2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum63% more people voted as Republicans than Democrats in the Ohio Primary.
I am not sure what this means for the general election, but it does not instill confidence.
This article talks about how many people crossed over and voted on the cross party ballot which is allowed in Ohio. More registered Democrats requested and voted on Republican specific ballots than vice-versa. But the bigger issue I see is how many more Republicans came out to vote. This is a Kasich vs Trump state, but if anything like this turnout happens in November, we will get trounced in Ohio.
Ohio Secretary of State Jon Husted released statewide data this week revealing how many Ohioans switched political party affiliation in the most recent election. County data was also released.
Because Ohio has open primary elections, voters do not register with a political party, but are instead affiliated with a political party by casting a ballot in a partisan primary election. Voters can select any party ballot they choose during primary elections. Voters also have the option of remaining unaffiliated by casting an issues only ballot.
snip
Statewide, a total of 1,197,725 voters cast a ballot in the Democratic primary election, 34,867 of whom were previously affiliated with the Republican Party, representing just 2.9 percent of all Democratic ballots cast. In contrast, 1,952,684 voters cast ballots in the Republican Primary, 115,762 of whom were previously affiliated with the Democratic Party, representing 5.9 percent of the total Republican votes cast.
http://www.athensmessenger.com/news/more-than-locals-switched-political-party-affiliation-in-primary/article_0cbe0d02-e83a-5617-91ae-e6aac1ead07f.html
Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)It's happened in nearly every state, particularly the swing states.
And, yet, Hillary supporters keep telling Bernie supporters they don't need our votes by either saying that phrase outright or by not pressuring their candidate to incorporate some of the policies we like from Bernie.
Baobab
(4,667 posts)doc03
(37,103 posts)elections when I was there and all three switched from D to R I assume to vote for Trump. I actually
heard one man say I want to vote for Trump can I switch from Democrat to the Republican ballot, his
wife was with him and she also switched to Republican.
Baobab
(4,667 posts)but I don't think that opposition is genuine.
doc03
(37,103 posts)Here is something to hit the Republicans with when they blame Clinton for NAFTA.
These are the votes from the Senate on NAFTA Repubs (for 34 and against 10 ) Dems (for 27 and against 28)
Here are the votes in the House Repubs (for 132 against 43) Dems (for 102 against 156) One independent
voted against I assume that was Bernie Sanders. As you can see both the Senate and House Democrats voted the
NAFTA bill down, it was passed with mostly Republican votes. GHWB couldn't get it passed but Clinton was able to muster
enough Democrat votes to force it down our throats.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)More candidates = more GOTV drives.
Btw, Republicans have cast 10million ballots for Trump, but 15million ballots against Trump.
OilemFirchen
(7,174 posts)That may have a wee bit to do with it.
Ash_F
(5,861 posts)OilemFirchen
(7,174 posts)The more candidates in a race, the greater the turnout.
Ash_F
(5,861 posts)Also, I hope they are right about the GotV thing.
But the low enthusiasm for Dems needs to be addressed soon. There is not all the time in the world before Nov.
hobbit709
(41,694 posts)OilemFirchen
(7,174 posts)There's a reason Ohio's a swing state.
hobbit709
(41,694 posts)OilemFirchen
(7,174 posts)Dayton - my home town - is fairly liberal.
But to your point, in 2008 Democratic primary voters outnumbered Republicans by about the same margin - in reverse - as this year. That's Ohio. Literally a swing state. And you cannot discount the impact that Kasich had in this primary.
That said, unless Trump picks a popular Ohioan as his running-mate, Ohio should be Clinton's to lose. Demographics continue to shift to the Democrat's favor.
SheenaR
(2,052 posts)Record disaffiliation on the Democratic side to vote R in the Primary. Our governor has an approval rating in the 20's and she has been talked about as a possible Clinton cabinet choice. People connect the dots and its a huge reason Sanders won here.
It can happen anywhere. Even dark blue RI is in play if they aren't careful.
Ash_F
(5,861 posts)Keep in mind that there has been a D in the White House for 8 years. Historically there is a lack of enthusiasm for the incumbent party after 8 years.
apnu
(8,790 posts)The economy there is trashed, unions are eroded in power and influence, jobs are fleeing the state. People are in a bad way in Ohio and the Republicans and especially serial liar Trump, will feed them red meat all day, every day. A lot of them are going to fall for it. The voters will never connect Republican economics and globalization to their plight.
Dems could talk up unions and middle class, but its going to fall on deaf ears. The recovery from W's recession has been a jobless one, they know it and it will be a hard sell for any Democrat to convince them that the Democrats can get their jobs back.