2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumKY is VERY favorable to Bernie
Do the research and you will see why i am overly confidant he will win it BIG.
I think he will win KY OR and Indiana, he will pick up 100 delegates over Hillary in just these 3 states.
I also expect Bernie to win the puerto rico caucus. I also believe Bernie will win every single state (excluding CA) left in the west.
By the time CA rolls around Hillarys lead will be tiny.
MattP
(3,304 posts)Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)The OP is saying that Kentucky, Indiana, and Oregon together may bring Bernie 100 delegates closer to Hillary. And Puerto Rico will also likely be in Bernie's camp.
Gwhittey
(1,377 posts)not be fooled by HRC many bullshits. So consider what you are admonishing to read.
And, apparently, optional in Camp Weathervane.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)go back to sleep in another position.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
Response to Csainvestor (Original post)
Post removed
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)You were one of the few Princess Weathervane acolytes left off my Ignore list, but your race-baiting propaganda has reached a new low.
Bye, Felicia...
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)Because there are more black people in Kentucky than in states that he wins.
...
...
...
Think about the implications of that for a minute.
RandySF
(58,911 posts)And Lexington is a college town. She might do well around Frankford, though.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)Kentucky!
That small number of POC is still too big for him to claim victory according to my demographic model.
Frankly, I think that is hilarious.
Kentonio
(4,377 posts)Who posted sensible intelligent posts that have been really interesting and informative. Please don't tell me you've now fallen into gutter posting too.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)I'm back to my usual ways.
Qutzupalotl
(14,317 posts)That's within striking distance.
Of course, the usual suspects show up to shit on your thread.
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)Anti-progressive, low information puppets are of no interest to me.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Then they divide KY' s 55 delegates. No gain for either. Every state allocates delegates proportionally to the election or caucus results. You did know that, right?
Gothmog
(145,321 posts)Qutzupalotl
(14,317 posts)Godhumor
(6,437 posts)As the RCP link nicely shows.
Qutzupalotl
(14,317 posts)Okay then.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)There has been zero actual polling on Kentucky since June of last year.
Qutzupalotl
(14,317 posts)Godhumor
(6,437 posts)Your first poll from wherever isn't a real poll. The last real poll was last June (Which would be PPP).
Qutzupalotl
(14,317 posts)randome
(34,845 posts)[hr][font color="blue"][center]Treat your body like a machine. Your mind like a castle.[/center][/font][hr]
MelissaB
(16,420 posts)I LOVE it. I do think he will do well here.
Joob
(1,065 posts)would always go fishing in Kentucky! Ya'll are awesome down there
Gothmog
(145,321 posts)Sanders would have to win 75% in each state to reach your goal. That is not likely.
In addition, Clinton will be adding to her lead in Penn, Maryland and the other states voting next week
Csainvestor
(388 posts)Check demographics of how Hillary won in 2008 in Kentucky and you will have your answer.
What's the gun ownership rate in Kentucky as an example.
Csainvestor
(388 posts)Look to the demographics.
Gwhittey
(1,377 posts)Or is KY no important enough for them to make "voter mistakes" like in NY,IL,MA etc?
KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)Louisville will dominate the primary, which will be beneficial to Clinton. If anything I expect it to go narrowly to Clinton.
Csainvestor
(388 posts)Hillary is running as if this is Obama's third term, that's why I expect Bernie to win almost all of the West that's left.
KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)At least for the most part. What will be left is Democrats in Louisville who voted heavily for Obama.
Csainvestor
(388 posts)They rejected Obama by a huge margin in 08 and they re elected Mitch.
Unicorn
(424 posts)I want it for us and Bernie. And, that's the thing about that guy. Not only does he excite the youth vote and the progressives, we actually care about him personally. I want him to get great numbers and be happy.
Tarc
(10,476 posts)These people just don't understand basic math, and how insurmountable her delegate lead is. The OP actually thinks Sanders is going to start carrying states by 75-85%...
Bayard
(22,100 posts)I'm in the boonies of Western KY, and sorry to say, don't think they'll be much voting going on around here at all.
BUT, Louisville, Lexington, and Bowling Green are all college towns, and have the majority of voters. I could see us going Bernie.
mcar
(42,334 posts)It's in the Deep South.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)voted for Bernie two weeks ago.
Corporate666
(587 posts)~200 delegates for the 3 states. For him to gain 100 over HRC, he will get 150 to her 50? So... win all three 75% to 25%? More than the margin he won NH by, more than he won any other state except his home state by (and he only won his home state by a little more than those numbers)?
I have an alternate, but more pleasible theory for how Sanders can pick up 100 delegates.
Hillary will summon Godzilla who will raze the city. Bernie will transform into Mothra and beat Godzilla back to the ocean. The voters will be so enamored by Bernie that they will vote for him as their lord and savior.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)According to 538, Kentucky only slightly favors Sanders, and what's more, it's a closed primary. I think that indicates a reasonable chance of a Clinton voctory.
I think Sander will win in Indiana. probably
by about 15 points, but that's just a gut feeling.... i live here.
oregeon will go for Bernie too, obviously.
But to net 100 delegates, he would have to win by margins of 75-25. That's fantasy in primary states, two of which are closed.
YouDig
(2,280 posts)excuses about how those states don't matter?
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)I don't remember Kentucky being partial to socialists.
mythology
(9,527 posts)works than you at the helm. This is amusing how utterly improbable this is. You are suggesting that Sanders will win each of these states at almost the rate he won Vermont.
Of course you somehow neglect to mention that Sanders will be substantially further behind after next Tuesday's contests where he is expected to lose at least the 3 largest states and at best pull to an effective draw in the other 2.
Beacool
(30,250 posts)As for Puerto Rico voting for Sanders, por favor, no me hagas reir.
cwydro
(51,308 posts)Not going to happen.