2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumRomney End Game Becomes Clear: Claim Momentum Now So Election Result Can Be Challenged Later
Maybe I'm wrong, but it seems obvious to me that the Romney campaign knows they have already lost the election. Despite what they're saying publicly about the national polls showing them dead even with President Obama, they know that they've lost in the swing states that will decided this motherfucker.
Ergo, they've adopted the strategy of claiming that they have momentum on their side going into the final week-and-a-half. They are pointing to any poll that shows them close anywhere. They are feeding the lie to any media type who will regurgitate the lie for them, thus making it appear that the media agrees with them. They expect to lose, but they're hoping that the results will be close enough in some swing states that they can claim the results aren't legit, that there is no way their media-confirmed momentum vanished overnight, that recounts are needed and that they aren't conceding anything.
They will then look to the SCOTUS to declare them the winner, just like the SCOTUS declared bush the winner.
Romney will concede if the election is a blow out. But anything close will be challenged, IMO, especially if the Congressional races end up at status quo or - worse - if the Rs actually pick up a few seats in either house.
snot
(10,540 posts)robinlynne
(15,481 posts)Firebirds01
(576 posts)Sean kept saying that a poll (never specified which) showed Mitt up in one swing state and a poll showed Mitt up in another swing state. Basically he is tell the audience that because of these unnamed polls, Romney should win and if he doesnt it is because of fraud.
States will use this to pass further draconian voter suppression.
gravity
(4,157 posts)It is all about electoral votes.
The only chance that Romney is going to challenge is if a crucial swing state is close enough for a recount. Even then, they have to have to find the votes in the recount.
stopbush
(24,397 posts)Which is to say, the SCOTUS stepped in and stopped the vote counting in FL once bush had a lead of 537 votes.
justiceischeap
(14,040 posts)I don't think it is. I think Pres. Obama is trending up, and Romney is trending down. I think they can claim momentum but anyone looking at the polls can see there is none.
stopbush
(24,397 posts)The question is, does that matter to Rs?
Blue Owl
(50,532 posts)n/t
amborin
(16,631 posts)ProSense
(116,464 posts)polling in some states (AZ, FLA, CO, etc.) is off. In some states, the polling is being done exclusively by right-leaning pollsters.
On top of that they're undersampling Hispanics. They've had time to correct this (they knew about this dynamic after 2008), but decided not to.
factsarenotfair
(910 posts)I've even had to give up watching the evening network news shows--first ABC, then NBC, and this week CBS.
Historic NY
(37,454 posts)pointsoflight
(1,372 posts)...into thinking he's winning and has the momentum, in order to keep his supporters motivated and deflate ours. It's a concerted effort to try to effect the ground game.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,716 posts)Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)their candidacy. What else would a candidate do? Call a press conference to say 'my internal polling shows me facing historic defeat'? Can you name even one candidate on the verge of defeat who did not claim the opposite? It's politics.
On the other hand, if you take a look at it, the winning candidate in most races has not spent much time claiming they were winning, or blathering about polling theories.
The campaign rhetoric of the loser is very often about being a winner. The winner, meanwhile is talking about policy.
Just how it is. If anything, in politics, bravado indicates big fear of defeat.
caveat_imperator
(193 posts)And I'm sure rmoney believes he is what the White Horseshit Prophecy is talking about.