Poll shows McCain in 5-point lead over Obama (Aug 2008)

[KurtNYC]

http://www.reuters.com/article/2008/08/20/uk-usa-poll-politics-idUKN1948672420080820

FOX News Poll: McCain Leads Obama 45% to 42%

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,420361,00.html#ixzz2A2EeFxeO

Gallup Daily: McCain Maintains 5-Point Lead

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110143/gallup-daily-mccain-maintains-5point-lead.aspx

And what actually happened ?

Obama 365
McCain 173

[boingboinh]

1. But sadly those #s are for August, not Late October of 2008

[bemildred]

2. And yet it is still perfectly clear that they are not worth a bucket of warm spit

as prognosticators of future results.

[krawhitham]

9. Or people changed their minds, Poll are if the election was held today. They do not tell the future

[bemildred]

10. Yep. Shit happens. And especially during elections. nt

[progressivebydesign]

13. Sorry but the polls at the end NEVER showed the President with a solid lead in 2008.

It was bad polling then, and it's bad polling now.

[erik satie]

3. I still firmly think

that Obama can win this election with 347 EVs.

[KurtNYC]

5. I don't believe that Romney suddenly stopped being an outsourcing arrogant asshole

and picked up the support of women and other Americans whom he has spend the last 6 months insulting.

I love your compositions btw...

[erik satie]

6. Glad we agree on that ...

oh and I like my compositions as well

courtesy of Croatian animators

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

4. Lehman Brothers happened

And "The fundamentals of the economy are good".

That was the end of McCain, who still would be worlds better as President than Shitt Rmoney.

[VirginiaTarheel]

7. Obama wins Ohio

Obama had a 10 point lead in the Ohio Quinn poll over three weeks ago. A huge first debate occurred and Obama is up by five now. So, it took over three weeks an awful Obama first debate performance for Obama to drop by five points in Ohio. There are two weeks left and many have already voted. Barring an awful Obama debate performance tonight and an unforeseen October/November surprise, Obama will win Ohio.

[bushisanidiot]

8. Agreed. 5 points is beyond the margin of error.

Romney can't win without OH, IA, WI and NV. It's not just one state he needs, it's many and he
is losing in all of them, especially OH.

[Firebirds01]

11. The world economy

collapsed about 30 minutes later. People saw what republican policies did. Then they saw that that the Timberwolf Queen was only an 80 year old heartbeat away from the presidency. Honestly, we could have run an actual donkey and still won the whiteouse.

I am hoping people havent forgotten what got us into this mess. But there is that saying about betting against the stupidity of Americans.

[muriel_volestrangler]

12. So, if there's a global economic crisis, or a new pathetic VP candidate gets chosen in just 2 weeks

things might change!

Thank you for this insightful thread. Are we to take it that you think one or both of the events in my post title are likely? Do you really expect events in the next 2 weeks to match the events in 2 months of 2008?

[progressivebydesign]

14. what's your point? The President is NOT down in the polls now. nt

[muriel_volestrangler]

15. Yes, that's part of my point

The situation now is very different from August 2008. So I really can't see what the point of this thread is. Why are the figure from then any more relevant than Sept 92, Sept 96, or Sept 2000?

[KurtNYC]

16. You're welcome!

Using the royal "we" ?

[muriel_volestrangler]

17. The royal 'we'? No, I assumed you were talking to others as well, not just me

Because your audience consists of me, and other people, 'we' is the correct pronoun to use, when I ask what you intend us to assume. Even now, when you have a post of mine to reply to, I'd think you are replying to 'us', if you can given us the reason you started the thread. I still can't work it out (you see, in that case, I can't speak for others).