Civitas Poll of NC: Romney:48% Obama: 47%

[WI_DEM]

(Note poll completed on Sunday--prior to final debate):

Oct. 26, 2012
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Francis De Luca or Jim Tynen [phone]
[e-mail] or [e-mail]
RALEIGH — A new poll from the Civitas Institute found that in North Carolina the Republican slate of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and his running mate, Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan, was running a percentage point ahead of the Democratic ticket of President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden.

The Civitas Poll of 600 likely North Carolina voters was taken Oct. 20-21 and had a margin of error of plus-minus 4 percent. Asked if the election were held today who they would vote for, 48 percent chose Romney/Ryan and 47 percent chose Obama/Biden. The results are of course within the margin of error.

http://www.nccivitas.org/2012/civitas-poll-romney-obama-close-to-the-end/

[scheming daemons]

1. Oct 20-21 is pre-debate

Anything pre-debate is an out-of-date poll.

[progressivebydesign]

14. but some folks just love the negative polls, ya know? nt

[earthside]

16. I don't think that is negative.

If Obama is only one point behind, it is pre-debate and the early voting is going as well as some are reporting, then one point is not enough for Rmoney.

[MadBadger]

2. These guys are basically the R version of PPP right?

Minus the fact that PPP polls everywhere. They know North Carolina like PPP does.

Edit: I take that back. They dont do their own polls. A NJ company does

[woolldog]

3. It's about GOTV people.

“A few weeks ago some commentators were saying the election was a lock for the president in North Carolina,” Civitas President Francis X. De Luca said. “More recently, others were claiming Democrats were throwing in the towel. Our most recent poll, however, shows that the candidates are virtually tied, with neither above 50 percent yet. That would mean North Carolina is still in play.”

[MyNameIsKhan]

4. NC is going to go Blue, based on early votes Pres Obama will win by 1-2pts

[TexasCPA]

5. Great news

They are neocons. If a neocon poll shows Obama down 1, then he is really ahead by 2 or 3.

[VirginiaTarheel]

6. This poll is a week old although just released

[WI_DEM]

8. yes, as I mention in the OP it's completed on Sunday before final debate.

[Drunken Irishman]

7. If Obama can keep NC to within a percentage point, I think he wins it.

[tarheelsunc]

9. Civitas is conservative garbage. This must mean Obama is leading.

[MadBadger]

10. PPP has it tied

The Poll's results are fine

[Justice4All1]

11. I don't know, guys

I think Team Obama's let NC go, maybe they were premature but O hasn't led a NC poll for weeks now, just like rMoney hasn't let one NV, OH, WI, MI poll since last year. O's led most all VA, NH & IA polls & we'll win those too.
CO is very winnable based on O winning all RV's and most LV polls too

[progressivebydesign]

13. They didn't let NC go, that was a republican rumor.

The sampling at this point in the game, oversamples certain types of people that they think are likely to vote, or ones that have home phones and haven't moved around.

[Maximumnegro]

15. Read NC early voting stats please and

the statements from the campaign. Pays to be informed.

[VirginiaTarheel]

12. Obama can win NC based in early votes

[VirginiaTarheel]

17. Civitas is Funded by rightwing politico Art Pope

If they claim Obama is essentially tied in NC, something is happening big there.

[hrmjustin]

18. Guess CNN and Msnbc should change NC back to Tossup where it belongs.

[Lex]

19. "margin of error of plus-minus 4 percent" ?