Delegate "do or die" totals for Sanders by end of April

[geek tragedy]

By how many delegates can Sanders afford to be behind at the end of April and still have a non-absurd possibility of winning.

Not the number he needs to have a good, or a decent chance, but an actual chance.

In other words, how far can he fall behind and still claim to have a chance with a straight face? How big can Clinton's lead get before she can fairly declare that she will be the nominee?

Current delegate standings: Clinton has a lead of around 208 delegates, final divvying of Wisconsin still up in the air for a few delegates.

Total delegates remaining in April: 619

WY: 14
NY: 245
PA: 189
MD: 95
DE: 21
CT: 55


Total delegates after April: 1016

IN: 83
Guam: 7
WV: 29
KY: 55
OR: 61
VI: 7
PR: 60
CA: 475
MT: 21
NJ: 126
NM: 34
ND: 18
SD: 20
DC: 20

Keeping in mind that Clinton will earn delegates in every state (except maybe Wyoming) since we do not have winner-take-all primaries

0 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
	142 delegates or fewer (current pace of 57% of delegates after April)
	0 (0%)
	203 delegates or fewer (need to win 60% of delegates after April)
	0 (0%)
	254 delegates or fewer (need to win 62.5% of delegates after April)
	0 (0%)
	305 delegates or fewer (need to win 65% of delegates after April)
	0 (0%)
	339 delegates or fewer (need to win 66.67% of delegates after April)
	0 (0%)
	406 delegates or fewer (need to win 70% of delegates after April)
	0 (0%)
	1015 delegates or fewer (it's plausible that he wins every CD with 86% of vote)
	0 (0%)
	no such number-pledged delegates and superdelegates can overrrule the voters at the DNC
	0 (0%)
	0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
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