2016 Postmortem

Dalai_1

(1,301 posts) Sun Oct 28, 2012, 03:27 PM Oct 2012

Nate Silver Update for October 28

October 28, 2012, 2:50 PM

Oct. 27: Minnesota Moonlights as Swing State, but Ohio and Virginia Are More Crucial
By NATE SILVER
With the election so close, Saturday is no longer a day of rest for pollsters. Eight polls were released from potentially competitive states:

See Source for chart and his Post:

http://tinyurl.com/993tnhj

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/28/oct-27-minnesota-moonlights-as-swing-state-but-ohio-and-virginia-are-more-crucial/

8 replies

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Nate Silver Update for October 28 (Original Post) Dalai_1 Oct 2012 OP

This message was self-deleted by its author ashtonelijah Oct 2012 #1

Looks like he picked an odd Firebirds01 Oct 2012 #2

This message was self-deleted by its author Tarheel_Dem Oct 2012 #3

He still gives Obama a 97% chance of winning MN nt BainsBane Oct 2012 #4

Well, considering that the one O+3 poll... regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #6

They had Romney up by 5 in MN? BainsBane Oct 2012 #7

I used to put a lot of stock in Nate... BlueState Oct 2012 #5

Yeah, I'm always skeptical of anyone who isn't fat and macho! Phx_Dem Oct 2012 #8

Response to Dalai_1 (Original post)

ashtonelijah This message was self-deleted by its author.

Firebirds01

(576 posts)

2. Looks like he picked an odd

Reply to Dalai_1 (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 03:32 PM

Oct 2012

assortment of polls. The UC poll is the weirdest pick as it is one of the very few to show something other than an Obama lead.

Response to Dalai_1 (Original post)

Tarheel_Dem This message was self-deleted by its author.

BainsBane

(53,032 posts)

4. He still gives Obama a 97% chance of winning MN nt

Reply to Dalai_1 (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 03:35 PM

Oct 2012

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

6. Well, considering that the one O+3 poll...

Reply to BainsBane (Reply #4)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 03:43 PM

Oct 2012

...had R+5 in their previous poll there, it's hard to see this as a sign that Romney's catching up in MN. Or that they've ever been anything but an outlier there.