flipping" them unless he wins the majority of earned delegates, and at the same time, as Bernie supporters here often point out, the Super Delegates are largely irrelevant in the delegate count to date. I discount them from the totals of each candidate.

[baldguy]

5. They're political realists who understand the value of party loyalty.

[NWCorona]

8. IMHO after NY we will get a clearer picture of what's gonna happen

As of right now you are right.

[Capt. Obvious]

9. I thought it was because of Berniebros threatening them with violence

[randome]

10. Or they prefer an actual member of the Democratic Party to a late-joiner.

[hr][font color="blue"][center]“If you're not committed to anything, you're just taking up space.”
Gregory Peck, Mirage (1965)[/center][/font][hr]