2016 Postmortem

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts) Fri Apr 22, 2016, 10:56 AM Apr 2016

If our margins are true, we project that Sanders will have to win around 65%-35%...

Benchmark Politics ?@benchmarkpol 15h15 hours ago
If our margins are true, we project that Sanders will have to win around 65%-35%, NOT including Supers, in every state after.

(next Tuesday)

https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol

That analysis makes sense.

5 replies

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If our margins are true, we project that Sanders will have to win around 65%-35%... (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 OP

I've got it at 63/37. Depends on how you project (of course). But, I'm close to your figure. Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #1

More like an average of 59% of remaining pledged delegates k8conant Apr 2016 #2

Bookmark this post. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #3

You missed the part about "after next Tuesday" (nt) jcgoldie Apr 2016 #4

You're right, I did. k8conant Apr 2016 #5

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)

1. I've got it at 63/37. Depends on how you project (of course). But, I'm close to your figure.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Apr 22, 2016, 11:15 AM

Apr 2016

k8conant

(3,030 posts)

2. More like an average of 59% of remaining pledged delegates

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Apr 22, 2016, 11:17 AM

Apr 2016

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

3. Bookmark this post.

Reply to k8conant (Reply #2)

Fri Apr 22, 2016, 11:19 AM

Apr 2016

The. Number. Goes. Up. To 65%. After. Next.Tuesday. When. He Gets .Obliterated. In. All Five. Primaries.*

*There is a paucity of polling for RI and DE, consequently he might eke out a victory in the former.

jcgoldie

(11,631 posts)

4. You missed the part about "after next Tuesday" (nt)

Reply to k8conant (Reply #2)

Fri Apr 22, 2016, 11:19 AM

Apr 2016

k8conant

(3,030 posts)

5. You're right, I did.

Reply to jcgoldie (Reply #4)

Fri Apr 22, 2016, 11:21 AM

Apr 2016

I'll recalculate after next Tuesday, then.

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