2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFOX NEWS POLL: Trump leads in California, Clinton-Sanders in close race
Republican Donald Trump holds a big lead in California, in a new Fox News Poll, while Hillary Clinton has a razor-thin edge over Bernie Sanders in the Democratic race.
Trump captures 49 percent of likely Republican primary voters. Thats more than the combined support for his two remaining competitors: Ted Cruz receives 22 percent and John Kasich 20 percent.
The mogul leads his rivals by a wide margin among every demographic group, including those he sometimes has trouble capturing: women, young voters, college graduates, and very conservatives.
Clinton is up by just two points over Sanders among California likely Democratic primary voters (48-46 percent).
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/04/22/trump-leads-in-california-clinton-sanders-in-close-race.html?intcmp=hpbt2
griffi94
(3,733 posts)after Tuesday.
The wider the delegate gap gets, the Bernie will poll.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)griffi94
(3,733 posts)And if that primary were Tuesday that might matter.
But by the time California votes Bernie will likely be down close to 300 delegates.
HIs winning will be a mathmathic impossibility.
Some of his voters will switch to Hillary. Some will skip
the primary.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)griffi94
(3,733 posts)where Hillary will when on the first ballot and Bernie will endorse her.
After Tuesday his rallies will start to draw a hard line between the Democrats and the Republicans.
He knows Hillary is going to be the nominee.
senz
(11,945 posts)griffi94
(3,733 posts)He'll endorse.
She'll give him a few of the issues he wants.
Bernie knows how it works. He'll really start toning it down after Tuesday
senz
(11,945 posts)And Bernie is perfectly polite; he has nothing to "tone down."
griffi94
(3,733 posts)Todays issue was that she supports a tax on soda and Bernie thinks that hurts working families.
It's a nice safe little disagreement.
He's done with the bombastic fire breathing rhetoric.
No more she's not qualified statements.
senz
(11,945 posts)But then we all remember 2008. We know what she is.
griffi94
(3,733 posts)She's the front runner.
Bernie knows he can't win.
That's why he's toning it down.
He wanted to run as a Democrat for the data and the money and the high profile.
Now he'll start helping bring the party back together because they let him run as a Democrat.
senz
(11,945 posts)He has worked closely and cooperatively with the Dems in congress but he doesn't need them. He ran as a Dem primarily because he didn't want to be a Nader style spoiler. He knows perfectly well that Hillary is a corporate-owned war monger who lies and engages in gutter-level politics, but if he loses the nomination he might be able to hold his nose and endorse her in order to keep a Republican from getting in -- except, odds aren't very high that she couldn't win the GE with all her negatives.
He has said that she'd have to change her platform for him to endorse her. Of course we all know that words are empty when she utters them, so any change would be a formality.
griffi94
(3,733 posts)He also needs them for any legislation that he wants
for the state of Vermont. Don't they build
some military airplanes there.
They're OK with Bernie being Indie but he's not going to set terms.
They have a stick over his head
senz
(11,945 posts)and he has a genius for getting things done. He has worked closely and cooperatively with Democrats and Republicans for a quarter of a century to achieve humane, progressive objectives.
No, they don't build military airplanes in Vermont. They housed part of a fleet there.
You don't know any of this because you aren't very well informed on the subject.
onenote
(42,714 posts)Just as Clinton's endorsement and Obama's victory paid off for Clinton, a Bernie endorsement and a Clinton win will benefit Bernie. But if his endorsement turns out not to mean anything, no one in politics is going to be paying much attention to Bernie after November 2016.
senz
(11,945 posts)You may think everything is safely under wraps by the current power holders, but you're wrong about that.
onenote
(42,714 posts)silvershadow
(10,336 posts)senz
(11,945 posts)silvershadow
(10,336 posts)griffi94
(3,733 posts)I know wishful thinking polls from RW sources won't change that.
So yeah. I do know something. I know that.
Admiral Loinpresser
(3,859 posts)You and the Corporate Media are trying to demoralize us on behalf of a corrupt international gun dealer. It won't work and many of us will never vote for her. I will never vote for another neoliberal again. Welcome to "full ignore."
woolldog
(8,791 posts)senz
(11,945 posts)I also know Hill's chances in the GE would be quite tenuous.
Zynx
(21,328 posts)Even winning by 20 only nets him about 90 delegates.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)Zynx
(21,328 posts)Also, she dropped out as soon as she was eliminated by the combination of super delegates and pledged delegates. Do you support that position?
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)margin of error. A path is there, however slim. We will take that path to the convention and then see where we are. Are you trying to disenfranchise California voters?
Zynx
(21,328 posts)Especially since Sanders campaign funds are going down the drain to enrich ad agencies and consultants while not having a good shot at this.
Samantha
(9,314 posts)liberalnarb
(4,532 posts)silvershadow
(10,336 posts)only mainstream news sources, so I'm limited on sources. Currently treading thin ice on alerts.
Maru Kitteh
(28,340 posts)Otherwise one should know better.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)and since their in the bag for your candidate, that's convenient.
Maru Kitteh
(28,340 posts)If you're going to bring us back dead fish from the mouth of the Republican spillway, you might as well just skip the middle-man, suit up, and dive right into the sewer.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)silvershadow
(10,336 posts)7 lingering questions in the Clinton email investigation
The FBI appears to be entering the home stretch of its investigation into Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clintons private email server.
Yet even as arrangements are reportedly being made to interview Clinton and her top aides, much remains unclear.
The FBI under Director James Comey refuses to publicly discuss the investigation, as is customary, but critics say the lingering questions show the review is anything but routine and could result in criminal indictments.
Heres a look at what is still not publicly known.
http://thehill.com/policy/national-security/275111-seven-lingering-questions-in-clinton-email-investigation
griffi94
(3,733 posts)The normally acceptable media sources think Bernie is done.
Admiral Loinpresser
(3,859 posts)At least on politics. Anything from Corporate Media sources must be viewed with skepticism, imo. If Thom Hartmann, Amy Goodman, Naomi Klein, Robert Reich or Bill Moyers reports something, I tend to believe it. Otherwise, skepticism is required. The constant lies, distortion, spin and bias by Corporate Media are astounding.
Of course Fox "news" is less credible than other sources, but from Rachel Maddow to Bill O'Reilly to Paul Krugman, all we have is lots of distortion and spin.
griffi94
(3,733 posts)It's past funny.
Now it's just sad.
Admiral Loinpresser
(3,859 posts)done credible political reporting in a quarter of a century. Check out the old Daily Howler archives. Lying and spinning has been the journalistic norm on political reporting for decades. NPR is a joke.
griffi94
(3,733 posts)They don't tell the whole truth.
Let's try Fox News and the Washington Examiner.
Hahahahahaha.
BlueStater
(7,596 posts)Qutzupalotl
(14,316 posts)Hell, it's within the MOE.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)senz
(11,945 posts)It has to come through for him by a whopping margin. This sort of outcome dooms him.
senz
(11,945 posts)Admiral Loinpresser
(3,859 posts)Retrograde
(10,137 posts)The presidential primary is closed, although certain parties - the Democrats among them - let non-partisan voters vote for the presidential candidate if they request a partisan ballot.
All other offices have open primaries.
senz
(11,945 posts)because it's crucially important to elect Bernie.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)not because I care who they vote for, but that they vote.
senz
(11,945 posts)because voting is a good thing.
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)The first being that the Democratic party allows NPPs to vote in the primary. The othermajor factor is that the Republicans do not. So in a way we see the result of a primary in which Trump didn't pull half the independents. The race may have proceeded very differently without the Trump.
Retrograde
(10,137 posts)Boxer's retiring, and her seat is up this year. IMHO, that's at least as big as the presidential primary.
The senate primary is open: anyone can vote for anyone, top two finishers go on to November.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)all to do with San Onofre and Democratic politics to be precise. You cover news, there is so much shit you learn about these people, Many times not nice shit.
Essentially she did not do the investigation, term limits have come and gone, and that is becuase the people appointed to the PUC are friends of the governor. Them are the cliffs notes. Any way, my vote will not count, so whoever I vote for really does not matter.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)you need that much clarification? really.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)That stuff matters, really. You may not think so, but it does. She's not an unknown person. In fact, her name is widely known, even nationally.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)You did not even address one point of what I said, about San Onofre and what right now is being seen as likely corruption, I know dems could never ever engage in that,
What am I thinking.
Is the talking point out to go attack on spelling flames today? Three so far. I got to think it is
Lovely...
And it is hilarious.
factfinder_77
(841 posts)?
lumberjack_jeff
(33,224 posts)ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)silvershadow
(10,336 posts)Bernie is the only candidate on either side with huge net positives.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)so impressive not.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)snort...
DCBob
(24,689 posts)By then he will need about a 80-20 win to catch up.
Logical
(22,457 posts)states against her political machine. Like in 2008, she is terrible in closing the deal.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Logical
(22,457 posts)fan can think it is good news she is struggling and still losing states.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)and then on to the WhiteHouse!
senz
(11,945 posts)Maybe you don't like them?
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)I am sorry to point this to you, but decline to state voters can vote in the Democratic primary.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Your comment make no sense whatsoever.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)Obviously you have no clue.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)for completeness so is the Green Party and Peace and Freedom parties.
The dem party is OPEN to decline to state, you know the independents you hate.
I guess you are going to correct me, so here from the registrar. I hope this makes it transparent for you.
If you are registered No Party Preference, also known as nonpartisan, no presidential candidates will be listed on your ballot. As of March 31, just under 400,000 voters in San Diego County were registered as No Party Preference.
Options for No Party Preference:
You can vote for a presidential candidate in the American Independent, Democratic or Libertarian parties, but you need to request one of those ballots at your designated polling place. Those three parties allow nonpartisan voters to take part in their presidential primaries.
If you are registered as No Party Preference but you want to vote for a presidential candidate in the Green, Peace and Freedom or Republican parties, you must re-register with that party by May 23. Those three parties allow only registered members to vote for president in their primaries.
http://www.countynewscenter.com/news/voting-president-primary-know-rules
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Its doesn't matter.. Hillary will still do well enough to maintain her huge delegate lead going into the convention.
I don't "hate" independents. What a clueless comment.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)I want you, I urge you, to close all primaries, hold it on your own dime and get off the government teat.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)That has nothing to do with "hating" anyone.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)and we the taxpayers should not pay for your election, or the greens, or the Rs or anybody else who decides to close their elections. We agree I suppose. I expect a lot of caucuses, and we should stop pretending this is democratic.
KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)Last edited Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:35 AM - Edit history (1)
Clinton will win California by at least 10%. Southern California dominates the vote and it is not Sanders friendly territory.
frylock
(34,825 posts)I haven't seen a lick of support for Hillary in LoCal.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)apcalc
(4,465 posts)Garbage everyday.
Ugh
Think it's time to head on out.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)Too funny
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)apcalc
(4,465 posts)MFM008
(19,814 posts)Fox puts out there, Even if it said HRC was ahead by 50 points. They lie.