April 26th Primaries – Polls and Predictions

[CajunBlazer]

Connecticut (closed primary) 55 delegates

Quinnipiac 4/12-4/18 Clinton 51 Sanders 42 Clinton +9

Emerson 4/10-4/11 Clinton 49 Sanders 43 Clinton +6

Average 4/10-4/18 Clinton 50.0 Sanders 42.5 Clinton +7.5

Nate Silver – Clinton chances of winning - 93%


Delaware (closed primary) 21 delegates

Gravis 4/17-4/18 Clinton 45 Sanders 38 Clinton +7

No predictions


Maryland (closed primary) 95 delegates

Monmouth 4/18-4/20 Clinton 57 Sanders 32 Clinton +25

PPP (D) 4/15-4/17 Clinton 58 Sanders 33 Clinton +25

NBC 4/Marist 4/5-4/9 Clinton 58 Sanders 36 Clinton +22

Wash Post/U. of Maryland 3/30-4/3 Clinton 55 Sanders 40 Clinton +15

Average 3/30-4/20 Clinton 57.0 Sanders 35.3 Clinton +21.7

Nate Silver – Clinton chances of winning - 99%


Pennsylvania (closed primary) 189 delegates

Monmouth 4/17-4/19 Clinton 52 Sanders 39 Clinton +13

Franklin & Marshall 4/11-4/18 Clinton 58 Sanders 31 Clinton +27

FOX News 4/4-4/7 Clinton 49 Sanders 38 Clinton +11

Quinnipiac 3/30-4/4 Clinton 50 Sanders 44 Clinton +6

Harper (R) 4/2-4/3 Clinton 55 Sanders 33 Clinton +22

Average 3/30-4/19 Clinton 52.8 Sanders 37.0 Clinton +15.8

Nate Silver – Clinton chances of winning - 97%


Rhode Island (semi-closed primary) 24 delegates

Brown University 2/22-2/23 Clinton 49 Sanders 40 Clinton +9

No predictions

[firebrand80]

1. Michigan gives Bernie supporters

justification for sticking their fingers in their ears and hiding from the truth from here until CA.

Add in a yuge win in Oregon, and you can believe your own lies for quite some time.

[CrowCityDem]

2. My prediction:

PA: +10
CT: +5
DE: +10
RI: +/- 2
MD: +25

All in all, a big night for Hillary, and the mathematical end of this race.

[CajunBlazer]

5. I'll settle for all wins

[salinsky]

3. It's all over ...

... but the whining ...

... the petulant and perpetual whining ...

[Beacool]

4. Thanks for the information.

I hadn't realized that there was a recent poll in DE. Tuesday will be a good day for Hillary.

[DesertRat]

6. Thank you for the post

[CajunBlazer]

7. my pleasure

[JaneyVee]

8. K AND R!