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TMontoya

(369 posts)
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 03:54 PM Apr 2016

When Bernie loses NY

Will people here being screaming about "fraud" because some random independents on the internet whine about their "registration" being changed? Oh and when he loses NY he then would need to win every single remaining state by 65% or more.

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When Bernie loses NY (Original Post) TMontoya Apr 2016 OP
You call voter disenfranchisement complaints "whining?" Punkingal Apr 2016 #1
Rules are rules TMontoya Apr 2016 #2
You have absolutely no way to know that. Punkingal Apr 2016 #9
You're going on about disenfranchisement, but what about Nevada? CalvinballPro Apr 2016 #25
Crickets... pandr32 Apr 2016 #26
Crickets from the hypocrites. CalvinballPro Apr 2016 #30
baloney timmymoff Apr 2016 #79
They failed to show up because of a mailer sent out telling them they didn't have to. CalvinballPro Apr 2016 #80
Proof please timmymoff Apr 2016 #82
Can you prove your... tonedevil Apr 2016 #29
Yes, liars gonna lie. frylock Apr 2016 #33
cough*bullshit*cough frylock Apr 2016 #31
The false mailers came from the county. surrealAmerican Apr 2016 #37
That is a lie choie Apr 2016 #53
Back in the real world, *both* Sanders and Clinton supporters got these mailers nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #60
Message auto-removed Name removed Apr 2016 #72
If that were true, you'd have a point Goblinmonger Apr 2016 #67
Message auto-removed Name removed Apr 2016 #71
So you are calling the Secretary of State in AZ, the Governor, and the AZ Democratic nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #18
Actually, it depends when they registered or declared for the Democrats in NY. LonePirate Apr 2016 #54
You of course are NOT aware, and this is willfull nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #57
Your condescension does not mask your ignorance. LonePirate Apr 2016 #61
Pointing out that people who have been registered DEMOCRATS FOR YEARS is not condescencion nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #62
You are arguing about points I never said or made. LonePirate Apr 2016 #66
My tin foil hat is covered by what actual officials have said nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #68
So your reading comprehension sucks and you believe what Repub politicians say? LonePirate Apr 2016 #75
Sadly I am having a conversation with a person nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #76
There you go again. Roping me into a conversation I never joined. LonePirate Apr 2016 #77
This is not rambling this is you trying to kill a conversation nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #78
You just implied that EVERY voting/election irregularity has a malicious cause. LonePirate Apr 2016 #81
Reading comprehension issues nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #83
When they are not true or conspiracy, yes upaloopa Apr 2016 #3
The SoS of Arizona conceded that people's registrations were changed due to a glitch... GeorgiaPeanuts Apr 2016 #5
The AZ SOS, the Governor and the Democratic party of AZ do not believe nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #63
In one state -NO MFM008 Apr 2016 #11
Whining is today's meme from camp weathervane Red Oak Apr 2016 #21
My name is Bernie Sanders; prepare to die! Gregorian Apr 2016 #4
Quit that RobertEarl Apr 2016 #19
Do we always have to use the sarcasm smiley. Gregorian Apr 2016 #44
Tell it to the OPer RobertEarl Apr 2016 #46
I took a screenshot today of my voter registration status democrattotheend Apr 2016 #6
So if you get to the polls and discover that your party status is changed, politicaljunkie41910 Apr 2016 #34
A purity test? beedle Apr 2016 #59
Your whole post reads a little like McCarthy Goblinmonger Apr 2016 #69
What state, if you don't mind sharing? LonePirate Apr 2016 #55
New York democrattotheend Apr 2016 #85
Welcome back, buddy! morningfog Apr 2016 #7
And when Bernie wins NY NWCorona Apr 2016 #8
Not happening TMontoya Apr 2016 #10
This should scare team Hillary NWCorona Apr 2016 #12
Actually it makes me smile TMontoya Apr 2016 #13
Check back next week when it's tied and when Bernie's +5 the week after NWCorona Apr 2016 #14
Not happening TMontoya Apr 2016 #16
Like I said check back NWCorona Apr 2016 #17
I will TMontoya Apr 2016 #20
We will see soon enough NWCorona Apr 2016 #22
Yes TMontoya Apr 2016 #23
Hillary'e biggest lead was when she announced her candidacy panader0 Apr 2016 #41
Flashback!! RobertEarl Apr 2016 #24
Actually TMontoya Apr 2016 #27
Yeah, you can tell by the way he's been racking up wins that it was over on 3/15. frylock Apr 2016 #35
Earth to TMontoya RobertEarl Apr 2016 #42
No happening TMontoya Apr 2016 #45
H is dust in the wind RobertEarl Apr 2016 #48
Clearly you haven't been paying attentiion. SheilaT Apr 2016 #40
Do you realize this is data over time dr60omg Apr 2016 #56
You are dreaming Politicalboi Apr 2016 #15
What goal posts are being moved? Hillary is leading by over 200 pledged delegates. (eom) StevieM Apr 2016 #38
You will see soon enough NWCorona Apr 2016 #39
It was over 240 a week ago! cannabis_flower Apr 2016 #65
First of all, you just proved my point. StevieM Apr 2016 #70
There are 23 primaries left cannabis_flower Apr 2016 #84
Meh, somebody loses New York, somebody else loses a sock. QC Apr 2016 #28
That's kind of a whiney OP, yes? villager Apr 2016 #32
Another troll, another ignore nt Depaysement Apr 2016 #36
Not unless there is evidence. We are the group that uses jwirr Apr 2016 #43
We have all the evidence we need TMontoya Apr 2016 #47
Sorry to burst your bubble.. she ain't that popular in NY. basselope Apr 2016 #58
If you say so TMontoya Apr 2016 #73
I plan to. basselope Apr 2016 #74
you think the shit that went down in Arizona was a joke? ibegurpard Apr 2016 #49
107 Posts SheenaR Apr 2016 #50
You're crushing it :D mehneh Apr 2016 #52
The title of this OP should be... dchill Apr 2016 #51
Depends revbones Apr 2016 #64
Global warming is much worse than they said pdsimdars Apr 2016 #86
 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
2. Rules are rules
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 03:57 PM
Apr 2016

Independents have no right to vote in a closed Dem primary and frankly no one's registration is magically changing. These are people who never were registered as Democrats.

Punkingal

(9,522 posts)
9. You have absolutely no way to know that.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:09 PM
Apr 2016

Furthermore, the Secretary of State in Arizona has said that it did happen.

 

CalvinballPro

(1,019 posts)
25. You're going on about disenfranchisement, but what about Nevada?
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:40 PM
Apr 2016

Sanders supporters sent false mailers to delegates, then had people ready to take their place at the county convention. The will of voters was overturned, but in Sanders favor, so I guess that's OK then, right?

 

CalvinballPro

(1,019 posts)
30. Crickets from the hypocrites.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:45 PM
Apr 2016

Should we have expected any different? I'm starting to wonder what other crimes are OK as long as it's in nomine Bernie.

 

timmymoff

(1,947 posts)
79. baloney
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 09:24 PM
Apr 2016

Hillary delegates for some reason failed to show up. I repeat for those so damn thick they can't understand. Hillary delegates failed to show up, just like they failed in 2008. Now someone who has been running for president since 2006 you would think would learn that, but alas, they also failed to learn from regime change, and free trade support. So why should we expect them to learn from this? It's obvious they didn't. you can whine all you want about Nevada but the fact of the matter remains, voter suppression and failure to show up as a delegate are two completely different things. If for some reason you are not smart enough to understand this, that is your problem.

 

CalvinballPro

(1,019 posts)
80. They failed to show up because of a mailer sent out telling them they didn't have to.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 09:35 PM
Apr 2016

And yet somehow the Sanders campaign had people READY to take their place. Somehow the Sanders delegates knew to show up. Clinton's delegates were disenfranchises by slimeball tactics by Sanders' Nevada crew.

Your side is so desperate, and yet you have no qualms about violating laws and ethics in service of your St Bernard.

 

timmymoff

(1,947 posts)
82. Proof please
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 09:41 PM
Apr 2016

And considering she had the same exact thing happen with her delegates in 2008, are you sure it just isn't complacency? I'm betting it is just as I said, she fails to learn from her mistakes because her ego doesn't allow her to think she is ever wrong.

 

tonedevil

(3,022 posts)
29. Can you prove your...
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:45 PM
Apr 2016

allegation regarding these false mailers? Because I am sure you are straight up lying.

surrealAmerican

(11,368 posts)
37. The false mailers came from the county.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:50 PM
Apr 2016

Sanders' delegates also received those mailers. Their campaign noticed the information was wrong, and called all their delegates with the correct information. The people who were "ready" were elected delegates for Sanders - not extras.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
60. Back in the real world, *both* Sanders and Clinton supporters got these mailers
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:55 PM
Apr 2016

I blame the clinton campaign since the Sanders campaign got a whiff and did a massive outreach to get delegates to show.

From the evidence we have it seems the Clark County Democrats were responsible for spreading the false news.

Response to nadinbrzezinski (Reply #60)

 

Goblinmonger

(22,340 posts)
67. If that were true, you'd have a point
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 06:53 PM
Apr 2016

But being that it is absolutely untrue, you might want to stop making yourself look silly by spreading such horrible untruths.

Response to CalvinballPro (Reply #25)

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
18. So you are calling the Secretary of State in AZ, the Governor, and the AZ Democratic
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:36 PM
Apr 2016

party LIARS? How does that work?

I am glad you find no issues with voter disenfranchisement, Moreover, if somebody registers as dem, no mater how old they are, they can legally participate.

IGNORANT POST OF THE DAY.

LonePirate

(13,437 posts)
54. Actually, it depends when they registered or declared for the Democrats in NY.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:48 PM
Apr 2016

An independent who changed their party affiliation months ago (November or later) will not be able to vote in the NY Dem primary. I suspect people like this will be the source of most of the complaints.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
57. You of course are NOT aware, and this is willfull
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:51 PM
Apr 2016

that people are checking their registrations not just in New York. I did in California. This is a real problem. You are hiding your head in the sand... and please continue to celebrate voter suppression. It is something that the (former) party of the people took seriously.

For the record, my registration is in order.

LonePirate

(13,437 posts)
61. Your condescension does not mask your ignorance.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 06:04 PM
Apr 2016

There is nothing in my post that celebrates voter suppression. Pointing out a fact about NY election law in a thread where the OP is about voting in NY should be something you applaud. Instead you hurl baseless insults, presumably to discredit the distribution of factual info. The very first question that should be asked of anyone who claims they were not allowed to vote in NY is when did they register as a Democrat?

You obviously want an open convention per your previous OP; but stifling the truth in order to promote chaos to help ensure that open convention actually occurs is a nefarious and disgusting tactic.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
62. Pointing out that people who have been registered DEMOCRATS FOR YEARS is not condescencion
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 06:09 PM
Apr 2016

even in the states of New York and Pensilvania.

I have no idea who is doing this, but somebody is hacking into voter databases. The SOS of Arizona suggested as much before the State Assembly.

And that is that silly shitty condescending point I am making. Wake up and smell the damn coffee... and chiefly THINK. If I can change your party registration from Dem to Mars coalition for the current primary, how difficult do you think it will be for me to remove you from the voting rolls in November?

Jesus people lack imagination I swear

It brings voter caging to a whole new level. And you think this has not been happening before? Well Mexico comes to mind... for example. In case you wonder, they use the same exact software used in the United States.

LonePirate

(13,437 posts)
66. You are arguing about points I never said or made.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 06:51 PM
Apr 2016

I said it matters when someone registered as a Dem in NY and I said it should be asked when they registered if someone says they were not allowed to vote in NY. In your tin foil hat covered brain, that somehow translated into me supporting voting disenfranchisement via database hacking. I can only surmise that you jump to conclusions without hesitation given that a simple investigative process is ignored in favor of an unverified theory from a Republican politician trying to cover their own ass.

Are voter registration databases being hacked? I have no idea. Should it be investigated? Yes. Should it be investigated as to whether someone restored an old database back-up during a systems or software upgrade or some other common type of administrative incompetence occurred? Yes. Which of these is more likely to have occurred?

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
68. My tin foil hat is covered by what actual officials have said
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 06:55 PM
Apr 2016

you lack imagination in many ways.

I am sorry you do. Have a good day.

For the rest of the class, since at least 2000 we have been having pretend elections, and switching results by 2 to 3 percent (which would flip and election in most cases) is hardly that difficult.

LonePirate

(13,437 posts)
75. So your reading comprehension sucks and you believe what Repub politicians say?
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:43 PM
Apr 2016

That's basically the summary of our entire conversation.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
76. Sadly I am having a conversation with a person
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:47 PM
Apr 2016

who hardly understands how elections are flipped and you are hanging on to the fantasy that this only happens to newly signed people. If you believe that, we are wasting our collective times. I know better.

LonePirate

(13,437 posts)
77. There you go again. Roping me into a conversation I never joined.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 09:18 PM
Apr 2016

Let me spell this out very clearly to you given how we have already established your reading comprehension sucks.

Mary Sue Voter goes to her polling place in Brooklyn on April 19 and tries to vote for her candidate. The election worker tells her she is not eligible to vote. Mary Sue says she is a registered Democrat and even shows her voter registration card to prove it. The election worker asks when did Mary Sue register as a Democrat.

(1) If Mary Sue says she registered as a brand new Democrat back in February after never having registered before, the election worker should realize she is definitely an eligible voter. She should be given a provisional ballot that definitely should be counted and the reason for Mary Sue not being on the list of eligible voters needs to be investigated, regardless if it is due to a clerical error, some other screw up or some outside entity hacking the database or performing some malicious activity.

(2) If Mary Sue says she has always been registered as an Independent but she changed her party affiliation back in December, the election worker should tell Mary Sue she is ineligible to vote per New York law. There is nothing to investigate here.

(3) If Mary sue says she has been a lifelong Democrat who registered years ago and has voted in every election for years/decades, then she should be given a provisional ballot and the reason for her absence from the eligible voter list needs to be investigated just as in the first case.

This is not difficult to understand and it has been the basis of this entire thread and conversation apart from your ramblings about hacking or other voter disenfranchisement/suppression tactics. Nobody is questioning the possibility that those things exist; but you're the only one having that conversation. I have been talking about voting in NY and what a likely claim of disenfranchisement will boil down to there (item 2 above). Human error of some type - be it registering too late, printing the wrong voter list, a screw up involving a stored procedure on the voting database or whatever - is far more likely to be the cause of the problem of Mary Sue being unable to vote than someone hacking the database.

That's not to say that database hacking is not possible. It's simply less likely than far more common and far more mundane reasons. Now it seems you have also moved on to software or human tampering with vote tallies after Mary Sue has voted which has not been part of this conversation until you just now broached the subject.

I do find it interesting how you and others seem willing to jump to the conclusion and immediately believe that illegal actions are responsible if your candidate does not win instead of simply accepting the much more probable scenario of your candidate not receiving as many votes as the opposing candidate. why is everything a conspiracy to some people?

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
78. This is not rambling this is you trying to kill a conversation
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 09:22 PM
Apr 2016

both parties should have, and every voter should worry about. Election integrity is not rambling. Hacks are not mysterious. Nor are they conspiracy theories.

You can either be an adult, or not. I think you prefer to ignore this. I guess realizing how compromised elections are, gives you a tummy ache, and to be frank, it gives a tummy ache to any who believes int he myth of american exceptionalism.

Have an excellent day. I have some more reading to do on that other conspiracy theory called income inequality. Like voting issues, it is a thing

LonePirate

(13,437 posts)
81. You just implied that EVERY voting/election irregularity has a malicious cause.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 09:37 PM
Apr 2016

You seem incapable of believing the far more likely scenario of unintentional (but still egregiously wrong) actions impacting someone's right to vote.

I come down on the side of the Occam's Razor principle of the simpler explanation being the far more likely one. By no means does this indicate that far more complex and unlikely actions (database hacking) are never the cause. It's just that they are much less likely to be the cause. For whatever reason, you seem to think they are always the cause and you erroneously think I believe they are never the cause. For you, someone is always mucking up things for evil reasons and in the most complex and extraordinary of ways. I simply feel the more ordinary reason is often but not always the correct one.

Do I need to explain this again or in a different manner given the previous proof of your reading comprehension difficulties?

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
83. Reading comprehension issues
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 09:51 PM
Apr 2016

Cuyahooga County in 2004 was stolen, hearings were held, the report from Congressman Conyers as the chair of that Ad Hoc committee appeared in FULL in Excelsior in Mexico City. Think about that one. The election literally hung on that county in Ohio, and your mainstream media never really told you there were actual hearings... or for that matter extensively reported on it. WHY?

2000 Florida, the News Consortium found that Gore won the election. The day it was announced something minor was going on in the country... you remember that as 911. The day of the announcement it was a hell of a coincidence. By the way, they were the SAME FUCKING outfit that put out the Gore wins Florida that was retracted. Their history until 2000 was fucking 100 percent accurate. Again, fucking chew on that.

What happened the other week in AZ, is agreed to be suspicious at the very least by the DEMOCRATIC PARTY, the SOS and the Governor both republicans. The three entities have asked for a fucking DOJ investigation.

These are the three more obvious examples. When you have reports all over that people are seeing their party memberships CHANGE when they have been in your party for decades, that suggests of hacks. You do not have the imagination to even conceive of that, or comprehend the implications.

And with that, dinner had, I really need to get back to work with that other conspiracy. And in your mind I probably need to get tin foil by the metric ton. And by the way, this is what makes stealing elections in the United States so damn easy. People truly believe in faerie dust.

 

GeorgiaPeanuts

(2,353 posts)
5. The SoS of Arizona conceded that people's registrations were changed due to a glitch...
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:00 PM
Apr 2016

She even said someone in her office had issues regarding it.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
63. The AZ SOS, the Governor and the Democratic party of AZ do not believe
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 06:11 PM
Apr 2016

this was a conspiracy, or at least not in the sense you are thinking They are even asking the DOJ to help

MFM008

(19,833 posts)
11. In one state -NO
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:13 PM
Apr 2016

not at all. In every state he doesn't win, yeah.
Remember, the GOP are FAR more likely to do sneaky crap with voting rules in states than the democrats.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
19. Quit that
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:37 PM
Apr 2016

We will assimilate, not exterminate. Not that we need the few H campers, but we are just nice people and will allow them to repent.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
46. Tell it to the OPer
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:21 PM
Apr 2016

this whole thread was a joke and I get that you were joking. I was not. We will assimilate the wayward H campers and let them come sit by the fire that is Berning.

democrattotheend

(11,607 posts)
6. I took a screenshot today of my voter registration status
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:02 PM
Apr 2016

Which shows that I am registered as a Democrat at my new address. If I get to the polls and discover that my party status has been changed, damn right I'm going to be screaming about it.

I wish I had thought to take a cell phone picture of my registration form before I sent it.

politicaljunkie41910

(3,335 posts)
34. So if you get to the polls and discover that your party status is changed,
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:47 PM
Apr 2016

who are you implying changed your democrattotheend's status and what is their motivation, and are you a democrattotheend now or were you previously a democrattotheend ??. It's interesting that you claim to be a democrattotheend but your candidate of choice doesn't feel the need to make the same proclamation. Its seems he just wants to use the party to the maximum extent possible to further his own personal gain.

 

beedle

(1,235 posts)
59. A purity test?
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:52 PM
Apr 2016

and an ironic one as well, given the "just wants to use the party to the maximum extent possible to further his own personal gain" comment and the lack of certain "Democrat's" reluctance to address campaign finance reform, or big banks.

 

Goblinmonger

(22,340 posts)
69. Your whole post reads a little like McCarthy
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 06:55 PM
Apr 2016

You might want to walk back some of that rhetoric. Just a suggestion.

democrattotheend

(11,607 posts)
85. New York
Thu Apr 7, 2016, 04:25 PM
Apr 2016

I said what I said in response to a Hillary supporter's suggestion that "whining" about being illegally disenfranchised is just being a sore loser if Bernie doesn't win here.

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)
12. This should scare team Hillary
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:23 PM
Apr 2016

Her lead is evaporating and there's still two weeks before the primary.

Not looking good for Hillary
 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
13. Actually it makes me smile
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:24 PM
Apr 2016

She is leading by wide margins including the outliers. A 15 point win by Clinton puts the nomination firmly in her hands.

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)
14. Check back next week when it's tied and when Bernie's +5 the week after
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:28 PM
Apr 2016

Hillary is only going down in the polls.

 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
20. I will
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:37 PM
Apr 2016

No one is flipping to Bernie in that large of a number espcially in NY on a closed primary. NYC alone is strong for Clinton.

panader0

(25,816 posts)
41. Hillary'e biggest lead was when she announced her candidacy
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:06 PM
Apr 2016

It's been on a steady decline ever since.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
24. Flashback!!
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:39 PM
Apr 2016

Bernie will be done on super Tuesday! Didn't you the the memo?

Bernie: he keeps going and going. Poor H camp is Berning up!

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
42. Earth to TMontoya
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:11 PM
Apr 2016

He's gonna steal NY from H camp.

Sad for you folks, I know, but you'll get over it and learn to Love the Bern. It's coming. get ready.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
48. H is dust in the wind
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:25 PM
Apr 2016

She done blowed up and only the establishment likes her.

Come sit by the fire that be Berning. You know you want to. It's ok, let the other H campers laugh at you, before long they will be joining you.

 

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)
40. Clearly you haven't been paying attentiion.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:06 PM
Apr 2016

Ever since Super Tuesday Bernie as outperformed the polling almost every single time. And usually by huge amounts.



And that came out in the middle of March. You might want to keep in mind that he's won 7 of the last 8 contests, and gained delegates in Nevada when some large number of her supporters, oh that dedicated crew! didn't bother to make it to the second level of delegate selection.

dr60omg

(283 posts)
56. Do you realize this is data over time
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:51 PM
Apr 2016

Please recognize this is data over time and there is a general trend. The outliers or anomalies are usually not weighted and it is hard to judge a statewide race in a primary anyway ...

 

Politicalboi

(15,189 posts)
15. You are dreaming
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 04:32 PM
Apr 2016

2 weeks and Panama Papers which put the Clinton Foundation right in the middle of this new money laundering mess. Good luck with that.

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
70. First of all, you just proved my point.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 06:57 PM
Apr 2016

Hillary isn't moving the goalposts. They are the same now as they have always been--a majority of pledged delegates.

I am not sure what the exact PD total is, just that it is over 200. I believe that Bernie picked up 11 delegates from Wisconsin and will pick up another 10 in Wyoming.

If you are predicting that the next contest will produce a 50 delegate pickup for Bernie then that will require a 20 point victory for Senator Sanders. It is possible that he could do it, but we have yet to see the evidence that he will. And I don't consider his win in Wisconsin as evidence that he will have a comparable win, let alone a larger win, in New York.

But we will find out in 13 days.

cannabis_flower

(3,769 posts)
84. There are 23 primaries left
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 10:38 PM
Apr 2016

If Bernie could manage to pick up an average of 10 delegates at each primary he could still catch up. I'm not saying it's likely but it's not impossible. The big numbers are in New York (291) and California (546).

Now New York might be favoring Hillary right now but Bernie is closing, but it is a closed primary so that might not be good for Bernie.

California however, is a mixed primary, meaning that you can vote in the California primary if you are registered as a Democrat or if you are unaffiliated. If a lot of Californian Republicans are unhappy with Trump and Cruz and have changed their registration to unaffiliated Hillary could have a June surprise. Especially if the pollsters have been polling likely Democratic voters.

 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
47. We have all the evidence we need
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:21 PM
Apr 2016

Polls show it and the voters of NY will show it. She is widely popular in NY. Good luck with Bernie winning on with just college kids. Who half probably aren't even registered to vote. Or registered as Independents.

SheenaR

(2,052 posts)
50. 107 Posts
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:36 PM
Apr 2016

And 90% have been antagonistic. How about an issues based thread as to why she will be successful in the remaining states

All of your OPs have been hit and run jobs on how he has no shot. Anyone with a keyboard can do that.

If Bernie loses NY, he loses. The expectations are that he will not win.

If she loses, her campaign is in serious trouble.

 

mehneh

(39 posts)
52. You're crushing it :D
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:44 PM
Apr 2016

I support a more positive bridge between the Hillary people and the Bernie people. These posts are like muck.

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
86. Global warming is much worse than they said
Thu Apr 7, 2016, 04:27 PM
Apr 2016

because if that happened it would mean that HELL FROZE OVER.


Really I don't know if he will, because he has so many things stacked against him but I've learned not to bet against him, especially when they said they have a good chance to win it.

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